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Combest Holdings Ltd reports 24.1 pp EBITDA Margin growth from -18.3% to 5.7% in 2016 in 2016 while 5.6% Revenue decline

09/09/2016 • About Combest Holdings Ltd ($8190) • By InTwits

Combest Holdings Ltd reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Combest Holdings Ltd is a company in decline: FY2016 revenue growth was -5.6%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -23.4%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 5.7% in FY2016, -18.3% in FY2015, 26.5% in FY2014, 29.7% in FY2013, -2.7% in FY2012
  • Combest Holdings Ltd has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 0.6%.
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -0.3%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 37.8x while industry average is 0.3x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Combest Holdings Ltd ($8190) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue113.6110.5103.394.889.5-5.6%
Gross Profit31.158.551.818.039.7120.3%
SG&A35.033.443.640.6-7.0%
EBITDA-3.132.827.3-17.45.1
Net Income-29.319.113.0-109.6-71.8
Balance Sheet
Cash27.135.060.126.318.4-30.2%
Short Term Debt0.00.00.00.0212.4
Long Term Debt0.00.00.00.00.0
Cash flow
Capex0.70.10.10.51.6262.0%
Ratios
Revenue growth-66.5%-2.7%-6.5%-8.2%-5.6%
EBITDA growth-103.7%-1,174.6%-16.8%-163.6%-129.5%
Gross Margin27.4%52.9%50.2%19.0%44.4%25.4%
EBITDA Margin-2.7%29.7%26.5%-18.3%5.7%24.1%
Net Income Margin-25.8%17.3%12.6%-115.6%-80.2%35.4%
SG&A, % of revenue31.7%32.3%46.0%45.3%-0.7%
CAPEX, % of revenue0.6%0.1%0.1%0.5%1.8%1.4%
ROIC-4.0%7.7%5.7%-9.5%-0.3%9.2%
ROE-11.1%7.4%4.7%-48.3%-52.8%-4.5%
Net Debt/EBITDA-1.1x-2.2x37.8x37.8x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue decreased on 5.6%. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin surged on 24.1 pp from -18.3% to 5.7% in FY2016.

Gross Margin jumped on 25.4 pp from 19.0% to 44.4% in FY2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased slightly on 0.66 pp from 46.0% to 45.3% in FY2016.

Net Income marign surged on 35.4 pp from -116% to -80.2% in FY2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 1.8% in FY2016. The company showed small growth in CAPEX/Revenue of 1.7 pp from 0.13% in FY2013 to 1.8% in FY2016. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 0.79%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-0.30%) and ROE (-52.77%). ROIC increased on 9.2 pp from -9.5% to -0.30% in FY2016. ROE decreased on 4.5 pp from -48.3% to -52.8% in FY2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 37.8x Net Debt / EBITDA and 41.4x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped37.8x from to 37.8x in FY2016. Debt jumped while cash dropped on 30.2%.

Appendix 1: Peers in Retail


Below we provide Combest Holdings Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Retail industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
China Nuclear Industry 23 International Corp Ltd ($611)1.4%85.6%-42.1%419.8%
Noble House China Holdings Ltd ($8246)-5.0%-20.2%-24.8%117.2%
Vongroup Ltd ($318)23.7%-80.2%90.3%-7.2%
Nanjing Sinolife United Co Ltd ($3332)45.6%29.5%29.6%57.3%
Shanghai La Chapelle Fashion Co Ltd ($6116)54.9%72.8%23.0%48.3%
 
Median (117 companies)7.5%6.5%3.1%-1.0%-8.0%
Combest Holdings Ltd ($8190)-2.7%-6.5%-8.2%-5.6%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Vongroup Ltd ($318)95.1%99.1%99.0%
Modern Beauty Salon Holdings Ltd ($919)97.4%95.9%96.8%96.7%96.8%
Moiselle International Holdings Ltd ($130)81.2%83.8%80.6%83.2%77.6%
Embry Holdings Ltd ($1388)81.2%80.4%82.3%81.6%
Nanjing Sinolife United Co Ltd ($3332)86.5%89.3%90.9%80.6%
 
Median (103 companies)37.2%35.8%35.0%33.9%43.9%
Combest Holdings Ltd ($8190)27.4%52.9%50.2%19.0%44.4%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
China Energy Development Holdings Ltd ($228)-58.1%-72.3%-84.0%1,070.6%
Golden Eagle Retail Group Ltd ($3308)48.5%47.3%42.8%55.4%
Nanjing Sinolife United Co Ltd ($3332)51.6%56.9%54.4%44.8%
Lifestyle International Holdings Ltd ($1212)47.5%47.0%44.7%43.4%
China Dongxiang Group Co Ltd ($3818)6.0%5.6%58.3%41.4%
 
Median (117 companies)10.8%7.3%8.9%7.4%4.7%
Combest Holdings Ltd ($8190)-2.7%29.7%26.5%-18.3%5.7%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Culture Landmark Investment Ltd ($674)11.6%19.4%15.7%47.2%3.9%
Springland International Holdings Ltd ($1700)31.9%17.4%26.5%36.9%
Merry Garden Holdings Ltd ($1237)18.6%28.6%15.1%34.2%
China Energy Development Holdings Ltd ($228)1.6%0.2%0.0%27.4%
Golden Eagle Retail Group Ltd ($3308)28.5%9.4%26.7%25.4%
 
Median (117 companies)4.1%3.6%3.8%3.5%1.8%
Combest Holdings Ltd ($8190)0.6%0.1%0.1%0.5%1.8%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Modern Beauty Salon Holdings Ltd ($919)50.7%-4.6%81.3%71.8%13.3%
JC Group Holdings Ltd ($8326)215.6%92.8%66.3%81.7%
Starbucks Corp ($4337)36.4%-6.0%52.8%51.4%
Sa Sa International Holdings Ltd ($178)53.5%52.7%49.0%39.8%19.0%
Noble House China Holdings Ltd ($8246)17.7%-67.7%-113.8%35.6%
 
Median (117 companies)12.3%8.9%8.7%5.8%3.1%
Combest Holdings Ltd ($8190)-4.0%7.7%5.7%-9.5%-0.3%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Sparkle Roll Group Ltd ($970)0.6x4.0x9.3x23.5x8.5x
Trinity Ltd ($891)-0.2x0.2x0.6x18.2x
Parkson Retail Group Ltd ($3368)0.8x2.3x3.6x9.8x
Maoye International Holdings Ltd ($848)2.9x3.3x3.4x9.0x
Century Ginwa Retail Holdings Ltd ($162)2.0x2.5x4.8x7.3x
 
Median (92 companies)-0.5x-0.5x-0.2x-0.5x-0.8x