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San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong Ltd reports 195% EBITDA growth in 2016 while 4.9% Revenue decline

24/02/2017 • About San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong Ltd ($236) • By InTwits

San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong Ltd reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong Ltd is a company in decline: FY2016 revenue growth was -4.9%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -4.6%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 6.1% in FY2016, 2.0% in FY2015, 7.7% in FY2014, 6.7% in FY2013, -4.4% in FY2012
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 1.2%
  • It operates with medium-size leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 1.0x while industry average is 1.2x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong Ltd ($236) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue686.4687.1728.6569.5541.4-4.9%
Gross Profit293.9290.3311.8237.7238.30.3%
SG&A358.0295.5315.2281.0261.2-7.0%
EBITDA-29.945.955.811.233.0194.5%
Net Income237.726.035.3-16.18.7
Balance Sheet
Cash100.9112.7135.6148.6157.76.1%
Short Term Debt86.712.750.90.025.4
Long Term Debt145.1190.8140.0190.7165.4-13.3%
Cash flow
Capex14.25.011.35.0-100.0%
Ratios
Revenue growth0.4%0.1%6.0%-21.8%-4.9%
EBITDA growth-27.1%-253.6%21.6%-79.9%194.5%
Gross Margin42.8%42.2%42.8%41.7%44.0%2.3%
EBITDA Margin-4.4%6.7%7.7%2.0%6.1%4.1%
Net Income Margin34.6%3.8%4.8%-2.8%1.6%4.4%
SG&A, % of revenue52.2%43.0%43.3%49.3%48.2%-1.1%
CAPEX, % of revenue2.1%0.7%1.5%0.9%-0.9%
ROIC-6.8%2.8%3.9%-2.0%1.2%3.3%
ROE55.6%4.7%6.0%-2.7%1.5%4.2%
Net Debt/EBITDA2.0x1.0x3.8x1.0x-2.8x

Revenue and profitability


San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong Ltd's Revenue decreased on 4.9%. Despite revenue decline the EBITDA margin expanded. EBITDA Margin increased on 4.1 pp from 2.0% to 6.1% in FY2016.

Gross Margin increased on 2.3 pp from 41.7% to 44.0% in FY2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased slightly on 1.1 pp from 49.3% to 48.2% in FY2016.

Net Income marign increased on 4.4 pp from -2.8% to 1.6% in FY2016.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (1.23%) and ROE (1.50%). ROIC increased on 3.3 pp from -2.0% to 1.2% in FY2016. ROE increased on 4.2 pp from -2.7% to 1.5% in FY2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 1.0x Net Debt / EBITDA and 5.8x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 2.8x from 3.8x to 1.0x in FY2016. Debt showed almost no change in FY2016 while cash increased on 6.1%.

Appendix 1: Peers in Beverages


Below we provide San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Beverages industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Sino Distillery Group Ltd ($39)-62.4%-34.9%-15.0%882.1%
China Huiyuan Juice Group Ltd ($1886)4.1%13.1%2.0%23.7%
Besunyen Holdings Co Ltd ($926)-43.5%2.6%15.7%17.5%
Vitasoy International Holdings Ltd ($345)9.0%10.9%12.4%9.9%
Tibet 5100 Water Resources Holdings Ltd ($1115)7.7%15.4%-1.8%7.7%
 
Median (15 companies)-7.5%-13.0%2.0%-4.7%9.9%
San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong Ltd ($236)0.1%6.0%-21.8%-4.9%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Besunyen Holdings Co Ltd ($926)82.5%83.3%84.3%89.7%
Tenfu Cayman Holdings Co Ltd ($6868)64.1%61.2%62.2%61.4%
Tibet 5100 Water Resources Holdings Ltd ($1115)81.4%73.2%62.7%60.3%
Vitasoy International Holdings Ltd ($345)47.4%47.5%48.4%49.7%50.9%
JLF Investment Co Ltd ($472)50.9%48.7%42.4%41.8%
 
Median (15 companies)44.8%34.7%34.7%36.1%34.8%
San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong Ltd ($236)42.8%42.2%42.8%41.7%44.0%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Tibet 5100 Water Resources Holdings Ltd ($1115)73.3%73.2%69.2%52.8%
China Tianyi Holdings Ltd ($756)28.4%26.1%29.7%23.0%22.1%
Tenfu Cayman Holdings Co Ltd ($6868)27.5%25.3%26.1%22.5%
China Huiyuan Juice Group Ltd ($1886)15.2%21.7%11.3%18.3%
Yantai North Andre Juice Co ($2218)14.1%11.9%15.5%15.7%
 
Median (15 companies)17.3%10.5%11.3%13.7%4.2%
San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong Ltd ($236)-4.4%6.7%7.7%2.0%6.1%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
China Culiangwang Beverages Holdings Ltd ($904)26.8%52.2%81.8%75.8%25.1%
China Haisheng Juice Holdings Co Ltd ($359)4.8%6.3%15.3%26.0%
China Huiyuan Juice Group Ltd ($1886)11.7%7.4%10.5%14.9%
Sino Distillery Group Ltd ($39)32.4%6.5%0.4%12.0%
Vitasoy International Holdings Ltd ($345)11.1%4.2%5.1%11.1%12.0%
 
Median (15 companies)11.1%7.3%8.8%6.1%9.2%
San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong Ltd ($236)2.1%0.7%1.5%0.9%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Vitasoy International Holdings Ltd ($345)20.8%20.6%21.7%23.5%23.5%
Tenfu Cayman Holdings Co Ltd ($6868)19.4%17.9%15.7%11.0%
Tibet 5100 Water Resources Holdings Ltd ($1115)23.3%20.3%14.9%11.0%
Tsingtao Brewery Co Ltd ($168)13.4%12.0%12.2%6.7%
Besunyen Holdings Co Ltd ($926)-24.2%-8.9%3.2%4.1%
 
Median (15 companies)12.7%3.7%2.7%3.2%2.6%
San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong Ltd ($236)-6.8%2.8%3.9%-2.0%1.2%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
China Haisheng Juice Holdings Co Ltd ($359)11.9x16.2x8.9x9.9x
China Huiyuan Juice Group Ltd ($1886)5.4x4.3x7.9x4.3x
Yantai North Andre Juice Co ($2218)2.3x2.4x2.2x3.0x
China Tianyi Holdings Ltd ($756)-1.0x-0.8x0.9x1.1x1.0x
Tenfu Cayman Holdings Co Ltd ($6868)-1.0x-0.2x0.8x0.1x
 
Median (10 companies)-1.0x0.0x0.9x-0.0x1.0x
San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong Ltd ($236)2.0x1.0x3.8x1.0x