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Victory City International Holdings Ltd reports 120% CAPEX growth while 4.4% Revenue decline

28/06/2016 • About Victory City International Holdings Ltd ($539) • By InTwits

Victory City International Holdings Ltd reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Victory City International Holdings Ltd has medium CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 9.1%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 11.8%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 771 in FY2016, 350 in FY2015, 459 in FY2014, 414 in FY2013, 162 in FY2012
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 4.2%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 3.3x while industry average is 0.6x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Victory City International Holdings Ltd ($539) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue3,8354,0855,3725,1374,911-4.4%
Gross Profit716751874957873-8.7%
SG&A3484044184333.5%
EBITDA571542627717677-5.6%
Net Income341206277400242-39.6%
Balance Sheet
Cash1,0991,6931,3002,0032,1115.4%
Short Term Debt1,4731,7722,0082,2471,849-17.7%
Long Term Debt4851,0241,2791,5762,51659.6%
Cash flow
Capex162414459350771120.2%
Ratios
Revenue growth-5.2%6.5%31.5%-4.4%-4.4%
EBITDA growth-8.6%-5.0%15.6%14.4%-5.6%
Gross Margin18.7%18.4%16.3%18.6%17.8%-0.8%
EBITDA Margin14.9%13.3%11.7%14.0%13.8%-0.2%
Net Income Margin8.9%5.0%5.2%7.8%4.9%-2.9%
SG&A, % of revenue8.5%7.5%8.1%8.8%0.7%
CAPEX, % of revenue4.2%10.1%8.6%6.8%15.7%8.9%
ROIC5.1%3.8%4.4%5.0%4.2%-0.9%
ROE8.3%4.5%5.8%7.7%4.5%-3.3%
Net Debt/EBITDA1.5x2.0x3.2x2.5x3.3x0.8x

Revenue and profitability


Victory City International Holdings Ltd's Revenue decreased on 4.4%. EBITDA Margin showed almost no change in FY2016.

Gross Margin decreased slightly on 0.84 pp from 18.6% to 17.8% in FY2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 0.67 pp from 8.1% to 8.8% in FY2016.

Net Income marign decreased on 2.9 pp from 7.8% to 4.9% in FY2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In FY2016 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 15.7%. CAPEX/Revenue increased on 5.6 pp from 10.1% in FY2013 to 15.7% in FY2016. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 10.4%.Battling declining revenue Victory City International Holdings Ltd made large investments to CAPEX (114% of EBITDA) but that didn't help at least in this year.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (4.15%) and ROE (4.47%). ROIC decreased slightly on 0.85 pp from 5.0% to 4.2% in FY2016. ROE decreased on 3.3 pp from 7.7% to 4.5% in FY2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 3.3x and Debt / EBITDA is 6.4x. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 0.8x from 2.5x to 3.3x in FY2016. Debt surged on 14.2% while cash increased on 5.4%.

Appendix 1: Peers in Textiles


Below we provide Victory City International Holdings Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Textiles industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Ping Shan Tea Group Ltd ($364)-25.9%63.7%-45.7%71.6%
China Weaving Materials Holdings Ltd ($3778)-15.4%-4.2%-3.8%53.9%
Easyknit Enterprises Holdings Ltd ($616)9.6%10.2%7.3%22.3%
Kingdom Holding Co Ltd ($528)1.1%6.0%20.0%12.2%
Kam Hing International Holdings Ltd ($2307)0.9%-4.3%1.6%4.2%
 
Median (21 companies)0.9%-4.3%-8.6%-6.1%0.3%
Victory City International Holdings Ltd ($539)6.5%31.5%-4.4%-4.4%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Art Textile Technology International Co Ltd ($565)9.4%11.8%18.0%81.8%
TAI Ping Carpet International Ltd ($146)41.0%45.4%46.7%46.6%
Texwinca Holdings Ltd ($321)29.6%30.9%33.3%34.1%34.0%
Yongsheng Advanced Materials Co Ltd ($3608)4.9%7.3%24.9%28.8%
CECEP COSTIN New Materials Group Ltd ($2228)31.1%32.5%32.5%28.3%
 
Median (20 companies)17.1%16.6%14.4%16.3%26.4%
Victory City International Holdings Ltd ($539)18.7%18.4%16.3%18.6%17.8%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Weiqiao Textile Co ($2698)17.5%20.2%21.4%30.8%
CECEP COSTIN New Materials Group Ltd ($2228)28.1%28.7%30.2%23.4%
Kingdom Holding Co Ltd ($528)26.3%25.3%24.8%23.0%
Yongsheng Advanced Materials Co Ltd ($3608)2.5%5.1%17.5%18.9%
Pacific Textiles Holdings Ltd ($1382)19.1%19.0%19.5%18.4%19.0%
 
Median (20 companies)11.2%10.0%11.8%10.1%17.4%
Victory City International Holdings Ltd ($539)14.9%13.3%11.7%14.0%13.8%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Art Textile Technology International Co Ltd ($565)1.0%1.9%3.9%105.3%
Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd ($969)19.7%40.5%79.6%58.1%
Kam Hing International Holdings Ltd ($2307)10.6%10.5%7.6%8.3%
TAI Ping Carpet International Ltd ($146)8.2%10.1%6.9%7.4%
Wang Tai Holdings Ltd ($1400)34.1%18.8%7.5%7.3%
 
Median (20 companies)2.6%1.8%3.9%4.1%3.7%
Victory City International Holdings Ltd ($539)4.2%10.1%8.6%6.8%15.7%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Pacific Textiles Holdings Ltd ($1382)23.7%26.4%31.6%25.9%26.6%
Yongsheng Advanced Materials Co Ltd ($3608)6.2%13.2%15.4%19.6%
Kingdom Holding Co Ltd ($528)13.8%12.7%13.8%12.7%
CECEP COSTIN New Materials Group Ltd ($2228)22.3%20.1%17.6%11.0%
Texwinca Holdings Ltd ($321)8.3%5.3%5.5%8.1%14.9%
 
Median (21 companies)5.3%5.3%4.0%4.2%20.7%
Victory City International Holdings Ltd ($539)5.1%3.8%4.4%5.0%4.2%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
China Weaving Materials Holdings Ltd ($3778)3.6x3.0x5.3x5.5x
Silverman Holdings Ltd ($1616)1.5x2.5x2.0x3.2x
Wang Tai Holdings Ltd ($1400)3.2x1.9x1.8x2.7x
Kam Hing International Holdings Ltd ($2307)2.5x2.5x2.8x2.6x
Zhejiang Yonglong Enterprises Co Ltd ($8211)4.2x0.1x3.0x1.3x
 
Median (14 companies)1.5x1.3x0.7x0.1x-1.0x
Victory City International Holdings Ltd ($539)1.5x2.0x3.2x2.5x3.3x