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China Motor Bus Co Ltd EBITDA surged on 27.8% while Revenue decreased on 5.2%

21/09/2016 • About China Motor Bus Co Ltd ($26) • By InTwits

China Motor Bus Co Ltd reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • China Motor Bus Co Ltd is a company in decline: FY2016 revenue growth was -5.2%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -18.9%
  • China Motor Bus Co Ltd has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 0.2%.
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 1.1%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

China Motor Bus Co Ltd ($26) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue83.75790.06893.50896.68391.644-5.2%
Gross Profit89.080
SG&A8.6797.185-17.2%
EBITDA57.78463.11368.65763.76681.47227.8%
Net Income358.882443.465666.441465.094349.383-24.9%
Balance Sheet
Cash2,523.3552,504.7862,024.9001,906.2221,895.592-0.6%
Short Term Debt0.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Long Term Debt0.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Cash flow
Capex0.0750.0290.4900.2710.2938.1%
Ratios
Revenue growth-67.9%7.5%3.8%3.4%-5.2%
EBITDA growth-59.4%9.2%8.8%-7.1%27.8%
Gross Margin98.9%0.0%
EBITDA Margin69.0%70.1%73.4%66.0%88.9%22.9%
Net Income Margin428.5%492.4%712.7%481.1%381.2%-99.8%
SG&A, % of revenue9.0%7.8%-1.1%
CAPEX, % of revenue0.1%0.0%0.5%0.3%0.3%0.0%
ROIC0.9%1.0%1.0%0.8%1.1%0.2%
ROE6.0%7.1%9.5%6.2%4.6%-1.6%
Net Debt/EBITDA-43.7x-39.7x-29.5x-29.9x-23.3x6.6x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue decreased on 5.2%. Despite revenue decline the EBITDA margin expanded. EBITDA Margin jumped on 22.9 pp from 66.0% to 88.9% in FY2016.

SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased slightly on 1.1 pp from 9.0% to 7.8% in FY2016.

Net Income marign dropped on 99.8 pp from 481% to 381% in FY2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In FY2016 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 0.32%. CAPEX/Revenue showed almost no change from FY2013 to FY2016. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 0.37%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (1.06%) and ROE (4.61%). ROIC showed almost no change in FY2016. ROE decreased slightly on 1.6 pp from 6.2% to 4.6% in FY2016.

Leverage (Debt)


The company has no debt. Cash decreased slightly on 0.56%.

Appendix 1: Peers in Real Estate


Below you can find China Motor Bus Co Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Real Estate industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd ($124)24,971.2%
GR Properties Ltd ($108)21.6%-82.9%14.6%1,203.6%
Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd ($169)-51.4%-86.2%1,071.2%
Henderson Investment Ltd ($97)-78.9%737.1%
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)-95.2%75.7%678.6%206.4%
 
Median (179 companies)15.9%13.5%5.3%4.5%5.4%
China Motor Bus Co Ltd ($26)7.5%3.8%3.4%-5.2%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Renhe Commercial Holdings Co Ltd ($1387)79.0%95.2%97.9%99.9%
Tern Properties Co Ltd ($277)96.7%98.4%98.4%98.7%98.8%
YT Realty Group Ltd ($75)94.4%96.6%96.7%97.6%
Wah Ha Realty Co Ltd ($278)96.3%96.0%93.2%95.9%92.9%
Soundwill Holdings Ltd ($878)53.1%74.5%46.9%95.7%
 
Median (161 companies)41.9%41.8%39.2%38.2%43.5%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Chinese Estates Holdings Ltd ($127)356.2%91.6%195.5%397.4%
Zall Development Group Ltd ($2098)105.3%133.1%143.2%213.9%
SOHO China Ltd ($410)113.6%80.8%104.0%201.9%
Beijing Properties Holdings Ltd ($925)-606.3%2,162.6%224.3%186.5%
Swire Properties Ltd ($1972)154.5%114.6%73.2%100.3%
 
Median (179 companies)28.9%28.3%26.9%23.4%29.2%
China Motor Bus Co Ltd ($26)69.0%70.1%73.4%66.0%88.9%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
LT Commercial Real Estate Ltd ($112)0.0%18.0%27,965.5%4,834.8%
China Oceanwide Holdings Ltd ($715)0.8%0.3%2.0%880.6%
Madex International Holdings Ltd ($231)174.5%519.7%205.3%350.6%
Pacific Century Premium Developments Ltd ($432)2.9%323.1%351.2%340.6%
Hon Kwok Land Investment Co Ltd ($160)20.6%157.3%144.5%296.3%28.1%
 
Median (179 companies)5.9%6.2%4.8%3.3%1.7%
China Motor Bus Co Ltd ($26)0.1%0.0%0.5%0.3%0.3%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Hydoo International Holding Ltd ($1396)44.3%62.0%12.9%16.6%
Gemdale Properties & Investment Corp Ltd ($535)15.3%19.6%10.8%15.9%
China Overseas Land & Investment Ltd ($688)15.1%18.5%15.4%13.0%
Colour Life Services Group Co Ltd ($1778)44.2%47.9%29.3%14.5%
Dalian Wanda Commercial Properties Co Ltd ($3699)26.8%19.6%12.3%14.4%
 
Median (181 companies)4.2%4.1%4.2%2.5%2.4%
China Motor Bus Co Ltd ($26)0.9%1.0%1.0%0.8%1.1%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Shui On Land Ltd ($272)22.1x13.2x17.1x54.2x
Beijing Capital Land Ltd ($2868)7.1x4.6x11.7x49.1x
Talent Property Group Ltd ($760)43.0x
Mingfa Group International Co Ltd ($846)2.5x3.0x6.3x42.9x
Sunshine 100 China Holdings Ltd ($2608)9.9x12.4x12.9x42.3x
 
Median (136 companies)2.4x2.8x3.0x3.3x2.2x
China Motor Bus Co Ltd ($26)-43.7x-39.7x-29.5x-29.9x-23.3x