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AVIC International Holdings Ltd EBITDA dropped on 13.5% in 2016 and Revenue decreased on 3.9%

12/03/2017 • About AVIC International Holdings Ltd ($161) • By InTwits

AVIC International Holdings Ltd reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is relatively stable: 8.6% in FY2016 vs. 9.6% in FY2015 vs. 8.6% in FY2012
  • AVIC International Holdings Ltd has medium CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 8.5%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 3.0%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 709 in FY2016, 1,622 in FY2015, 1,631 in FY2014, 1,181 in FY2013, 913 in FY2012
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 2.2%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 3.2x while industry average is 2.1x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

AVIC International Holdings Ltd ($161) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue31,25337,26233,96034,35133,008-3.9%
Gross Profit3,9095,0065,6195,7245,687-0.6%
SG&A2,9344,1122,9193,3025,20457.6%
EBITDA2,6973,6393,4853,2912,848-13.5%
Net Income9711,0316421,212806-33.5%
Balance Sheet
Cash4,0385,0764,83411,7819,020-23.4%
Short Term Debt11,31813,2059,4298,7729,3206.2%
Long Term Debt4,0456,83510,47710,2218,905-12.9%
Cash flow
Capex1,8662,1642,6113,6384,03811.0%
Ratios
Revenue growth12.3%19.2%-8.9%1.1%-3.9%
EBITDA growth10.8%34.9%-4.2%-5.6%-13.5%
Gross Margin12.5%13.4%16.5%16.7%17.2%0.6%
EBITDA Margin8.6%9.8%10.3%9.6%8.6%-1.0%
Net Income Margin3.1%2.8%1.9%3.5%2.4%-1.1%
SG&A, % of revenue9.4%11.0%8.6%9.6%15.8%6.2%
CAPEX, % of revenue6.0%5.8%7.7%10.6%12.2%1.6%
ROIC6.4%6.5%4.5%2.9%2.2%-0.7%
ROE13.7%15.2%10.0%15.5%8.9%-6.6%
Net Debt/EBITDA4.2x4.1x4.3x2.2x3.2x1.0x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue decreased on 3.9%. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 2.3 pp from 34.9% to 37.2% in 2016.

Gross Margin increased slightly on 0.57 pp from 16.7% to 17.2% in FY2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased on 6.2 pp from 9.6% to 15.8% in FY2016.

Net Income marign decreased slightly on 1.1 pp from 3.5% to 2.4% in FY2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In FY2016 AVIC International Holdings Ltd had CAPEX/Revenue of 12.2%. CAPEX/Revenue increased on 6.4 pp from 5.8% in FY2013 to 12.2% in FY2016. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 10.2%.AVIC International Holdings Ltd has spent a lot to CAPEX (142% of EBITDA) which didn't stop revenue from falling.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (2.18%) and ROE (8.95%). ROIC decreased slightly on 0.68 pp from 2.9% to 2.2% in FY2016. ROE decreased on 6.6 pp from 15.5% to 8.9% in FY2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 3.2x Net Debt / EBITDA and 6.4x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 1.0x from 2.2x to 3.2x in FY2016. Debt decreased on 4.0% while cash dropped on 23.4%.

Appendix 1: Peers in Electronics


Below you can find AVIC International Holdings Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Electronics industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
GCL New Energy Holdings Ltd ($451)14.7%-6.8%10.9%53.9%
Tech Pro Technology Development Ltd ($3823)7.4%-44.9%-13.7%52.4%
Nanjing Sample Technology Co Ltd ($1708)36.1%8.0%15.4%34.8%
AAC Technologies Holdings Inc ($2018)54.8%28.9%9.7%32.2%
Ningbo Wanhao Holdings Co Ltd ($8249)5.7%412.4%-6.9%28.9%
 
Median (50 companies)7.4%3.6%7.2%-1.2%-0.9%
AVIC International Holdings Ltd ($161)19.2%-8.9%1.1%-3.9%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Advanced Card Systems Holdings Ltd ($8210)54.0%58.1%49.5%49.6%
AAC Technologies Holdings Inc ($2018)44.2%42.7%41.4%41.5%
TeleEye Holdings Ltd ($8051)44.0%42.1%38.5%37.0%40.9%
Hi Sun Technology China Ltd ($818)28.1%37.4%33.3%34.7%30.8%
Datronix Holdings Ltd ($889)32.9%32.0%34.1%34.6%
 
Median (48 companies)14.1%13.8%13.9%14.0%14.1%
AVIC International Holdings Ltd ($161)12.5%13.4%16.5%16.7%17.2%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
AAC Technologies Holdings Inc ($2018)35.8%35.8%34.9%34.8%
GCL New Energy Holdings Ltd ($451)10.8%11.1%12.6%33.0%
Daiwa Associate Holdings ($1037)2.4%3.8%2.8%25.6%-53.6%
Wasion Group Holdings Ltd ($3393)18.8%21.2%22.0%19.3%
Tongda Group Holdings Ltd ($698)17.1%16.8%18.4%18.9%
 
Median (50 companies)6.5%6.0%4.6%4.6%0.7%
AVIC International Holdings Ltd ($161)8.6%9.8%10.3%9.6%8.6%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
GCL New Energy Holdings Ltd ($451)5.5%5.1%5.4%401.2%
National Electronic Hldgs ($213)3.4%18.1%7.1%49.7%4.7%
Irico Group Electronics Co Ltd ($438)39.9%30.4%17.4%25.8%
Kingwell Group Ltd ($1195)8.6%5.4%5.3%21.4%0.0%
AAC Technologies Holdings Inc ($2018)18.7%8.7%19.6%18.4%
 
Median (50 companies)3.7%3.0%3.7%2.9%2.1%
AVIC International Holdings Ltd ($161)6.0%5.8%7.7%10.6%12.2%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
AAC Technologies Holdings Inc ($2018)29.1%30.0%26.0%27.8%
Cowell e Holdings Inc ($1415)12.5%27.1%24.4%25.8%
Changhong Jiahua Holdings Ltd ($8016)29.6%17.7%15.1%16.7%
Tongda Group Holdings Ltd ($698)15.2%13.5%16.5%16.3%
Alltronics Holdings Ltd ($833)13.1%15.2%19.8%15.6%
 
Median (50 companies)4.3%3.5%3.0%1.9%0.2%
AVIC International Holdings Ltd ($161)6.4%6.5%4.5%2.9%2.2%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
National Electronic Hldgs ($213)16.3x30.2x84.8x19.9x42.7x
GCL New Energy Holdings Ltd ($451)2.9x2.6x1.7x17.4x
Man Yue Technology Holdings Ltd ($894)2.1x2.7x3.3x6.5x
Willas-Array Electronics Holdings Ltd ($854)2.2x2.6x5.7x5.4x14.1x
SAS Dragon Hldg Ltd ($1184)7.1x2.0x6.4x4.8x
 
Median (32 companies)1.0x1.1x0.8x0.2x0.7x
AVIC International Holdings Ltd ($161)4.2x4.1x4.3x2.2x3.2x