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Novo Group Ltd/Singapore revenue dropped on 54.7% and EBITDA Margin decreased on 3.0 pp from -5.0% to -8.0%

30/06/2016 • About Novo Group Ltd/Singapore ($1048) • By InTwits

Novo Group Ltd/Singapore reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Novo Group Ltd/Singapore is a company in decline: FY2016 revenue growth was -54.7%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -27.2%
  • The company operates at negative EBITDA Margin: -8.0%
  • Novo Group Ltd/Singapore spends a lot for Stock Based Compensation (SBC): average SBC/Revenue for FY2012-FY2016 is 0.0%. Average EBITDA Margin for the same period was -2.8%0
  • Novo Group Ltd/Singapore has medium CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 5.6%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 6.0%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 1.8 in FY2016, 8.5 in FY2015, 13.7 in FY2014, 41.3 in FY2013, 10.3 in FY2012
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -12.1%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Novo Group Ltd/Singapore ($1048) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue327.8284.2273.0225.9102.2-54.7%
Gross Profit18.913.54.7-3.01.7
SG&A12.111.6-4.1%
EBITDA-1.0-5.5-7.9-11.3-8.2
Net Income-1.9-5.6-13.3-22.1-16.2
Balance Sheet
Cash15.319.146.833.59.8-70.8%
Short Term Debt11.645.568.571.847.7-33.7%
Long Term Debt5.018.70.05.441.4662.9%
Cash flow
Capex10.341.313.78.51.8-78.8%
Ratios
Revenue growth-34.6%-13.3%-3.9%-17.3%-54.7%
EBITDA growth-121.0%446.3%44.3%42.8%-27.2%
Gross Margin5.8%4.7%1.7%-1.3%1.7%3.0%
EBITDA Margin-0.3%-1.9%-2.9%-5.0%-8.0%-3.0%
Net Income Margin-0.6%-2.0%-4.9%-9.8%-15.8%-6.0%
SG&A, % of revenue5.3%11.3%6.0%
CAPEX, % of revenue3.2%14.5%5.0%3.8%1.8%-2.0%
ROIC-1.9%-6.3%-8.4%-14.9%-12.1%2.8%
ROE-3.2%-10.4%-30.8%-88.2%-210.8%-122.6%

Revenue and profitability


Novo Group Ltd/Singapore's Revenue dropped on 54.7%. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 1.6 pp from -6.9% to -5.4% in FY2016.

Gross Margin increased on 3.0 pp from -1.3% to 1.7% in FY2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased on 6.0 pp from 5.3% to 11.3% in FY2016.

Net Income marign decreased on 6.0 pp from -9.8% to -15.8% in FY2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In FY2016 Novo Group Ltd/Singapore had CAPEX/Revenue of 1.8%. CAPEX/Revenue dropped on 12.8 pp from 14.5% in FY2013 to 1.8% in FY2016. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 3.5%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-12.09%) and ROE (-210.84%). ROIC increased on 2.8 pp from -14.9% to -12.1% in FY2016. ROE dropped on 123 pp from -88.2% to -211% in FY2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is -3.3x Net Debt / EBITDA and Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA didn't change in FY2016. Debt surged on 15.2% while cash dropped on 70.8%.

Appendix 1: Peers in Distribution/Wholesale


Below you can find Novo Group Ltd/Singapore benchmarking vs. other companies in Distribution/Wholesale industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
C Y Foundation Group Ltd ($1182)-65.6%5.9%214.6%-14.6%
China Fortune Holdings Ltd ($110)-64.7%-68.2%-71.0%174.2%
Hailiang International Holdings Ltd ($2336)9.7%-30.8%-69.1%99.7%
Forefront Group Ltd ($885)504.6%3,871.0%72.0%
Yestar International Holdings Co Ltd ($2393)-2.2%22.8%30.5%60.3%
 
Median (35 companies)2.6%2.1%1.4%-0.5%-14.8%
Novo Group Ltd/Singapore ($1048)-13.3%-3.9%-17.3%-54.7%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
China Yunnan Tin Minerals Group Co Ltd ($263)79.6%66.3%98.7%
Goldin Financial Holdings Ltd ($530)75.3%71.7%74.8%73.8%
YGM Trading Ltd ($375)66.5%67.4%64.0%62.5%58.7%
Goldlion Holdings Ltd ($533)56.4%54.1%55.7%60.0%
E.Bon Holdings Ltd ($599)40.3%37.4%35.8%39.6%42.4%
 
Median (33 companies)17.5%18.2%19.3%21.1%23.9%
Novo Group Ltd/Singapore ($1048)5.8%4.7%1.7%-1.3%1.7%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
China LNG Group Ltd ($931)95.1%76.4%97.9%1,277.8%
Goldin Financial Holdings Ltd ($530)163.7%613.4%285.7%364.1%
China Infrastructure Investment Ltd ($600)-274.9%120.0%52.0%134.5%
China Yunnan Tin Minerals Group Co Ltd ($263)-1,064.4%-252.1%62.8%
Goldlion Holdings Ltd ($533)25.8%23.4%22.5%22.8%
 
Median (36 companies)2.6%2.5%4.6%4.9%-5.1%
Novo Group Ltd/Singapore ($1048)-0.3%-1.9%-2.9%-5.0%-8.0%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
SIS International Holdings ($529)13.4%31.8%14.8%49.8%
Inspur International Ltd ($596)8.4%12.2%33.6%25.6%
China LNG Group Ltd ($931)11.1%0.3%0.6%15.6%
YGM Trading Ltd ($375)1.8%2.1%3.5%14.5%4.0%
Victory Group Ltd ($1139)0.7%0.1%6.1%12.6%
 
Median (35 companies)1.3%1.7%1.6%1.2%2.9%
Novo Group Ltd/Singapore ($1048)3.2%14.5%5.0%3.8%1.8%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
China LNG Group Ltd ($931)8.4%7.4%87.0%56.2%
Powerwell Pacific Holdings Ltd ($8265)6.4%6.4%23.6%27.1%
Yestar International Holdings Co Ltd ($2393)28.8%24.1%26.2%25.4%
E.Bon Holdings Ltd ($599)7.0%7.2%3.3%16.9%17.4%
Goldin Financial Holdings Ltd ($530)5.9%20.6%10.4%16.0%
 
Median (37 companies)2.7%1.7%3.2%2.8%-7.5%
Novo Group Ltd/Singapore ($1048)-1.9%-6.3%-8.4%-14.9%-12.1%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
SIS International Holdings ($529)-1.8x7.0x7.2x16.8x
Leeport Holdings Ltd ($387)16.1x
Takson Holdings Ltd ($918)11.5x11.7x15.7x
Sheng Yuan Holdings Ltd ($851)19.3x15.4x
Forefront Group Ltd ($885)-0.0x15.3x
 
Median (27 companies)-0.2x-0.6x-0.0x-0.2x-2.7x