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Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd reports 33.0% EBITDA decline in 2016 and 0.75 pp EBITDA Margin decline from 2.7% to 1.9%

27/09/2016 • About Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd ($1047) • By InTwits

Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd is a company in decline: FY2016 revenue growth was -7.0%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -2.3%
  • EBITDA Margin is relatively stable: 1.9% in FY2016 vs. 2.7% in FY2015 vs. 1.0% in FY2012
  • Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 0.6%.
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 1.3%
  • It operates with medium-size leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 7.1x while industry average is 7.0x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd ($1047) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue1,6401,8691,7571,6201,506-7.0%
Gross Profit142184192199188-5.8%
SG&A157171179105-41.5%
EBITDA1744364429-33.0%
Net Income122325-26-205.0%
Balance Sheet
Cash93112978874-16.2%
Short Term Debt294345295317281-11.5%
Long Term Debt00000
Cash flow
Capex9119137-45.9%
Ratios
Revenue growth-2.8%13.9%-6.0%-7.8%-7.0%
EBITDA growth-67.0%157.8%-18.2%20.3%-33.0%
Gross Margin8.6%9.8%10.9%12.3%12.5%0.2%
EBITDA Margin1.0%2.4%2.1%2.7%1.9%-0.8%
Net Income Margin0.1%1.2%0.2%1.6%-1.8%-3.3%
SG&A, % of revenue8.4%9.7%11.1%7.0%-4.1%
CAPEX, % of revenue0.5%0.6%0.5%0.8%0.5%-0.3%
ROIC-0.1%3.2%2.3%3.1%1.3%-1.8%
ROE0.3%4.8%0.7%5.2%-5.7%-10.9%
Net Debt/EBITDA11.7x5.3x5.4x5.3x7.1x1.8x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue decreased on 7.0%. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 2.0 pp from 0.18% to 2.2% in FY2016.

Gross Margin showed almost no change in FY2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased on 4.1 pp from 11.1% to 7.0% in FY2016.

Net Income marign decreased on 3.3 pp from 1.6% to -1.8% in FY2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue was 0.47% in FY2016. The company showed almost no change in CAPEX/Revenue from FY2013 to FY2016. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 0.61%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low but positive ROIC (1.27%) and negative ROE (-5.68%). ROIC decreased slightly on 1.8 pp from 3.1% to 1.3% in FY2016. ROE dropped on 10.9 pp from 5.2% to -5.7% in FY2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 7.1x Net Debt / EBITDA and 9.6x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 1.8x from 5.3x to 7.1x in FY2016. Debt dropped on 11.5% while cash dropped on 16.2%.

Appendix 1: Peers in Chemicals


Below we provide Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Chemicals industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Bestway International Holdings Ltd ($718)-62.1%330.3%238.4%14,591.4%
China First Chemical Holdings Ltd ($2121)6.2%-6.8%-18.0%72.5%
Strong Petrochemical Holdings Ltd ($852)40.8%87.9%-60.8%42.3%
Ko Yo Chemical Group Ltd ($827)-5.6%-0.6%2.3%40.8%
China Sanjiang Fine Chemicals Co Ltd ($2198)16.0%63.5%-7.7%36.6%
 
Median (31 companies)2.4%8.5%2.2%-1.2%7,291.1%
Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd ($1047)13.9%-6.0%-7.8%-7.0%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Huabao International Holdings Ltd ($336)70.5%69.1%70.8%69.9%68.9%
China Flavors & Fragrances Co Ltd ($3318)46.8%48.6%47.8%48.9%
Bestway International Holdings Ltd ($718)5.1%4.6%8.6%40.4%7.1%
Bracell Ltd ($1768)30.5%37.3%37.3%38.4%
Shaanxi Northwest New Technology Industry Co Ltd ($8258)28.7%30.9%30.0%37.9%
 
Median (31 companies)20.8%18.7%18.4%18.8%38.0%
Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd ($1047)8.6%9.8%10.9%12.3%12.5%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Huabao International Holdings Ltd ($336)63.8%59.1%60.0%58.3%51.2%
Bracell Ltd ($1768)22.3%30.8%38.2%35.9%
Yingde Gases Group Co Ltd ($2168)29.4%29.8%32.3%33.4%
Tiande Chemical Holdings Ltd ($609)25.5%27.3%25.1%27.8%
Century Sunshine Group Holdings Ltd ($509)24.2%28.1%27.6%26.1%
 
Median (31 companies)14.5%13.6%12.5%12.5%28.1%
Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd ($1047)1.0%2.4%2.1%2.7%1.9%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Landing International Development Ltd ($582)7.2%29.6%419.5%247.4%
China Zenith Chemical Group Ltd ($362)147.3%55.7%67.4%152.2%
Smartac Group China Holdings Ltd ($395)14.0%4.7%49.3%52.4%
China Flavors & Fragrances Co Ltd ($3318)15.8%20.1%42.4%35.8%
Ko Yo Chemical Group Ltd ($827)45.2%43.2%20.7%27.5%
 
Median (31 companies)8.4%8.9%5.8%8.1%2.3%
Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd ($1047)0.5%0.6%0.5%0.8%0.5%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Huabao International Holdings Ltd ($336)28.7%25.2%26.2%23.3%17.1%
Tiande Chemical Holdings Ltd ($609)26.2%29.4%20.7%20.6%
Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Ltd ($338)-6.9%8.1%-2.4%16.5%
Century Sunshine Group Holdings Ltd ($509)11.3%15.9%16.4%13.3%
Infinity Chemical Holdings Co Ltd ($640)11.1%10.2%8.8%12.7%
 
Median (31 companies)7.3%8.3%5.9%5.4%10.6%
Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd ($1047)-0.1%3.2%2.3%3.1%1.3%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Ko Yo Chemical Group Ltd ($827)8.8x22.0x141.5x
China Sanjiang Fine Chemicals Co Ltd ($2198)2.2x4.6x18.1x13.5x
Sinofert Holdings Ltd ($297)2.9x32.4x5.0x8.4x
China XLX Fertiliser Ltd ($1866)2.6x5.1x5.8x5.1x
Strong Petrochemical Holdings Ltd ($852)7.2x4.0x3.9x
 
Median (26 companies)1.0x2.0x1.3x1.7x2.7x
Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd ($1047)11.7x5.3x5.4x5.3x7.1x