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Beijing Capital Land Ltd Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 12.1x from 49.1x to 37.0x in 2016 while Debt surged on 11.5%

20/02/2017 • About Beijing Capital Land Ltd ($2868) • By InTwits

Beijing Capital Land Ltd reported 2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Beijing Capital Land Ltd doesn't have a profitable business model yet: 2016 ROIC is 1.2%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 5.2% in 2016, 4.0% in 2015, 16.9% in 2014, 20.0% in 2013, 17.2% in 2012
  • Beijing Capital Land Ltd has medium CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 7.4%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 5.5%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 1,348 in 2016, 1,027 in 2015, 749 in 2014, 547 in 2013, 799 in 2012
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 1.2%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 37.0x while industry average is 3.6x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Beijing Capital Land Ltd ($2868) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue8,12810,2529,41314,87318,91627.2%
Gross Profit1,9402,6962,3561,7932,05214.4%
SG&A5766908191,1091,084-2.3%
EBITDA1,3972,0501,59058898767.9%
Net Income1,1111,5221,6902,0792,032-2.3%
Balance Sheet
Cash8,61711,34513,89719,93717,909-10.2%
Short Term Debt3,4988,16111,6249,80716,90372.3%
Long Term Debt15,07712,71720,94838,98637,506-3.8%
Cash flow
Capex7995477491,0271,34831.2%
Ratios
Revenue growth21.2%26.1%-8.2%58.0%27.2%
EBITDA growth-12.6%46.8%-22.5%-63.0%67.9%
Gross Margin23.9%26.3%25.0%12.1%10.8%-1.2%
EBITDA Margin17.2%20.0%16.9%4.0%5.2%1.3%
Net Income Margin13.7%14.8%18.0%14.0%10.7%-3.2%
SG&A, % of revenue7.1%6.7%8.7%7.5%5.7%-1.7%
CAPEX, % of revenue9.8%5.3%8.0%6.9%7.1%0.2%
ROIC5.2%5.9%3.3%0.8%1.2%0.4%
ROE16.7%18.6%19.0%17.0%12.7%-4.3%
Net Debt/EBITDA7.1x4.6x11.7x49.1x37.0x-12.1x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue jumped on 27.2%. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 2.2 pp from 23.8% to 26.0% in FY2016.

Gross Margin decreased slightly on 1.2 pp from 12.1% to 10.8% in 2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased slightly on 1.7 pp from 7.5% to 5.7% in 2016.

Net Income marign decreased on 3.2 pp from 14.0% to 10.7% in 2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 7.1% in 2016. CAPEX/Revenue increased slightly on 1.8 pp from 5.3% in 2013 to 7.1% in 2016. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 7.3%.Beijing Capital Land Ltd has spent a lot to CAPEX (137% of EBITDA) to secure its growth.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROE (12.69%) while ROIC is low (1.18%). ROIC showed almost no change in 2016. ROE decreased on 4.3 pp from 17.0% to 12.7% in 2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 37.0x and Debt / EBITDA is 55.1x. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 12.1x from 49.1x to 37.0x in 2016. Debt jumped on 11.5% while cash dropped on 10.2%.

Appendix 1: Peers in Real Estate


Below you can find Beijing Capital Land Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Real Estate industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd ($124)24,971.2%
GR Properties Ltd ($108)21.6%-82.9%14.6%1,203.6%
Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd ($169)-51.4%-86.2%1,071.2%
Henderson Investment Ltd ($97)-78.9%737.1%
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)-95.2%75.7%678.6%206.4%
 
Median (179 companies)16.9%13.1%5.3%4.2%6.0%
Beijing Capital Land Ltd ($2868)26.1%-8.2%58.0%27.2%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Renhe Commercial Holdings Co Ltd ($1387)79.0%95.2%97.9%99.9%
Tern Properties Co Ltd ($277)96.7%98.4%98.4%98.7%98.8%
YT Realty Group Ltd ($75)94.4%96.6%96.7%97.6%
Wah Ha Realty Co Ltd ($278)96.3%96.0%93.2%95.9%92.9%
Soundwill Holdings Ltd ($878)53.1%74.5%46.9%95.7%
 
Median (160 companies)42.1%41.9%39.3%38.4%53.2%
Beijing Capital Land Ltd ($2868)23.9%26.3%25.0%12.1%10.8%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Chinese Estates Holdings Ltd ($127)356.2%91.6%195.5%397.4%
Zall Development Group Ltd ($2098)105.3%133.1%143.2%213.9%
SOHO China Ltd ($410)113.6%80.8%104.0%201.9%
Beijing Properties Holdings Ltd ($925)-606.3%2,162.6%224.3%186.5%
Swire Properties Ltd ($1972)154.5%114.6%73.2%100.3%
 
Median (179 companies)29.3%28.5%27.8%23.5%31.7%
Beijing Capital Land Ltd ($2868)17.2%20.0%16.9%4.0%5.2%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
LT Commercial Real Estate Ltd ($112)0.0%18.0%27,965.5%4,834.8%
China Oceanwide Holdings Ltd ($715)0.8%0.3%2.0%880.6%
Madex International Holdings Ltd ($231)174.5%519.7%205.3%350.6%
Pacific Century Premium Developments Ltd ($432)2.9%323.1%351.2%340.6%570.7%
Hon Kwok Land Investment Co Ltd ($160)20.6%157.3%144.5%296.3%28.1%
 
Median (179 companies)5.6%6.2%4.7%3.2%3.8%
Beijing Capital Land Ltd ($2868)9.8%5.3%8.0%6.9%7.1%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Hydoo International Holding Ltd ($1396)44.3%62.0%12.9%16.6%
Gemdale Properties & Investment Corp Ltd ($535)15.3%19.6%10.8%15.9%
China Overseas Land & Investment Ltd ($688)15.1%18.5%15.4%13.0%
Colour Life Services Group Co Ltd ($1778)44.2%47.9%29.3%14.5%
Dalian Wanda Commercial Properties Co Ltd ($3699)26.8%19.6%12.3%14.4%
 
Median (181 companies)4.0%4.0%4.2%2.5%1.7%
Beijing Capital Land Ltd ($2868)5.2%5.9%3.3%0.8%1.2%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Shui On Land Ltd ($272)22.1x13.2x17.1x54.2x
Talent Property Group Ltd ($760)43.0x
Mingfa Group International Co Ltd ($846)2.5x3.0x6.3x42.9x
Sunshine 100 China Holdings Ltd ($2608)9.9x12.4x12.9x42.3x
Greenland Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ($337)6.2x49.3x38.4x
 
Median (136 companies)2.3x2.7x3.0x3.2x2.0x
Beijing Capital Land Ltd ($2868)7.1x4.6x11.7x49.1x37.0x