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China Maple Leaf Educational Systems Ltd reports 49.6% Net Income growth in 2016 and 6.2 pp EBITDA Margin growth from 35.6% to 41.8%

29/11/2016 • About China Maple Leaf Educational Systems Ltd ($1317) • By InTwits

China Maple Leaf Educational Systems Ltd reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • China Maple Leaf Educational Systems Ltd is a fast growth stock: FY2016 revenue growth was 27.1%, 5 year revenue CAGR was 19.1% at FY2016 ROIC 15.0%
  • China Maple Leaf Educational Systems Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 29.7%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 8.3%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 150 in FY2016, 214 in FY2015, 114 in FY2014, 240 in FY2013, 106 in FY2012
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is at 15.0%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

China Maple Leaf Educational Systems Ltd ($1317) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue413.5471.2540.3653.0829.827.1%
Gross Profit191.1202.5235.1298.7401.734.5%
SG&A62.377.096.2124.2147.819.0%
EBITDA160.0163.4187.1232.5347.149.3%
Net Income94.033.240.0205.5307.649.6%
Balance Sheet
Cash297.0409.3380.31,022.11,237.921.1%
Short Term Debt170.0215.0223.50.00.0
Long Term Debt0.060.0476.50.00.0
Cash flow
Capex106.1239.7113.7214.4149.6-30.2%
Ratios
Revenue growth19.5%14.0%14.7%20.9%27.1%
EBITDA growth9.2%2.1%14.5%24.3%49.3%
Gross Margin46.2%43.0%43.5%45.7%48.4%2.7%
EBITDA Margin38.7%34.7%34.6%35.6%41.8%6.2%
Net Income Margin22.7%7.0%7.4%31.5%37.1%5.6%
SG&A, % of revenue15.1%16.3%17.8%19.0%17.8%-1.2%
CAPEX, % of revenue25.7%50.9%21.1%32.8%18.0%-14.8%
ROIC22.7%19.2%14.8%11.9%15.0%3.2%
ROE27.9%8.3%9.0%18.0%16.0%-2.0%
Net Debt/EBITDA-0.8x-0.8x1.7x-4.4x-3.6x0.8x

Revenue and profitability


China Maple Leaf Educational Systems Ltd's Revenue jumped on 27.1%. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin dropped on 27.2 pp from 18.0% to -9.2% in FY2016.

Gross Margin increased on 2.7 pp from 45.7% to 48.4% in FY2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased slightly on 1.2 pp from 19.0% to 17.8% in FY2016.

Net Income marign increased on 5.6 pp from 31.5% to 37.1% in FY2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In FY2016 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 18.0%. The company showed big decline in CAPEX/Revenue of 32.9 pp from 50.9% in FY2013 to 18.0% in FY2016. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 24.0%.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROIC (15.05%) and ROE (16.04%). ROIC increased on 3.2 pp from 11.9% to 15.0% in FY2016. ROE decreased slightly on 2.0 pp from 18.0% to 16.0% in FY2016.

Leverage (Debt)


The company has no debt. Cash surged on 21.1%.

Appendix 1: Peers in Commercial Services


Below you can find China Maple Leaf Educational Systems Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Commercial Services industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Kai Yuan Holdings Ltd ($1215)99.1%14.9%-88.3%271.8%
China Seven Star Holdings Ltd ($245)6.7%-81.8%-39.3%195.3%
China Smartpay Group Holdings Ltd ($8325)274.7%75.6%124.5%79.5%
Celebrate International Holdings Ltd ($8212)1,437.6%-6.3%117.0%-78.1%
Haier Healthwise Holdings Ltd ($348)-50.1%-7.5%101.1%-9.4%
 
Median (67 companies)6.5%8.6%9.8%4.0%8.7%
China Maple Leaf Educational Systems Ltd ($1317)14.0%14.7%20.9%27.1%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
HC International Inc ($2280)87.5%91.9%92.5%89.6%
Winto Group Holdings Ltd ($8238)90.2%93.4%92.0%88.4%
Dingyi Group Investment Ltd ($508)75.8%64.5%86.0%89.6%
Fu Shou Yuan International Group Ltd ($1448)80.5%80.4%80.0%77.6%
Nirvana Asia Ltd ($1438)68.3%69.6%70.5%75.7%
 
Median (61 companies)31.5%30.5%31.0%30.9%29.3%
China Maple Leaf Educational Systems Ltd ($1317)46.2%43.0%43.5%45.7%48.4%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Zuoli Kechuang Micro-Finance Co Ltd ($6866)61.6%84.9%75.9%80.9%
Shenzhen International Holdings Ltd ($152)60.2%65.8%97.1%73.6%
Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd ($1052)78.3%74.5%74.0%71.6%
CAR Inc ($699)43.6%30.1%43.1%67.4%
Jiangsu Expressway Co Ltd ($177)57.0%60.7%59.3%61.5%
 
Median (67 companies)17.5%14.9%11.2%9.8%-5.7%
China Maple Leaf Educational Systems Ltd ($1317)38.7%34.7%34.6%35.6%41.8%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Blue Sky Power Holdings Ltd ($6828)21.3%9.0%13.9%47.4%
COSCO Pacific Ltd ($1199)96.6%66.6%43.3%45.8%
Shenzhen International Holdings Ltd ($152)23.0%22.1%20.9%35.0%
Celebrate International Holdings Ltd ($8212)211.7%12.0%6.2%34.2%18.6%
Qingdao Port International Co Ltd ($6198)31.9%28.7%8.5%28.2%
 
Median (67 companies)2.7%3.4%2.4%2.8%1.7%
China Maple Leaf Educational Systems Ltd ($1317)25.7%50.9%21.1%32.8%18.0%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Bamboos Health Care Holdings Ltd ($8216)71.1%50.1%58.3%40.0%
Wonderful Sky Financial Group Holdings Ltd ($1260)51.5%26.6%30.0%29.5%19.8%
1010 Printing Group Ltd ($1127)13.5%20.8%17.8%19.9%
China Packaging Holdings Development Ltd ($1439)52.0%46.6%34.1%19.8%
iOne Holdings Ltd ($982)12.5%11.1%9.4%19.2%
 
Median (67 companies)6.3%6.4%5.8%3.3%-3.6%
China Maple Leaf Educational Systems Ltd ($1317)22.7%19.2%14.8%11.9%15.0%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Celebrate International Holdings Ltd ($8212)22.2x
Kai Yuan Holdings Ltd ($1215)-143.8x-0.7x18.8x
Eagle Legend Asia Ltd ($936)4.0x4.0x3.3x6.2x
Sichuan Expressway Co Ltd ($107)2.7x3.8x4.3x5.5x
Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd ($1052)4.5x3.1x2.7x5.3x
 
Median (44 companies)0.0x-0.7x-0.9x-0.6x-2.4x
China Maple Leaf Educational Systems Ltd ($1317)-0.8x-0.8x1.7x-4.4x-3.6x