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MGM China Holdings Ltd Debt jumped on 25.4% in 2016 and Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 1.3x from 1.5x to 2.9x

16/02/2017 • About MGM China Holdings Ltd ($2282) • By InTwits

MGM China Holdings Ltd reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • MGM China Holdings Ltd is a company in decline: FY2016 revenue growth was -13.2%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -6.0%
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is at 16.0%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

MGM China Holdings Ltd ($2282) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue21,77425,72825,45417,17014,907-13.2%
EBITDA5,2256,3116,5684,0863,871-5.3%
Net Income4,5315,3345,7073,1133,037-2.4%
Balance Sheet
Cash7,3817,8854,2325,4213,547-34.6%
Short Term Debt0000605
Long Term Debt3,9834,0494,11811,73214,10420.2%
Cash flow
Capex1,0391,9362,7544,504-100.0%
Ratios
Revenue growth7.3%18.2%-1.1%-32.5%-13.2%
EBITDA growth10.8%20.8%4.1%-37.8%-5.3%
EBITDA Margin24.0%24.5%25.8%23.8%26.0%2.2%
Net Income Margin20.8%20.7%22.4%18.1%20.4%2.2%
CAPEX, % of revenue4.8%7.5%10.8%26.2%-26.2%
ROIC46.2%53.8%54.5%24.0%16.0%-8.0%
ROE87.8%85.9%88.9%55.3%50.1%-5.2%
Net Debt/EBITDA-0.7x-0.6x-0.0x1.5x2.9x1.3x

Revenue and profitability


MGM China Holdings Ltd's Revenue dropped on 13.2%. Despite revenue decline the EBITDA margin expanded. EBITDA Margin increased on 2.2 pp from 23.8% to 26.0% in FY2016.

Net Income marign increased on 2.2 pp from 18.1% to 20.4% in FY2016.

Return on investment


The company operates at high and attractive ROE (50.06%) while ROIC is a bit lower (16.00%). ROIC decreased on 8.0 pp from 24.0% to 16.0% in FY2016. ROE decreased on 5.2 pp from 55.3% to 50.1% in FY2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 2.9x Net Debt / EBITDA and 3.8x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 1.3x from 1.5x to 2.9x in FY2016. Debt surged on 25.4% while cash dropped on 34.6%.

Management team


MGM China Holdings Ltd's CEO is Grant R Bowie. Grant R Bowie has 8 years tenure at the company. MGM China Holdings Ltd's CFO is Wang Zhi Qi "Hubert". Wang Zhi Qi "Hubert" has 7 years tenure at the company.

Appendix 1: Peers in Lodging


Below you can find MGM China Holdings Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Lodging industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
China New City Commercial Development Ltd ($1321)-16.9%433.0%-76.2%141.3%
Zhuhai Holdings Investment Group Ltd ($908)229.8%14.5%57.0%76.3%
Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotels Group Co Ltd ($2006)-28.8%3.2%0.8%29.9%
Century City International Holdings Ltd ($355)283.6%108.7%-35.8%25.9%
Far East Consortium International Ltd/HK ($35)111.9%9.0%25.7%-21.8%
 
Median (23 companies)10.7%10.2%0.8%-3.5%-3.2%
MGM China Holdings Ltd ($2282)18.2%-1.1%-32.5%-13.2%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
SJM Holdings Ltd ($880)99.7%99.7%99.7%99.5%
Wynn Macau Ltd ($1128)97.9%98.3%98.5%98.4%
Emperor Entertainment Hotel Ltd ($296)77.1%75.6%76.8%70.9%65.5%
Asia Standard Hotel Group Ltd ($292)60.7%73.4%72.1%67.6%65.8%
Sino Hotels Holdings Ltd ($1221)71.3%70.4%68.9%65.8%62.0%
 
Median (18 companies)56.4%51.1%51.7%48.6%62.0%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
NagaCorp Ltd ($3918)49.8%50.1%42.8%45.3%48.1%
Emperor Entertainment Hotel Ltd ($296)44.9%46.4%46.9%43.1%36.2%
Jinmao Investments and Jinmao China Investments Holdings Ltd ($6139)41.2%40.5%25.8%41.5%
Asia Standard Hotel Group Ltd ($292)-23.9%65.2%49.9%40.4%17.8%
Sino Hotels Holdings Ltd ($1221)46.5%45.9%43.1%39.6%33.1%
 
Median (23 companies)26.8%26.4%25.8%22.6%33.1%
MGM China Holdings Ltd ($2282)24.0%24.5%25.8%23.8%26.0%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Macau Legend Development Ltd ($1680)5.0%24.2%73.0%68.5%
Wynn Macau Ltd ($1128)5.2%11.0%28.2%66.6%
Legend Strategy International Holdings Group Co Ltd ($1355)17.0%38.0%1.2%62.6%
Century City International Holdings Ltd ($355)21.2%32.9%13.4%35.8%
Shangri-La Asia Ltd ($69)48.5%33.1%41.2%34.3%
 
Median (23 companies)7.4%11.0%13.2%12.8%10.3%
MGM China Holdings Ltd ($2282)4.8%7.5%10.8%26.2%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
NagaCorp Ltd ($3918)30.6%28.9%22.6%28.6%21.3%
Sands China Ltd ($1928)14.2%24.4%26.7%15.8%
Emperor Entertainment Hotel Ltd ($296)22.2%21.1%18.4%12.0%7.5%
Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd ($27)25.2%30.0%27.5%10.2%
Wynn Macau Ltd ($1128)53.9%42.3%29.9%9.9%
 
Median (23 companies)5.7%5.6%3.6%2.7%4.2%
MGM China Holdings Ltd ($2282)46.2%53.8%54.5%24.0%16.0%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
China New City Commercial Development Ltd ($1321)26.0x7.9x100.1x
Century City International Holdings Ltd ($355)6.5x9.3x11.2x12.3x
Regal Hotels International Holdings Ltd ($78)5.0x8.7x11.8x11.1x
Shangri-La Asia Ltd ($69)6.0x6.8x6.9x9.8x
Macau Legend Development Ltd ($1680)2.2x0.6x0.2x7.1x
 
Median (21 companies)1.2x0.8x1.0x4.0x2.3x
MGM China Holdings Ltd ($2282)-0.7x-0.6x-0.0x1.5x2.9x