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New World Department Store China Ltd reports 37.9% CAPEX decline and 9.2% Revenue decline

20/09/2016 • About New World Department Store China Ltd ($825) • By InTwits

New World Department Store China Ltd reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 15.7% in FY2016, 14.0% in FY2015, 24.5% in FY2014, 29.2% in FY2013, 31.5% in FY2012
  • New World Department Store China Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 15.3%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 5.5%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 202 in FY2016, 325 in FY2015, 462 in FY2014, 1,583 in FY2013, 421 in FY2012
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 3.3%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

New World Department Store China Ltd ($825) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue3,4904,0124,1364,0293,660-9.2%
EBITDA1,0991,1711,0145655731.3%
Net Income6086425217046-34.6%
Balance Sheet
Cash3,2432,4748972,0891,163-44.3%
Short Term Debt9500129610372.7%
Long Term Debt9996096971,578386-75.5%
Cash flow
Capex4211,583462325202-37.9%
Ratios
Revenue growth27.6%14.9%3.1%-2.6%-9.2%
EBITDA growth-18.6%6.6%-13.4%-44.2%1.3%
EBITDA Margin31.5%29.2%24.5%14.0%15.7%1.6%
Net Income Margin17.4%16.0%12.6%1.7%1.2%-0.5%
CAPEX, % of revenue12.1%39.4%11.2%8.1%5.5%-2.5%
ROIC12.3%11.2%8.8%2.6%3.3%0.6%
ROE10.5%10.2%8.0%1.1%0.7%-0.3%
Net Debt/EBITDA-2.0x-1.6x-0.2x-0.7x-0.3x0.4x

Revenue and profitability


New World Department Store China Ltd's Revenue decreased on 9.2%. Despite revenue decline the EBITDA margin expanded. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 1.6 pp from 14.0% to 15.7% in FY2016.

Net Income marign showed almost no change in FY2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 5.5% in FY2016. CAPEX/Revenue dropped on 33.9 pp from 39.4% in FY2013 to 5.5% in FY2016. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 8.3%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (3.29%) and ROE (0.75%). ROIC increased slightly on 0.64 pp from 2.6% to 3.3% in FY2016. ROE showed almost no change in FY2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is -0.3x Net Debt / EBITDA and 1.7x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 0.4x from -0.7x to -0.3x in FY2016. Debt dropped on 41.7% while cash dropped on 44.3%.

Appendix 1: Peers in Retail


Below we provide New World Department Store China Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Retail industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
China Nuclear Industry 23 International Corp Ltd ($611)1.4%85.6%-42.1%419.8%
Noble House China Holdings Ltd ($8246)-5.0%-20.2%-24.8%117.2%
Vongroup Ltd ($318)23.7%-80.2%90.3%-7.2%
Nanjing Sinolife United Co Ltd ($3332)45.6%29.5%29.6%57.3%
Shanghai La Chapelle Fashion Co Ltd ($6116)54.9%72.8%23.0%48.3%
 
Median (117 companies)7.4%6.1%2.9%-1.0%-8.2%
New World Department Store China Ltd ($825)14.9%3.1%-2.6%-9.2%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Vongroup Ltd ($318)95.1%99.1%99.0%
Modern Beauty Salon Holdings Ltd ($919)97.4%95.9%96.8%96.7%96.8%
Moiselle International Holdings Ltd ($130)81.2%83.8%80.6%83.2%77.6%
Embry Holdings Ltd ($1388)81.2%80.4%82.3%81.6%
Nanjing Sinolife United Co Ltd ($3332)86.5%89.3%90.9%80.6%
 
Median (104 companies)36.7%36.3%35.3%33.6%44.4%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
China Energy Development Holdings Ltd ($228)-58.1%-72.3%-84.0%1,070.6%
Golden Eagle Retail Group Ltd ($3308)48.5%47.3%42.8%55.4%
Nanjing Sinolife United Co Ltd ($3332)51.6%56.9%54.4%44.8%
Lifestyle International Holdings Ltd ($1212)47.5%47.0%44.7%43.4%
China Dongxiang Group Co Ltd ($3818)6.0%5.6%58.3%41.4%
 
Median (117 companies)10.3%7.3%8.9%7.1%3.3%
New World Department Store China Ltd ($825)31.5%29.2%24.5%14.0%15.7%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Culture Landmark Investment Ltd ($674)11.6%19.4%15.7%47.2%3.9%
Springland International Holdings Ltd ($1700)31.9%17.4%26.5%36.9%
Merry Garden Holdings Ltd ($1237)18.6%28.6%15.1%34.2%
China Energy Development Holdings Ltd ($228)1.6%0.2%0.0%27.4%
Golden Eagle Retail Group Ltd ($3308)28.5%9.4%26.7%25.4%
 
Median (117 companies)4.0%3.6%3.7%3.1%1.8%
New World Department Store China Ltd ($825)12.1%39.4%11.2%8.1%5.5%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Modern Beauty Salon Holdings Ltd ($919)50.7%-4.6%81.3%71.8%13.3%
JC Group Holdings Ltd ($8326)215.6%92.8%66.3%81.7%
Starbucks Corp ($4337)36.4%-6.0%52.8%51.4%
Sa Sa International Holdings Ltd ($178)53.5%52.7%49.0%39.8%19.0%
Noble House China Holdings Ltd ($8246)17.7%-67.7%-113.8%35.6%
 
Median (117 companies)12.2%8.8%8.5%5.8%0.7%
New World Department Store China Ltd ($825)12.3%11.2%8.8%2.6%3.3%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Sparkle Roll Group Ltd ($970)0.6x4.0x9.3x23.5x8.5x
Trinity Ltd ($891)-0.2x0.2x0.6x18.2x
Parkson Retail Group Ltd ($3368)0.8x2.3x3.6x9.8x
Maoye International Holdings Ltd ($848)2.9x3.3x3.4x9.0x
Century Ginwa Retail Holdings Ltd ($162)2.0x2.5x4.8x7.3x
 
Median (91 companies)-0.5x-0.5x-0.2x-0.5x-0.7x
New World Department Store China Ltd ($825)-2.0x-1.6x-0.2x-0.7x-0.3x