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Winfair Investment Co Ltd Net Income dropped on 94.9% and EBITDA Margin decreased on 3.6 pp from 78.1% to 74.4%

30/06/2016 • About Winfair Investment Co Ltd ($287) • By InTwits

Winfair Investment Co Ltd reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 74.4% in FY2016, 78.1% in FY2015, 64.3% in FY2014, 307.2% in FY2013, -3.6% in FY2012
  • Winfair Investment Co Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 63.4%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 58.6%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 0.11 in FY2016, 0.022 in FY2015, 32.8 in FY2014, 36.2 in FY2013, 0.051 in FY2012
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 2.4%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Winfair Investment Co Ltd ($287) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue18.47321.39522.27629.55725.596-13.4%
SG&A5.8755.7326.4056.8096.742-1.0%
EBITDA-0.65865.72514.32323.07419.056-17.4%
Net Income38.819177.73329.14673.1423.723-94.9%
Balance Sheet
Cash12.68195.50835.38153.21533.801-36.5%
Short Term Debt0.00016.38830.17328.24426.314-6.8%
Long Term Debt0.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Cash flow
Capex0.05136.16832.8180.0220.108396.4%
Ratios
Revenue growth-0.5%15.8%4.1%32.7%-13.4%
EBITDA growth-103.9%-10,085.2%-78.2%61.1%-17.4%
EBITDA Margin-3.6%307.2%64.3%78.1%74.4%-3.6%
Net Income Margin210.1%830.7%130.8%247.5%14.5%-232.9%
SG&A, % of revenue31.8%26.8%28.8%23.0%26.3%3.3%
CAPEX, % of revenue0.3%169.0%147.3%0.1%0.4%0.3%
ROIC-0.2%11.1%2.0%3.0%2.4%-0.6%
ROE8.2%30.5%4.3%10.1%0.5%-9.6%
Net Debt/EBITDA-1.2x-0.4x-1.1x-0.4x0.7x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 13.4%. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased on 3.6 pp from 78.1% to 74.4% in FY2016.

SG&A as a % of Revenue increased on 3.3 pp from 23.0% to 26.3% in FY2016.

Net Income marign dropped on 233 pp from 247% to 14.5% in FY2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 0.42% in FY2016. The company showed big decline in CAPEX/Revenue of 169 pp from 169% in FY2013 to 0.42% in FY2016. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 49.3%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (2.41%) and ROE (0.49%). ROIC decreased slightly on 0.63 pp from 3.0% to 2.4% in FY2016. ROE decreased on 9.6 pp from 10.1% to 0.49% in FY2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is -0.4x and Debt / EBITDA is 1.4x. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 0.7x from -1.1x to -0.4x in FY2016. Debt decreased on 6.8% while cash dropped on 36.5%.

Appendix 1: Peers in Real Estate


Below we provide Winfair Investment Co Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Real Estate industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd ($124)24,971.2%
GR Properties Ltd ($108)21.6%-82.9%14.6%1,203.6%
Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd ($169)-51.4%-86.2%1,071.2%
Henderson Investment Ltd ($97)-78.9%737.1%
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)-95.2%75.7%678.6%206.4%
 
Median (179 companies)15.8%13.1%5.3%4.2%6.0%
Winfair Investment Co Ltd ($287)15.8%4.1%32.7%-13.4%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Renhe Commercial Holdings Co Ltd ($1387)79.0%95.2%97.9%99.9%
Tern Properties Co Ltd ($277)96.7%98.4%98.4%98.7%98.8%
YT Realty Group Ltd ($75)94.4%96.6%96.7%97.6%
Wah Ha Realty Co Ltd ($278)96.3%96.0%93.2%95.9%92.9%
Soundwill Holdings Ltd ($878)53.1%74.5%46.9%95.7%
 
Median (161 companies)41.9%41.9%39.2%38.2%45.2%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Chinese Estates Holdings Ltd ($127)356.2%91.6%195.5%397.4%
Zall Development Group Ltd ($2098)105.3%133.1%143.2%213.9%
SOHO China Ltd ($410)113.6%80.8%104.0%201.9%
Beijing Properties Holdings Ltd ($925)-606.3%2,162.6%224.3%186.5%
Swire Properties Ltd ($1972)154.5%114.6%73.2%100.3%
 
Median (179 companies)29.3%28.3%26.9%23.4%18.1%
Winfair Investment Co Ltd ($287)-3.6%307.2%64.3%78.1%74.4%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
LT Commercial Real Estate Ltd ($112)0.0%18.0%27,965.5%4,834.8%
China Oceanwide Holdings Ltd ($715)0.8%0.3%2.0%880.6%
Madex International Holdings Ltd ($231)174.5%519.7%205.3%350.6%
Pacific Century Premium Developments Ltd ($432)2.9%323.1%351.2%340.6%
Hon Kwok Land Investment Co Ltd ($160)20.6%157.3%144.5%296.3%28.1%
 
Median (179 companies)5.9%6.1%4.7%3.3%1.4%
Winfair Investment Co Ltd ($287)0.3%169.0%147.3%0.1%0.4%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Hydoo International Holding Ltd ($1396)44.3%62.0%12.9%16.6%
Gemdale Properties & Investment Corp Ltd ($535)15.3%19.6%10.8%15.9%
China Overseas Land & Investment Ltd ($688)15.1%18.5%15.4%13.0%
Colour Life Services Group Co Ltd ($1778)44.2%47.9%29.3%14.5%
Dalian Wanda Commercial Properties Co Ltd ($3699)26.8%19.6%12.3%14.4%
 
Median (181 companies)4.2%4.0%4.2%2.4%1.6%
Winfair Investment Co Ltd ($287)-0.2%11.1%2.0%3.0%2.4%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Shui On Land Ltd ($272)22.1x13.2x17.1x54.2x
Beijing Capital Land Ltd ($2868)7.1x4.6x11.7x49.1x
Talent Property Group Ltd ($760)43.0x
Mingfa Group International Co Ltd ($846)2.5x3.0x6.3x42.9x
Sunshine 100 China Holdings Ltd ($2608)9.9x12.4x12.9x42.3x
 
Median (136 companies)2.4x2.8x3.0x3.3x4.3x
Winfair Investment Co Ltd ($287)-1.2x-0.4x-1.1x-0.4x