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NagaCorp Ltd reports 11.9% EBITDA growth in 2016 and 5.5% Revenue growth

08/02/2017 • About NagaCorp Ltd ($3918) • By InTwits

NagaCorp Ltd reported 2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • NagaCorp Ltd is a growth stock: 2016 revenue growth was 5.5%, 5 year revenue CAGR was 18.9% at 2016 ROIC 21.3%
  • NagaCorp Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 24.1%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 21.2%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 137 in 2016, 140 in 2015, 97.1 in 2014, 59.4 in 2013, 72.2 in 2012
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is at 21.3%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

NagaCorp Ltd ($3918) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue278.8344.9404.3503.7531.65.5%
Gross Profit203.2248.6272.7327.8366.811.9%
SG&A47.252.611.5%
EBITDA138.9172.7172.9228.3255.511.9%
Net Income113.1140.3136.1172.6184.26.7%
Balance Sheet
Cash73.2252.1178.2143.1210.947.4%
Short Term Debt0.00.00.00.00.0
Long Term Debt0.00.00.00.00.0
Cash flow
Capex72.259.497.1140.2137.0-2.3%
Ratios
Revenue growth24.6%23.7%17.2%24.6%5.5%
EBITDA growth26.1%24.3%0.1%32.1%11.9%
Gross Margin72.9%72.1%67.4%65.1%69.0%3.9%
EBITDA Margin49.8%50.1%42.8%45.3%48.1%2.7%
Net Income Margin40.6%40.7%33.7%34.3%34.6%0.4%
SG&A, % of revenue9.4%9.9%0.5%
CAPEX, % of revenue25.9%17.2%24.0%27.8%25.8%-2.1%
ROIC30.6%28.9%22.6%28.6%21.3%-7.3%
ROE30.0%28.0%22.2%26.3%19.0%-7.3%
Net Debt/EBITDA-0.5x-1.5x-1.0x-0.6x-0.8x-0.2x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue increased on 5.5%. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 4.0 pp from 8.3% to 12.3% in FY2016.

Gross Margin increased on 3.9 pp from 65.1% to 69.0% in 2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 0.53 pp from 9.4% to 9.9% in 2016.

Net Income marign showed almost no change in 2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2016 NagaCorp Ltd had CAPEX/Revenue of 25.8%. CAPEX/Revenue increased on 8.6 pp from 17.2% in 2013 to 25.8% in 2016. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 25.9%.NagaCorp Ltd maintained rich investment policy and has spent a big chunk of EBITDA (53.6%) to CAPEX.

Return on investment


The company operates at high and attractive ROIC (21.31%) while ROE is a bit lower (19.01%). ROIC decreased on 7.3 pp from 28.6% to 21.3% in 2016. ROE decreased on 7.3 pp from 26.3% to 19.0% in 2016.

Leverage (Debt)


The company has no debt. Cash jumped on 47.4%.

Appendix 1: Peers in Lodging


Below you can find NagaCorp Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Lodging industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
China New City Commercial Development Ltd ($1321)-16.9%433.0%-76.2%141.3%
Zhuhai Holdings Investment Group Ltd ($908)229.8%14.5%57.0%76.3%
Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotels Group Co Ltd ($2006)-28.8%3.2%0.8%29.9%
Century City International Holdings Ltd ($355)283.6%108.7%-35.8%25.9%
Far East Consortium International Ltd/HK ($35)111.9%9.0%25.7%-21.8%
 
Median (23 companies)8.7%10.2%0.7%-10.2%-7.5%
NagaCorp Ltd ($3918)23.7%17.2%24.6%5.5%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
SJM Holdings Ltd ($880)99.7%99.7%99.7%99.5%
Wynn Macau Ltd ($1128)97.9%98.3%98.5%98.4%
Emperor Entertainment Hotel Ltd ($296)77.1%75.6%76.8%70.9%65.5%
Asia Standard Hotel Group Ltd ($292)60.7%73.4%72.1%67.6%65.8%
Sino Hotels Holdings Ltd ($1221)71.3%70.4%68.9%65.8%62.0%
 
Median (17 companies)55.7%46.3%51.3%45.4%62.0%
NagaCorp Ltd ($3918)72.9%72.1%67.4%65.1%69.0%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Emperor Entertainment Hotel Ltd ($296)44.9%46.4%46.9%43.1%36.2%
Jinmao Investments and Jinmao China Investments Holdings Ltd ($6139)41.2%40.5%25.8%41.5%
Asia Standard Hotel Group Ltd ($292)-23.9%65.2%49.9%40.4%17.8%
Sino Hotels Holdings Ltd ($1221)46.5%45.9%43.1%39.6%33.1%
Far East Consortium International Ltd/HK ($35)57.2%34.5%43.0%36.4%37.3%
 
Median (23 companies)26.7%26.4%25.8%22.6%33.1%
NagaCorp Ltd ($3918)49.8%50.1%42.8%45.3%48.1%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Macau Legend Development Ltd ($1680)5.0%24.2%73.0%68.5%
Wynn Macau Ltd ($1128)5.2%11.0%28.2%66.6%
Legend Strategy International Holdings Group Co Ltd ($1355)17.0%38.0%1.2%62.6%
Century City International Holdings Ltd ($355)21.2%32.9%13.4%35.8%
Shangri-La Asia Ltd ($69)48.5%33.1%41.2%34.3%
 
Median (23 companies)6.3%8.9%10.8%12.8%6.4%
NagaCorp Ltd ($3918)25.9%17.2%24.0%27.8%25.8%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
MGM China Holdings Ltd ($2282)46.2%53.8%54.5%24.0%
Sands China Ltd ($1928)14.2%24.4%26.7%15.8%
Emperor Entertainment Hotel Ltd ($296)22.2%21.1%18.4%12.0%7.5%
Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd ($27)25.2%30.0%27.5%10.2%
Wynn Macau Ltd ($1128)53.9%42.3%29.9%9.9%
 
Median (23 companies)5.7%5.6%3.6%2.7%2.6%
NagaCorp Ltd ($3918)30.6%28.9%22.6%28.6%21.3%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
China New City Commercial Development Ltd ($1321)26.0x7.9x100.1x
Century City International Holdings Ltd ($355)6.5x9.3x11.2x12.3x
Regal Hotels International Holdings Ltd ($78)5.0x8.7x11.8x11.1x
Shangri-La Asia Ltd ($69)6.0x6.8x6.9x9.8x
Macau Legend Development Ltd ($1680)2.2x0.6x0.2x7.1x
 
Median (21 companies)1.2x0.8x1.0x4.0x4.2x
NagaCorp Ltd ($3918)-0.5x-1.5x-1.0x-0.6x-0.8x