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China Tontine Wines Group Ltd EBITDA dropped on 415% and Revenue decreased on 7.6%

27/02/2017 • About China Tontine Wines Group Ltd ($389) • By InTwits

China Tontine Wines Group Ltd reported 2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • China Tontine Wines Group Ltd is a company in decline: 2016 revenue growth was -7.6%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -20.0%
  • The company operates at negative EBITDA Margin: -32.5%
  • China Tontine Wines Group Ltd motivates its personel by high Stock Based Compensation (SBC): average SBC/Revenue for 2012-2016 was 0.0%. On average EBITDA Margin was -28.4% for the sames years0
  • China Tontine Wines Group Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 33.7%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 9.7%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 11.8 in 2016, 8.7 in 2015, 47.8 in 2014, 228 in 2013, 101 in 2012
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -13.3%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

China Tontine Wines Group Ltd ($389) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue658.1176.0286.3293.7271.3-7.6%
Gross Profit331.2-90.124.994.684.2-11.1%
SG&A197.3292.4268.883.0187.6126.0%
EBITDA149.9-354.9-213.728.1-88.3-414.6%
Net Income88.9-503.9-659.09.6-93.3-1,073.7%
Balance Sheet
Cash1,104.9530.9172.6201.9181.7-10.0%
Short Term Debt0.00.00.00.07.1
Long Term Debt0.00.00.00.00.0
Cash flow
Capex100.7227.847.88.711.835.6%
Ratios
Revenue growth-20.7%-73.3%62.7%2.6%-7.6%
EBITDA growth-52.7%-336.7%-39.8%-113.1%-414.6%
Gross Margin50.3%-51.2%8.7%32.2%31.0%-1.2%
EBITDA Margin22.8%-201.7%-74.6%9.6%-32.5%-42.1%
Net Income Margin13.5%-286.3%-230.2%3.3%-34.4%-37.6%
SG&A, % of revenue30.0%166.2%93.9%28.3%69.1%40.9%
CAPEX, % of revenue15.3%129.4%16.7%3.0%4.3%1.4%
ROIC7.2%-22.0%-21.2%2.0%-13.3%-15.3%
ROE4.9%-31.5%-64.7%1.4%-14.1%-15.4%
Net Debt/EBITDA-7.4x-7.2x7.2x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue decreased on 7.6%. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin dropped on 42.1 pp from 9.6% to -32.5% in 2016.

Gross Margin decreased slightly on 1.2 pp from 32.2% to 31.0% in 2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue jumped on 40.9 pp from 28.3% to 69.1% in 2016.

Net Income marign dropped on 37.6 pp from 3.3% to -34.4% in 2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2016 China Tontine Wines Group Ltd had CAPEX/Revenue of 4.3%. CAPEX/Revenue dropped on 125 pp from 129% in 2013 to 4.3% in 2016. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 8.0%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-13.35%) and ROE (-14.07%). ROIC dropped on 15.3 pp from 2.0% to -13.3% in 2016. ROE dropped on 15.4 pp from 1.4% to -14.1% in 2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is -2.2x and Debt / EBITDA is . Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 7.2x from -7.2x to in 2016. Debt jumped while cash dropped on 10.0%.

Appendix 1: Peers in Beverages


Below you can find China Tontine Wines Group Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Beverages industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Sino Distillery Group Ltd ($39)-62.4%-34.9%-15.0%882.1%
China Huiyuan Juice Group Ltd ($1886)4.1%13.1%2.0%23.7%
Besunyen Holdings Co Ltd ($926)-43.5%2.6%15.7%17.5%
Vitasoy International Holdings Ltd ($345)9.0%10.9%12.4%9.9%
Tibet 5100 Water Resources Holdings Ltd ($1115)7.7%15.4%-1.8%7.7%
 
Median (15 companies)-6.5%-8.1%2.0%-5.5%2.5%
China Tontine Wines Group Ltd ($389)-73.3%62.7%2.6%-7.6%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Besunyen Holdings Co Ltd ($926)82.5%83.3%84.3%89.7%
Tenfu Cayman Holdings Co Ltd ($6868)64.1%61.2%62.2%61.4%
Tibet 5100 Water Resources Holdings Ltd ($1115)81.4%73.2%62.7%60.3%
Vitasoy International Holdings Ltd ($345)47.4%47.5%48.4%49.7%50.9%
JLF Investment Co Ltd ($472)50.9%48.7%42.4%41.8%
 
Median (15 companies)44.5%37.7%36.6%38.2%38.1%
China Tontine Wines Group Ltd ($389)50.3%-51.2%8.7%32.2%31.0%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Tibet 5100 Water Resources Holdings Ltd ($1115)73.3%73.2%69.2%52.8%
China Tianyi Holdings Ltd ($756)28.4%26.1%29.7%23.0%22.1%
Tenfu Cayman Holdings Co Ltd ($6868)27.5%25.3%26.1%22.5%
China Huiyuan Juice Group Ltd ($1886)15.2%21.7%11.3%18.3%
Yantai North Andre Juice Co ($2218)14.1%11.9%15.5%15.7%
 
Median (15 companies)15.2%10.5%11.3%13.7%5.2%
China Tontine Wines Group Ltd ($389)22.8%-201.7%-74.6%9.6%-32.5%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
China Culiangwang Beverages Holdings Ltd ($904)26.8%52.2%81.8%75.8%25.1%
China Haisheng Juice Holdings Co Ltd ($359)4.8%6.3%15.3%26.0%
China Huiyuan Juice Group Ltd ($1886)11.7%7.4%10.5%14.9%
Sino Distillery Group Ltd ($39)32.4%6.5%0.4%12.0%
Vitasoy International Holdings Ltd ($345)11.1%4.2%5.1%11.1%12.0%
 
Median (15 companies)10.1%6.5%7.3%6.1%9.2%
China Tontine Wines Group Ltd ($389)15.3%129.4%16.7%3.0%4.3%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Vitasoy International Holdings Ltd ($345)20.8%20.6%21.7%23.5%23.5%
Tenfu Cayman Holdings Co Ltd ($6868)19.4%17.9%15.7%11.0%
Tibet 5100 Water Resources Holdings Ltd ($1115)23.3%20.3%14.9%11.0%
Tsingtao Brewery Co Ltd ($168)13.4%12.0%12.2%6.7%
Besunyen Holdings Co Ltd ($926)-24.2%-8.9%3.2%4.1%
 
Median (15 companies)12.7%3.7%3.2%3.2%1.9%
China Tontine Wines Group Ltd ($389)7.2%-22.0%-21.2%2.0%-13.3%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
China Haisheng Juice Holdings Co Ltd ($359)11.9x16.2x8.9x9.9x
China Huiyuan Juice Group Ltd ($1886)5.4x4.3x7.9x4.3x
San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong Ltd ($236)2.0x1.0x3.8x1.0x
Yantai North Andre Juice Co ($2218)2.3x2.4x2.2x3.0x
China Tianyi Holdings Ltd ($756)-1.0x-0.8x0.9x1.1x1.0x
 
Median (10 companies)-0.7x1.0x0.9x0.6x1.0x
China Tontine Wines Group Ltd ($389)-7.4x-7.2x