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New World Development Co Ltd reports 54.7% Net Income decline while 7.8% Revenue growth

21/09/2016 • About New World Development Co Ltd ($17) • By InTwits

New World Development Co Ltd reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • New World Development Co Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 12.4%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 21.1%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 8,921 in FY2016, 8,987 in FY2015, 6,352 in FY2014, 5,487 in FY2013, 2,755 in FY2012
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 5.0%
  • It operates with medium-size leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 4.1x while industry average is 3.5x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

New World Development Co Ltd ($17) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue35,62046,78056,50155,24559,5707.8%
Gross Profit15,69418,42521,55319,30618,522-4.1%
SG&A6,4837,7978,7169,8099,624-1.9%
EBITDA17,36120,22519,19330,15919,551-35.2%
Net Income10,13914,1499,72519,1128,666-54.7%
Balance Sheet
Cash27,91040,09161,72659,35254,965-7.4%
Short Term Debt20,86627,18332,34933,51820,090-40.1%
Long Term Debt67,75177,39886,35082,709114,84238.9%
Cash flow
Capex2,7555,4876,3528,9878,921-0.7%
Ratios
Revenue growth8.3%31.3%20.8%-2.2%7.8%
EBITDA growth40.9%16.5%-5.1%57.1%-35.2%
Gross Margin44.1%39.4%38.1%34.9%31.1%-3.9%
EBITDA Margin48.7%43.2%34.0%54.6%32.8%-21.8%
Net Income Margin28.5%30.2%17.2%34.6%14.5%-20.0%
SG&A, % of revenue18.2%16.7%15.4%17.8%16.2%-1.6%
CAPEX, % of revenue7.7%11.7%11.2%16.3%15.0%-1.3%
ROIC6.8%6.6%5.4%8.1%5.0%-3.1%
ROE8.9%10.8%6.5%11.3%4.8%-6.4%
Net Debt/EBITDA3.5x3.2x3.0x1.9x4.1x2.2x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue increased on 7.8%. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 8.2 pp from 11.9% to 20.1% in 2016.

Gross Margin decreased on 3.9 pp from 34.9% to 31.1% in FY2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased slightly on 1.6 pp from 17.8% to 16.2% in FY2016.

Net Income marign dropped on 20.0 pp from 34.6% to 14.5% in FY2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 15.0% in FY2016. CAPEX/Revenue increased on 3.2 pp from 11.7% in FY2013 to 15.0% in FY2016. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 14.2%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (5.00%) and ROE (4.83%). ROIC decreased on 3.1 pp from 8.1% to 5.0% in FY2016. ROE decreased on 6.4 pp from 11.3% to 4.8% in FY2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 4.1x and Debt / EBITDA is 6.9x. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 2.2x from 1.9x to 4.1x in FY2016. Debt surged on 16.1% while cash decreased on 7.4%.

Appendix 1: Peers in Real Estate


Below you can find New World Development Co Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Real Estate industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd ($124)24,971.2%
GR Properties Ltd ($108)21.6%-82.9%14.6%1,203.6%
Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd ($169)-51.4%-86.2%1,071.2%
Henderson Investment Ltd ($97)-78.9%737.1%
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)-95.2%75.7%678.6%206.4%
 
Median (179 companies)15.9%13.1%5.2%4.5%4.8%
New World Development Co Ltd ($17)31.3%20.8%-2.2%7.8%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Renhe Commercial Holdings Co Ltd ($1387)79.0%95.2%97.9%99.9%
Tern Properties Co Ltd ($277)96.7%98.4%98.4%98.7%98.8%
YT Realty Group Ltd ($75)94.4%96.6%96.7%97.6%
Wah Ha Realty Co Ltd ($278)96.3%96.0%93.2%95.9%92.9%
Soundwill Holdings Ltd ($878)53.1%74.5%46.9%95.7%
 
Median (160 companies)41.9%41.9%39.3%38.4%43.6%
New World Development Co Ltd ($17)44.1%39.4%38.1%34.9%31.1%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Chinese Estates Holdings Ltd ($127)356.2%91.6%195.5%397.4%
Zall Development Group Ltd ($2098)105.3%133.1%143.2%213.9%
SOHO China Ltd ($410)113.6%80.8%104.0%201.9%
Beijing Properties Holdings Ltd ($925)-606.3%2,162.6%224.3%186.5%
Swire Properties Ltd ($1972)154.5%114.6%73.2%100.3%
 
Median (179 companies)28.9%28.3%26.9%23.4%30.3%
New World Development Co Ltd ($17)48.7%43.2%34.0%54.6%32.8%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
LT Commercial Real Estate Ltd ($112)0.0%18.0%27,965.5%4,834.8%
China Oceanwide Holdings Ltd ($715)0.8%0.3%2.0%880.6%
Madex International Holdings Ltd ($231)174.5%519.7%205.3%350.6%
Pacific Century Premium Developments Ltd ($432)2.9%323.1%351.2%340.6%
Hon Kwok Land Investment Co Ltd ($160)20.6%157.3%144.5%296.3%28.1%
 
Median (179 companies)5.6%6.1%4.7%3.2%1.6%
New World Development Co Ltd ($17)7.7%11.7%11.2%16.3%15.0%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Hydoo International Holding Ltd ($1396)44.3%62.0%12.9%16.6%
Gemdale Properties & Investment Corp Ltd ($535)15.3%19.6%10.8%15.9%
China Overseas Land & Investment Ltd ($688)15.1%18.5%15.4%13.0%
Colour Life Services Group Co Ltd ($1778)44.2%47.9%29.3%14.5%
Dalian Wanda Commercial Properties Co Ltd ($3699)26.8%19.6%12.3%14.4%
 
Median (181 companies)4.0%4.0%4.1%2.4%2.0%
New World Development Co Ltd ($17)6.8%6.6%5.4%8.1%5.0%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Shui On Land Ltd ($272)22.1x13.2x17.1x54.2x
Beijing Capital Land Ltd ($2868)7.1x4.6x11.7x49.1x
Talent Property Group Ltd ($760)43.0x
Mingfa Group International Co Ltd ($846)2.5x3.0x6.3x42.9x
Sunshine 100 China Holdings Ltd ($2608)9.9x12.4x12.9x42.3x
 
Median (136 companies)2.3x2.7x3.0x3.3x1.7x
New World Development Co Ltd ($17)3.5x3.2x3.0x1.9x4.1x