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Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd CAPEX surged on 6,787% and Revenue jumped on 267%

28/02/2017 • About Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd ($174) • By InTwits

Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd reported 2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd doesn't have a profitable business model yet: 2016 ROIC is 0.4%
  • Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd motivates its personel by high Stock Based Compensation (SBC): average SBC/Revenue for 2012-2016 was 0.0%. On average EBITDA Margin was -12.4% for the sames years0
  • Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 186.1%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 9.8%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 156 in 2016, 2.3 in 2015, 198 in 2014, 69.7 in 2013, 242 in 2012
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 0.4%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 33.6x while industry average is 2.5x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd ($174) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue50.5186.791.922.683.1267.1%
EBITDA18.5-2.9-67.9-29.327.6
Net Income6.639.2-144.8-1,135.3-253.4
Balance Sheet
Cash401.2715.32,157.9851.51,121.431.7%
Short Term Debt61.7549.80.0863.3272.5-68.4%
Long Term Debt496.81,000.21,522.61,601.61,776.510.9%
Cash flow
Capex242.269.7198.52.3156.36,787.0%
Ratios
Revenue growth-25.0%269.3%-50.8%-75.4%267.1%
EBITDA growth1,220.2%-115.5%2,270.5%-56.8%-194.2%
EBITDA Margin36.6%-1.5%-73.8%-129.5%33.2%162.8%
Net Income Margin13.1%21.0%-157.6%-5,015.9%-304.9%4,711.0%
CAPEX, % of revenue479.1%37.3%216.0%10.0%188.1%178.0%
ROIC1.8%-0.2%-1.8%-0.5%0.4%0.9%
ROE1.4%7.6%-30.4%-487.2%487.2%
Net Debt/EBITDA8.5x33.6x33.6x

Revenue and profitability


Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd's Revenue jumped on 267%. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin jumped on 44.8 pp from 44.2% to 89.0% in FY2016.

Net Income marign jumped on 4,711 pp from -5,016% to -305% in 2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 188% in 2016. CAPEX/Revenue surged on 151 pp from 37.3% in 2013 to 188% in 2016. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 138%.Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd has spent a lot to CAPEX (566% of EBITDA) to secure its growth.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 33.6x Net Debt / EBITDA and 74.2x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped33.6x from to 33.6x in 2016. Debt dropped on 16.9% while cash jumped on 31.7%.

Appendix 1: Peers in Diversified Finan Serv


Below we provide Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Diversified Finan Serv industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
China Smarter Energy Group Holdings Ltd ($1004)-23.1%-87.3%1,860.5%25.3%
Crown International Corp Ltd ($727)-75.0%117.4%802.5%-25.1%
Global Strategic Group Ltd ($8007)-3.9%2.1%806.3%681.2%
Upbest Group Ltd ($335)-61.8%24.1%208.1%-63.4%
GF Securities Co Ltd ($1776)16.3%31.8%75.0%163.9%
 
Median (64 companies)9.3%14.9%27.6%25.3%15.1%
Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd ($174)269.3%-50.8%-75.4%267.1%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Roma Group Ltd ($8072)99.4%98.7%
First China Financial Network Holdings Ltd ($8123)93.4%94.5%97.4%
China Smarter Energy Group Holdings Ltd ($1004)6.2%4.0%46.9%96.9%98.4%
Chinese Strategic Holdings Ltd ($8089)99.1%97.9%97.0%96.6%
Allied Group Ltd ($373)95.1%94.4%93.6%92.2%
 
Median (12 companies)64.2%75.1%88.2%90.3%69.9%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
China Smarter Energy Group Holdings Ltd ($1004)-282.7%-373.2%-1,524.9%212.2%55.6%
China Aircraft Leasing Group Holdings Ltd ($1848)91.3%86.4%92.9%107.0%
Get Nice Holdings Ltd ($64)2.6%153.4%92.7%83.9%84.5%
Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Ltd ($388)81.6%73.4%75.7%82.1%73.7%
Hong Kong Finance Group Co Ltd ($1273)76.9%67.5%65.2%74.8%70.3%
 
Median (66 companies)18.8%37.2%47.9%32.4%52.0%
Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd ($174)36.6%-1.5%-73.8%-129.5%33.2%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
China Aircraft Leasing Group Holdings Ltd ($1848)351.0%0.1%33.3%64.6%
Willie International Holdings Ltd ($273)0.3%0.8%58.0%
China Assurance Finance Group Ltd ($8090)94.7%68.9%53.3%51.0%
AID Partners Capital Holdings Ltd ($8088)4.1%2.9%28.4%26.6%
Hongkong Chinese Ltd ($655)0.1%25.6%0.1%
 
Median (65 companies)1.9%1.8%1.1%1.5%1.6%
Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd ($174)479.1%37.3%216.0%10.0%188.1%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Ltd ($388)29.1%20.1%21.5%29.1%19.3%
China Smarter Energy Group Holdings Ltd ($1004)-19.4%-23.0%-14.0%22.5%2.1%
Oi Wah Pawnshop Credit Holdings Ltd ($1319)32.7%20.7%14.0%15.3%12.5%
Emperor Capital Group Ltd ($717)5.1%12.8%13.1%14.6%12.4%
Roma Group Ltd ($8072)19.6%43.7%107.8%13.3%9.8%
 
Median (69 companies)4.4%4.2%4.9%3.6%4.7%
Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd ($174)1.8%-0.2%-1.8%-0.5%0.4%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Hoifu Energy Group Ltd ($7)62.5x
South China Financial Holdings Ltd ($619)56.9x
Bright Smart Securities & Commodities Group Ltd ($1428)2.1x10.3x9.3x39.3x4.3x
Far East Horizon Ltd ($3360)16.9x21.7x20.0x20.8x
Quam Ltd ($952)58.9x15.9x4.1x14.8x-18.0x
 
Median (50 companies)-0.7x0.1x-0.0x-0.0x0.5x