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Tom Group Ltd Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 8.7x from 16.7x to 25.4x in 2016 while Revenue dropped on 18.4%

09/03/2017 • About Tom Group Ltd ($2383) • By InTwits

Tom Group Ltd reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Tom Group Ltd is a company in decline: FY2016 revenue growth was -18.4%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -15.0%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 8.7% in FY2016, 9.9% in FY2015, 15.8% in FY2014, -11.6% in FY2013, -3.3% in FY2012
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -1.7%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 25.4x while industry average is -0.1x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Tom Group Ltd ($2383) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue2,2061,9281,5111,2681,035-18.4%
Gross Profit625585504449388-13.6%
SG&A458444380319265-16.7%
EBITDA-73-22323912690-28.2%
Net Income-337-550-85-214-277
Balance Sheet
Cash797695536467377-19.2%
Short Term Debt21624515415091-39.5%
Long Term Debt2,0002,0762,3172,4202,5796.6%
Cash flow
Capex262161142120-100.0%
Ratios
Revenue growth-5.2%-12.6%-21.6%-16.1%-18.4%
EBITDA growth-71.0%207.4%-207.3%-47.5%-28.2%
Gross Margin28.4%30.3%33.4%35.5%37.5%2.1%
EBITDA Margin-3.3%-11.6%15.8%9.9%8.7%-1.2%
Net Income Margin-15.3%-28.5%-5.6%-16.9%-26.7%-9.8%
SG&A, % of revenue20.8%23.1%25.1%25.1%25.6%0.5%
CAPEX, % of revenue11.9%8.4%9.4%9.5%-9.5%
ROIC-8.3%-12.9%2.6%-0.6%-1.7%-1.1%
ROE-35.0%-98.6%-31.3%0.0%
Net Debt/EBITDA8.1x16.7x25.4x8.7x

Revenue and profitability


Tom Group Ltd's Revenue dropped on 18.4%. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin jumped on 137 pp from -459% to -321% in FY2016.

Gross Margin increased on 2.1 pp from 35.5% to 37.5% in FY2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 0.50 pp from 25.1% to 25.6% in FY2016.

Net Income marign decreased on 9.8 pp from -16.9% to -26.7% in FY2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 25.4x and Debt / EBITDA is 29.6x. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 8.7x from 16.7x to 25.4x in FY2016. Debt increased on 3.9% while cash dropped on 19.2%.

Appendix 1: Peers in Media


Below you can find Tom Group Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Media industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
CMMB Vision Holdings Ltd ($471)168.1%27.8%850.0%
SCMP Group Ltd ($583)7.8%12.5%-95.9%12.5%
Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Ltd ($423)2.7%3.1%5.3%4.9%
Modern Media Holdings ($72)11.8%-3.7%-4.3%-1.3%
Focus Media Network Ltd ($8112)-10.6%34.6%5.6%-5.2%
 
Median (18 companies)4.6%-1.8%-3.9%-8.8%-10.8%
Tom Group Ltd ($2383)-12.6%-21.6%-16.1%-18.4%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
I-CABLE Communications Ltd ($1097)94.8%94.7%94.1%94.4%94.0%
Focus Media Network Ltd ($8112)68.0%67.2%50.8%57.6%
Television Broadcasts Ltd ($511)62.9%60.9%59.0%54.9%
One Media Group Ltd ($426)57.3%56.7%54.5%52.7%45.6%
Modern Media Holdings ($72)57.5%55.8%55.6%50.8%
 
Median (15 companies)39.0%40.5%36.2%37.3%40.4%
Tom Group Ltd ($2383)28.4%30.3%33.4%35.5%37.5%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
SCMP Group Ltd ($583)23.5%20.5%218.1%193.5%
Media Chinese International Ltd ($685)20.0%18.3%18.1%16.5%14.3%
One Media Group Ltd ($426)18.7%23.0%22.8%15.2%-5.8%
Phoenix Satellite Television Holdings Ltd ($2008)30.1%31.1%24.6%14.1%
Oriental Press Group ($18)9.5%12.8%14.6%13.9%9.2%
 
Median (18 companies)12.9%11.6%9.8%8.9%9.2%
Tom Group Ltd ($2383)-3.3%-11.6%15.8%9.9%8.7%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
SCMP Group Ltd ($583)7.0%5.3%52.2%85.2%
Evergrande Health Industry Group Ltd ($708)14.6%2.4%2.9%13.5%
I-CABLE Communications Ltd ($1097)10.1%7.6%11.3%13.0%
Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Ltd ($423)8.4%8.5%1.3%10.0%1.5%
China 33 Media Group Ltd ($8087)1.4%0.6%1.5%8.5%
 
Median (18 companies)2.7%5.2%2.3%5.0%1.3%
Tom Group Ltd ($2383)11.9%8.4%9.4%9.5%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Media Chinese International Ltd ($685)18.6%17.8%18.4%15.6%11.1%
One Media Group Ltd ($426)25.6%21.8%16.0%8.9%-6.5%
Next Media Ltd ($282)8.5%6.7%8.2%6.8%-1.5%
Modern Media Holdings ($72)20.6%10.4%9.3%5.5%
Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Ltd ($423)11.5%-1.5%3.2%5.2%7.0%
 
Median (18 companies)5.6%5.1%2.6%1.7%-1.5%
Tom Group Ltd ($2383)-8.3%-12.9%2.6%-0.6%-1.7%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
I-CABLE Communications Ltd ($1097)-4.0x-0.8x0.2x2.0x3.8x
One Media Group Ltd ($426)-2.3x-0.6x-1.1x1.5x
Modern Media Holdings ($72)-0.8x-0.9x0.1x1.0x
Media Chinese International Ltd ($685)-1.4x0.8x0.6x0.2x-0.5x
Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Ltd ($423)-1.3x-4.6x-0.7x-0.1x-0.7x
 
Median (11 companies)-1.7x-1.3x-1.5x-0.3x-0.7x
Tom Group Ltd ($2383)8.1x16.7x25.4x