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YGM Trading Ltd reports 208% Net Income decline in 2016 and 12.4 pp EBITDA Margin decline from 7.1% to -5.2%

29/06/2016 • About YGM Trading Ltd ($375) • By InTwits

YGM Trading Ltd reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • YGM Trading Ltd is a company in decline: FY2016 revenue growth was -18.7%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -5.0%
  • EBITDA Margin is declining: -5.2% in FY2016 vs. 7.1% in FY2015 vs. 22.7% in FY2012
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: -5.2% in FY2016, 7.1% in FY2015, 16.5% in FY2014, 19.7% in FY2013, 22.7% in FY2012
  • YGM Trading Ltd has medium CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 5.2%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 6.1%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 35.6 in FY2016, 160 in FY2015, 43.5 in FY2014, 28.3 in FY2013, 24.4 in FY2012
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -6.2%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

YGM Trading Ltd ($375) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue1,3781,3641,2461,100894-18.7%
Gross Profit916920798687525-23.7%
SG&A686630650636-2.1%
EBITDA31326820679-47-159.8%
Net Income63322221981-88-208.4%
Balance Sheet
Cash1,085656621189102-45.8%
Short Term Debt96191327101.2%
Long Term Debt00000
Cash flow
Capex24284316036-77.8%
Ratios
Revenue growth19.3%-1.0%-8.6%-11.7%-18.7%
EBITDA growth15.2%-14.3%-23.2%-61.9%-159.8%
Gross Margin66.5%67.4%64.0%62.5%58.7%-3.8%
EBITDA Margin22.7%19.7%16.5%7.1%-5.2%-12.4%
Net Income Margin45.9%16.3%17.5%7.4%-9.8%-17.2%
SG&A, % of revenue50.3%50.6%59.1%71.2%12.0%
CAPEX, % of revenue1.8%2.1%3.5%14.5%4.0%-10.6%
ROIC16.6%13.1%11.3%2.8%-6.2%-9.0%
ROE38.1%12.4%14.4%5.5%-6.5%-12.0%
Net Debt/EBITDA-3.4x-2.4x-2.9x-2.2x2.2x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 18.7%. Revenue decline was worsened by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin dropped on 12.4 pp from 7.1% to -5.2% in FY2016.

Gross Margin decreased on 3.8 pp from 62.5% to 58.7% in FY2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue surged on 12.0 pp from 59.1% to 71.2% in FY2016.

Net Income marign dropped on 17.2 pp from 7.4% to -9.8% in FY2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In FY2016 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 4.0%. YGM Trading Ltd showed small growth in CAPEX/Revenue of 1.9 pp from 2.1% in FY2013 to 4.0% in FY2016. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 7.3%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-6.18%) and ROE (-6.54%). ROIC decreased on 9.0 pp from 2.8% to -6.2% in FY2016. ROE dropped on 12.0 pp from 5.5% to -6.5% in FY2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is -0.7x Net Debt / EBITDA and Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 2.2x from -2.2x to in FY2016. Debt jumped on 101% while cash dropped on 45.8%.

Appendix 1: Peers in Distribution/Wholesale


Below you can find YGM Trading Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Distribution/Wholesale industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
C Y Foundation Group Ltd ($1182)-65.6%5.9%214.6%-14.6%
China Fortune Holdings Ltd ($110)-64.7%-68.2%-71.0%174.2%
Hailiang International Holdings Ltd ($2336)9.7%-30.8%-69.1%99.7%
Forefront Group Ltd ($885)504.6%3,871.0%72.0%
Yestar International Holdings Co Ltd ($2393)-2.2%22.8%30.5%60.3%
 
Median (35 companies)2.5%2.1%1.4%-0.5%-14.6%
YGM Trading Ltd ($375)-1.0%-8.6%-11.7%-18.7%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
China Yunnan Tin Minerals Group Co Ltd ($263)79.6%66.3%98.7%
Goldin Financial Holdings Ltd ($530)75.3%71.7%74.8%73.8%
Goldlion Holdings Ltd ($533)56.4%54.1%55.7%60.0%
E.Bon Holdings Ltd ($599)40.3%37.4%35.8%39.6%42.4%
Forefront Group Ltd ($885)69.8%39.1%
 
Median (33 companies)17.3%17.1%18.0%20.8%23.4%
YGM Trading Ltd ($375)66.5%67.4%64.0%62.5%58.7%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
China LNG Group Ltd ($931)95.1%76.4%97.9%1,277.8%
Goldin Financial Holdings Ltd ($530)163.7%613.4%285.7%364.1%
China Infrastructure Investment Ltd ($600)-274.9%120.0%52.0%134.5%
China Yunnan Tin Minerals Group Co Ltd ($263)-1,064.4%-252.1%62.8%
Goldlion Holdings Ltd ($533)25.8%23.4%22.5%22.8%
 
Median (36 companies)2.1%1.9%4.5%4.3%-5.0%
YGM Trading Ltd ($375)22.7%19.7%16.5%7.1%-5.2%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
SIS International Holdings ($529)13.4%31.8%14.8%49.8%
Inspur International Ltd ($596)8.4%12.2%33.6%25.6%
China LNG Group Ltd ($931)11.1%0.3%0.6%15.6%
Victory Group Ltd ($1139)0.7%0.1%6.1%12.6%
C Y Foundation Group Ltd ($1182)2.5%5.2%82.2%9.3%70.8%
 
Median (35 companies)1.3%1.7%1.6%1.2%2.2%
YGM Trading Ltd ($375)1.8%2.1%3.5%14.5%4.0%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
China LNG Group Ltd ($931)8.4%7.4%87.0%56.2%
Powerwell Pacific Holdings Ltd ($8265)6.4%6.4%23.6%27.1%
Yestar International Holdings Co Ltd ($2393)28.8%24.1%26.2%25.4%
E.Bon Holdings Ltd ($599)7.0%7.2%3.3%16.9%17.4%
Goldin Financial Holdings Ltd ($530)5.9%20.6%10.4%16.0%
 
Median (37 companies)2.1%0.9%3.1%2.6%-8.8%
YGM Trading Ltd ($375)16.6%13.1%11.3%2.8%-6.2%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
SIS International Holdings ($529)-1.8x7.0x7.2x16.8x
Leeport Holdings Ltd ($387)16.1x
Takson Holdings Ltd ($918)11.5x11.7x15.7x
Sheng Yuan Holdings Ltd ($851)19.3x15.4x
Forefront Group Ltd ($885)-0.0x15.3x
 
Median (26 companies)-0.1x-0.5x0.3x0.0x-2.7x
YGM Trading Ltd ($375)-3.4x-2.4x-2.9x-2.2x