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China Huishan Dairy Holdings Co Ltd reports 60.6% CAPEX decline while 15.4% Revenue growth

29/06/2016 • About China Huishan Dairy Holdings Co Ltd ($6863) • By InTwits

China Huishan Dairy Holdings Co Ltd reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is declining: 36.0% in FY2016 vs. 37.2% in FY2015 vs. 45.1% in FY2012
  • China Huishan Dairy Holdings Co Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 81.5%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 10.4%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 1,697 in FY2016, 4,309 in FY2015, 4,661 in FY2014, 762 in FY2013, 1,309 in FY2012
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 6.0%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 6.5x while industry average is -0.9x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

China Huishan Dairy Holdings Co Ltd ($6863) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue1,3332,5523,5303,9234,52715.4%
Gross Profit924427098899405.8%
SG&A541977141,0131,13211.7%
EBITDA6011,2231,6621,4601,63011.6%
Net Income4509451,249869662-23.8%
Balance Sheet
Cash5138265,0632,6142,185-16.4%
Short Term Debt5649091,6412,8877,131147.0%
Long Term Debt1,9172,1034,6795,2005,72910.2%
Cash flow
Capex1,3097624,6614,3091,697-60.6%
Ratios
Revenue growth256.3%91.5%38.3%11.1%15.4%
EBITDA growth47.0%103.6%35.9%-12.1%11.6%
Gross Margin6.9%17.3%20.1%22.7%20.8%-1.9%
EBITDA Margin45.1%47.9%47.1%37.2%36.0%-1.2%
Net Income Margin33.7%37.0%35.4%22.1%14.6%-7.5%
SG&A, % of revenue4.1%7.7%20.2%25.8%25.0%-0.8%
CAPEX, % of revenue98.2%29.8%132.0%109.8%37.5%-72.3%
ROIC18.5%18.9%10.6%6.0%6.0%0.0%
ROE70.8%27.9%13.1%6.4%5.1%-1.4%
Net Debt/EBITDA3.3x1.8x0.8x3.7x6.5x2.8x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue surged on 15.4%. Revenue growth was financed by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased slightly on 1.2 pp from 37.2% to 36.0% in FY2016.

Gross Margin decreased slightly on 1.9 pp from 22.7% to 20.8% in FY2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased slightly on 0.83 pp from 25.8% to 25.0% in FY2016.

Net Income marign decreased on 7.5 pp from 22.1% to 14.6% in FY2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


China Huishan Dairy Holdings Co Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue was 37.5% in FY2016. China Huishan Dairy Holdings Co Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue increased on 7.7 pp from 29.8% in FY2013 to 37.5% in FY2016. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 93.1%.To secure this fast growth China Huishan Dairy Holdings Co Ltd made large investments to CAPEX (104% of EBITDA).

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (5.98%) and ROE (5.05%). ROIC showed almost no change in FY2016. ROE decreased slightly on 1.4 pp from 6.4% to 5.1% in FY2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 6.5x Net Debt / EBITDA and 7.9x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 2.8x from 3.7x to 6.5x in FY2016. Debt surged on 59.0% while cash dropped on 16.4%.

Management team


China Huishan Dairy Holdings Co Ltd's CEO Yang Kai has spent 5 years at the company. The company's CFO So Wing Hoi has spent 6 years at the company.

Appendix 1: Peers in Food


Below you can find China Huishan Dairy Holdings Co Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Food industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Imperial Pacific International Holdings Ltd ($1076)-27.6%-18.5%2.7%70.3%
China Shengmu Organic Milk Ltd ($1432)80.0%63.2%86.4%45.4%
Chinese Food and Beverage Group ($8272)207.7%149.2%26.8%31.6%
Huisheng International Holdings Ltd ($1340)-2.4%5.6%8.7%25.9%
Jiashili Group Ltd ($1285)14.9%15.1%12.3%19.8%
 
Median (42 companies)10.3%8.4%5.1%-3.7%-16.8%
China Huishan Dairy Holdings Co Ltd ($6863)91.5%38.3%11.1%15.4%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Hung Fook Tong Group Holdings Ltd ($1446)60.7%60.0%58.7%60.7%
Honworld Group Ltd ($2226)57.2%59.0%57.8%56.4%
Yashili International Holdings Ltd ($1230)53.7%53.5%51.2%50.8%
Natural Dairy NZ Holdings Ltd ($462)-13.7%27.5%48.8%49.6%
China Shengmu Organic Milk Ltd ($1432)33.4%42.9%50.2%47.7%
 
Median (41 companies)16.8%20.3%22.2%23.7%15.4%
China Huishan Dairy Holdings Co Ltd ($6863)6.9%17.3%20.1%22.7%20.8%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Shenguan Holdings Group Ltd ($829)58.7%59.2%54.5%43.6%
Honworld Group Ltd ($2226)44.4%42.1%42.0%42.9%
China Shengmu Organic Milk Ltd ($1432)31.5%38.3%47.1%41.9%
YuanShengTai Dairy Farm Ltd ($1431)40.3%48.4%47.1%35.4%
Want Want China Holdings Ltd ($151)23.8%25.8%23.8%25.2%
 
Median (41 companies)8.0%6.8%7.7%8.0%0.8%
China Huishan Dairy Holdings Co Ltd ($6863)45.1%47.9%47.1%37.2%36.0%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Imperial Pacific International Holdings Ltd ($1076)0.0%0.0%15.6%88.5%
China Modern Dairy Holdings Ltd ($1117)50.6%18.7%42.4%
Labixiaoxin Snacks Group Ltd ($1262)13.3%10.3%14.6%32.0%
YuanShengTai Dairy Farm Ltd ($1431)26.1%18.3%43.4%30.1%
China Kangda Food Co Ltd ($834)5.1%5.4%4.3%24.1%
 
Median (40 companies)5.1%5.3%5.1%4.3%0.1%
China Huishan Dairy Holdings Co Ltd ($6863)98.2%29.8%132.0%109.8%37.5%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Major Holdings Ltd ($8209)23.1%13.8%22.3%7.8%
Jiashili Group Ltd ($1285)45.6%51.8%27.8%22.2%
Want Want China Holdings Ltd ($151)27.9%29.4%22.8%21.8%
China Shengmu Organic Milk Ltd ($1432)16.4%19.6%22.5%17.3%
Honworld Group Ltd ($2226)50.4%44.5%23.6%16.5%
 
Median (43 companies)7.8%7.0%7.2%5.6%0.9%
China Huishan Dairy Holdings Co Ltd ($6863)18.5%18.9%10.6%6.0%6.0%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Ausnutria Dairy Corp Ltd ($1717)-1.4x0.8x1.7x27.9x
Beijing Jingkelong Co Ltd ($814)5.0x4.8x5.3x9.3x
First Pacific Co Ltd/Hong Kong ($142)1.8x3.8x4.5x5.6x
China Kangda Food Co Ltd ($834)2.8x2.5x2.3x5.4x
China Modern Dairy Holdings Ltd ($1117)3.7x5.2x4.1x5.3x
 
Median (32 companies)-0.3x0.7x0.7x1.1x2.3x
China Huishan Dairy Holdings Co Ltd ($6863)3.3x1.8x0.8x3.7x6.5x