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China Vanguard Group Ltd Net Income dropped on 1,182% and Revenue dropped on 72.0%

27/09/2016 • About China Vanguard Group Ltd ($8156) • By InTwits

China Vanguard Group Ltd reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • China Vanguard Group Ltd is a company in decline: FY2016 revenue growth was -72.0%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -21.0%
  • The company operates at negative EBITDA Margin: -72.8%
  • China Vanguard Group Ltd spends a lot for Stock Based Compensation (SBC): average SBC/Revenue for FY2012-FY2016 is 0.0%. Average EBITDA Margin for the same period was -1.0%0
  • China Vanguard Group Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 19.6%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 9.3%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 9.2 in FY2016, 5.2 in FY2015, 3.9 in FY2014, 22.8 in FY2013, 5.3 in FY2012
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -10.2%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is -1.8x while industry average is -2.1x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

China Vanguard Group Ltd ($8156) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue104.839.195.8123.734.7-72.0%
Gross Profit66.934.589.8117.831.5-73.2%
SG&A70.568.494.5113.219.8%
EBITDA-15.8-20.228.728.4-25.2-188.9%
Net Income-1,107.5-41.614.919.1-206.8-1,182.2%
Balance Sheet
Cash81.23.6151.992.933.0-64.5%
Short Term Debt32.454.20.00.00.0
Long Term Debt74.376.464.373.20.0-100.0%
Cash flow
Capex5.322.83.95.29.275.8%
Ratios
Revenue growth-7.0%-62.7%145.0%29.2%-72.0%
EBITDA growth-591.3%28.3%-242.0%-1.3%-188.9%
Gross Margin63.8%88.2%93.8%95.2%91.0%-4.2%
EBITDA Margin-15.0%-51.8%30.0%22.9%-72.8%-95.7%
Net Income Margin-1,056.4%-106.5%15.5%15.4%-596.6%-612.1%
SG&A, % of revenue180.4%71.4%76.4%326.8%250.4%
CAPEX, % of revenue5.0%58.3%4.0%4.2%26.5%22.3%
ROIC-4.3%-14.3%7.6%5.7%-10.2%-15.9%
ROE-186.6%-91.7%8.1%5.7%-85.8%-91.5%
Net Debt/EBITDA-3.0x-0.7x0.7x

Revenue and profitability


China Vanguard Group Ltd's Revenue dropped on 72.0%. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 7.4 pp from -22.6% to -15.2% in FY2016.

Gross Margin decreased on 4.2 pp from 95.2% to 91.0% in FY2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue surged on 250 pp from 76.4% to 327% in FY2016.

Net Income marign dropped on 612 pp from 15.4% to -597% in FY2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 26.5% in FY2016. CAPEX/Revenue dropped on 31.8 pp from 58.3% in FY2013 to 26.5% in FY2016. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 11.6%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-10.19%) and ROE (-85.83%). ROIC dropped on 15.9 pp from 5.7% to -10.2% in FY2016. ROE dropped on 91.5 pp from 5.7% to -85.8% in FY2016.

Leverage (Debt)


The company paid down all the debt in FY2016. Cash dropped on 64.5%.

Appendix 1: Peers in Entertainment


Below you can find China Vanguard Group Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Entertainment industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Neo Telemedia Ltd ($8167)268.8%-60.2%-13.4%5,442.4%
National Arts Entertainment and Culture Group Ltd ($8228)-57.9%181.2%-20.1%162.4%
Alibaba Pictures Group Ltd ($1060)169.4%-45.8%-63.8%108.3%
SMI Holdings Group Ltd ($198)16.4%65.4%16.4%77.2%
Universe International Holdings Ltd ($1046)-42.2%4.3%159.4%46.3%
 
Median (27 companies)4.5%11.6%1.1%-4.8%3.3%
China Vanguard Group Ltd ($8156)-62.7%145.0%29.2%-72.0%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Amax International Holdings Ltd ($959)92.1%98.6%96.6%70.6%
Universe International Holdings Ltd ($1046)22.1%36.7%11.4%84.8%
Cheung Wo International Holdings Ltd ($9)-17.5%71.4%77.7%77.8%
REXLot Holdings Ltd ($555)70.2%73.1%73.4%67.4%
Nan Hai Corp Ltd ($680)62.2%65.3%65.8%62.1%
 
Median (23 companies)40.9%48.4%44.0%41.2%44.4%
China Vanguard Group Ltd ($8156)63.8%88.2%93.8%95.2%91.0%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Neptune Group Ltd ($70)98.6%98.6%86.6%99.0%
Universe International Holdings Ltd ($1046)36.6%44.6%74.6%73.6%
Haichang Holdings Ltd ($2255)55.0%44.5%46.3%56.6%
REXLot Holdings Ltd ($555)53.7%55.1%6.1%40.5%
SMI Holdings Group Ltd ($198)19.2%35.4%34.5%31.2%
 
Median (27 companies)24.0%20.3%17.0%-1.7%-10.2%
China Vanguard Group Ltd ($8156)-15.0%-51.8%30.0%22.9%-72.8%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
China Star Cultural Media Group Ltd ($8172)8.9%0.0%0.0%848.3%
National Arts Entertainment and Culture Group Ltd ($8228)1,237.1%771.1%799.0%508.9%
Cheung Wo International Holdings Ltd ($9)90.3%465.2%383.2%202.4%
Haichang Holdings Ltd ($2255)21.4%18.5%10.3%64.2%
Amax International Holdings Ltd ($959)10.4%2.7%17.2%59.8%42.5%
 
Median (27 companies)8.9%6.6%4.8%8.4%2.5%
China Vanguard Group Ltd ($8156)5.0%58.3%4.0%4.2%26.5%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Universe International Holdings Ltd ($1046)-6.2%-0.8%-3.7%43.8%
China Animation Characters Co Ltd ($1566)119.2%117.8%24.1%14.0%
Neptune Group Ltd ($70)22.8%23.8%21.1%18.1%
SMI Holdings Group Ltd ($198)1.3%8.4%9.9%10.5%
Dynam Japan Holdings Co Ltd ($6889)23.8%25.4%21.8%10.5%12.6%
 
Median (28 companies)-1.1%5.1%-0.3%-2.6%-5.5%
China Vanguard Group Ltd ($8156)-4.3%-14.3%7.6%5.7%-10.2%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Orange Sky Golden Harvest Entertainment Holdings Ltd ($1132)1.1x4.2x2.7x25.8x
Nan Hai Corp Ltd ($680)80.8x3.5x20.8x12.6x
Haichang Holdings Ltd ($2255)7.0x4.7x1.7x1.7x
SMI Holdings Group Ltd ($198)2.0x1.6x2.1x1.6x
REXLot Holdings Ltd ($555)-0.0x-0.2x7.2x1.6x
 
Median (13 companies)-0.1x-0.5x-0.2x-0.4x-0.1x
China Vanguard Group Ltd ($8156)-3.0x-0.7x