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China Polymetallic Mining Ltd EBITDA dropped on 2,957% and Revenue dropped on 75.4%

14/02/2017 • About China Polymetallic Mining Ltd ($2133) • By InTwits

China Polymetallic Mining Ltd reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • China Polymetallic Mining Ltd is a company in decline: FY2016 revenue growth was -75.4%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -20.1%
  • EBITDA Margin is declining: -320.9% in FY2016 vs. 2.8% in FY2015 vs. 62.8% in FY2012
  • China Polymetallic Mining Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 113.1%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 31.6%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 88.3 in FY2016, 32.5 in FY2015, 103 in FY2014, 212 in FY2013, 216 in FY2012
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -4.8%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 37.8x while industry average is 4.4x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

China Polymetallic Mining Ltd ($2133) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue477.1489.9187.592.522.8-75.4%
Gross Profit390.2363.797.235.9-1.1-102.9%
SG&A121.8129.650.343.752.319.7%
EBITDA299.8286.6101.52.6-73.2-2,957.1%
Net Income177.0138.512.3-94.1-126.9
Balance Sheet
Cash267.0587.4781.6672.740.8-93.9%
Short Term Debt60.0188.0966.5201.0505.2151.4%
Long Term Debt60.00.00.0304.90.0-100.0%
Cash flow
Capex216.3212.0102.632.588.3171.6%
Ratios
Revenue growth579.8%2.7%-61.7%-50.7%-75.4%
EBITDA growth-232.7%-4.4%-64.6%-97.5%-2,957.1%
Gross Margin81.8%74.2%51.8%38.9%-4.6%-43.5%
EBITDA Margin62.8%58.5%54.1%2.8%-320.9%-323.7%
Net Income Margin37.1%28.3%6.5%-101.7%-556.4%-454.7%
SG&A, % of revenue25.5%26.5%26.8%47.3%229.4%182.2%
CAPEX, % of revenue45.3%43.3%54.7%35.1%387.1%352.0%
ROIC16.6%12.3%2.4%-1.5%-4.8%-3.3%
ROE12.4%8.6%0.7%-5.7%-8.3%-2.6%
Net Debt/EBITDA-0.5x-1.4x1.8x-65.2x65.2x

Revenue and profitability


China Polymetallic Mining Ltd's Revenue dropped on 75.4%. Revenue decline was worsened by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin dropped on 324 pp from 2.8% to -321% in FY2016.

Gross Margin dropped on 43.5 pp from 38.9% to -4.6% in FY2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue jumped on 182 pp from 47.3% to 229% in FY2016.

Net Income marign dropped on 455 pp from -102% to -556% in FY2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 387% in FY2016. CAPEX/Revenue jumped on 344 pp from 43.3% in FY2013 to 387% in FY2016. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 159%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-4.77%) and ROE (-8.29%). ROIC decreased on 3.3 pp from -1.5% to -4.8% in FY2016. ROE decreased on 2.6 pp from -5.7% to -8.3% in FY2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 37.8x and Debt / EBITDA is . Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 65.2x from -65.2x to in FY2016. Debt showed almost no change in FY2016 while cash dropped on 93.9%.

Appendix 1: Peers in Mining


Below we provide China Polymetallic Mining Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Mining industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Mongolia Energy Corp Ltd ($276)89.7%-95.8%2,361.6%1,178.3%
Real Gold Mining Ltd ($246)-44.0%-68.0%-26.2%106.2%
REX Global Entertainment Holdings Ltd ($164)81.6%-15.5%96.4%30.4%
Hengxing Gold Holding Co Ltd ($2303)3,467.3%78.0%
Zijin Mining Group Co Ltd ($2899)21.6%2.5%18.1%26.9%
 
Median (47 companies)6.4%-1.7%-5.1%-14.0%-17.7%
China Polymetallic Mining Ltd ($2133)2.7%-61.7%-50.7%-75.4%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Sino Prosper Group Holdings Ltd ($766)2.5%5.1%39.6%93.0%87.4%
REX Global Entertainment Holdings Ltd ($164)-15.8%-7.8%-0.8%88.6%87.3%
China Billion Resources Ltd ($274)71.4%47.2%73.4%79.7%
Sun International Resources Ltd ($8029)83.2%73.1%64.8%69.4%58.8%
Timeless Software Ltd ($8028)17.7%48.5%29.4%42.1%39.9%
 
Median (48 companies)14.4%13.8%15.4%12.7%39.9%
China Polymetallic Mining Ltd ($2133)81.8%74.2%51.8%38.9%-4.6%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
G-Resources Group Ltd ($1051)54.5%53.4%58.3%
China Precious Metal Resources Holdings Co Ltd ($1194)70.0%64.6%59.6%51.3%
Timeless Software Ltd ($8028)-113.1%24.7%-13.7%46.1%28.0%
Hengxing Gold Holding Co Ltd ($2303)-766.2%24.5%43.9%
Sino Prosper Group Holdings Ltd ($766)-138.6%-138.2%-378.4%42.9%28.5%
 
Median (48 companies)4.9%7.8%5.2%5.1%-37.0%
China Polymetallic Mining Ltd ($2133)62.8%58.5%54.1%2.8%-320.9%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Mongolia Energy Corp Ltd ($276)8,006.5%1,061.7%30,555.4%1,973.0%20.9%
Kaz Minerals ($847)36.6%136.5%168.8%168.7%
Chinalco Mining Corp International ($3668)115.6%
China Dynamics Holdings Ltd ($476)1.8%0.0%1.0%113.8%5.7%
MMG Ltd ($1208)25.7%22.6%41.9%100.4%
 
Median (48 companies)17.2%16.8%15.8%12.1%4.1%
China Polymetallic Mining Ltd ($2133)45.3%43.3%54.7%35.1%387.1%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
CGN Mining Co Ltd ($1164)2.6%3.3%7.9%16.7%
United Co RUSAL PLC ($486)0.3%-9.0%6.3%12.3%
Xingfa Aluminium Holdings Ltd ($98)7.6%8.8%11.7%11.8%
Timeless Software Ltd ($8028)-29.1%7.3%-4.6%11.6%3.9%
China Hongqiao Group Ltd ($1378)24.8%17.0%14.1%10.6%
 
Median (49 companies)0.9%2.3%0.0%-1.0%-5.7%
China Polymetallic Mining Ltd ($2133)16.6%12.3%2.4%-1.5%-4.8%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd ($661)9.2x9.7x9.2x31.5x
Chinalco Mining Corp International ($3668)25.0x
MMG Ltd ($1208)2.1x2.0x10.2x20.2x
Kaz Minerals ($847)2.4x2.9x5.5x18.7x
China Precious Metal Resources Holdings Co Ltd ($1194)1.5x4.1x6.4x13.5x
 
Median (28 companies)2.0x1.9x4.6x3.8x-1.8x
China Polymetallic Mining Ltd ($2133)-0.5x-1.4x1.8x-65.2x