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Asia Coal Ltd CAPEX surged on 738% while Revenue dropped on 60.1%

27/06/2016 • About Asia Coal Ltd ($835) • By InTwits

Asia Coal Ltd reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Asia Coal Ltd doesn't have a profitable business model yet: FY2016 ROIC is -301.7%
  • The company operates at negative EBITDA Margin: -404.5%
  • Asia Coal Ltd spends a lot for Stock Based Compensation (SBC): average SBC/Revenue for FY2012-FY2016 is 0.0%. Average EBITDA Margin for the same period was -242.3%0
  • Asia Coal Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 31.3%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 39.7%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 0.82 in FY2016, 0.098 in FY2015, 13.9 in FY2014, 2.3 in FY2013, 1.3 in FY2012
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -301.7%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Asia Coal Ltd ($835) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue10.3058.72812.49929.20011.659-60.1%
Gross Profit5.8395.4609.5911.7020.623-63.4%
SG&A37.82257.98732.04050.68058.2%
EBITDA-34.403-28.512-37.710-27.636-47.164
Net Income-306.945-52.779-144.094-25.144-50.338
Balance Sheet
Cash3.3464.59220.13136.5837.367-79.9%
Short Term Debt99.33417.0899.7812.7962.9425.2%
Long Term Debt71.4300.0000.0003.1291.999-36.1%
Cash flow
Capex1.2912.25013.8760.0980.821737.8%
Ratios
Revenue growth32.1%-15.3%43.2%133.6%-60.1%
EBITDA growth-79.4%-17.1%32.3%-26.7%70.7%
Gross Margin56.7%62.6%76.7%5.8%5.3%-0.5%
EBITDA Margin-333.8%-326.7%-301.7%-94.6%-404.5%-309.9%
Net Income Margin-2,978.6%-604.7%-1,152.8%-86.1%-431.8%-345.6%
SG&A, % of revenue433.3%463.9%109.7%434.7%325.0%
CAPEX, % of revenue12.5%25.8%111.0%0.3%7.0%6.7%
ROIC-15.7%-28.8%-70.3%-152.8%-301.7%-148.9%

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 60.1%. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin dropped on 310 pp from -94.6% to -405% in FY2016.

Gross Margin showed almost no change in FY2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue jumped on 325 pp from 110% to 435% in FY2016.

Net Income marign dropped on 346 pp from -86.1% to -432% in FY2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In FY2016 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 7.0%. CAPEX/Revenue dropped on 18.7 pp from 25.8% in FY2013 to 7.0% in FY2016. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 39.5%.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is -9.0x Net Debt / EBITDA and Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA didn't change in FY2016. Debt dropped on 16.6% while cash dropped on 79.9%.

Appendix 1: Peers in Coal


Below we provide Asia Coal Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Coal industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Sino Resources Group Ltd ($223)-44.8%14.7%354.5%0.4%
Dowell Property Holdings Ltd ($668)-19.2%-55.7%-35.8%83.2%
Capital Finance Holdings Ltd ($8239)83.6%-5.2%-5.5%70.6%
Up Energy Development Group Ltd ($307)60.5%
Rosan Resources Holdings Ltd ($578)-74.1%71.1%49.1%49.9%
 
Median (21 companies)-9.0%-7.8%-14.2%-22.9%-25.7%
Asia Coal Ltd ($835)-15.3%43.2%133.6%-60.1%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Capital Finance Holdings Ltd ($8239)6.4%7.2%8.7%98.2%
Nan Nan Resources Enterprise Ltd ($1229)23.9%17.6%18.1%44.3%41.0%
Agritrade Resources Ltd ($1131)22.9%29.4%31.8%30.0%
Shougang Fushan Resources Group Ltd ($639)63.5%50.9%40.1%24.5%
Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd ($3948)35.2%33.7%27.4%19.2%
 
Median (20 companies)19.8%15.6%8.7%2.9%24.0%
Asia Coal Ltd ($835)56.7%62.6%76.7%5.8%5.3%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Capital Finance Holdings Ltd ($8239)-27.2%-23.7%-56.2%71.5%
Nan Nan Resources Enterprise Ltd ($1229)19.1%14.1%-0.2%40.5%24.1%
Agritrade Resources Ltd ($1131)41.6%37.3%33.4%31.1%
Feishang Anthracite Resources Ltd ($1738)-13.1%-32.9%19.0%15.9%
Kinetic Mines and Energy Ltd ($1277)-277.0%-51.9%29.3%15.8%
 
Median (21 companies)1.5%-0.8%-7.5%-14.3%1.6%
Asia Coal Ltd ($835)-333.8%-326.7%-301.7%-94.6%-404.5%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Siberian Mining Group Co Ltd ($1142)4.6%78.8%217.3%279.7%
Feishang Anthracite Resources Ltd ($1738)244.9%159.7%80.9%90.2%
Up Energy Development Group Ltd ($307)279.5%75.2%
King Stone Energy Group Ltd ($663)58.5%135.3%205.7%69.3%
SouthGobi Resources Ltd ($1878)124.8%20.2%11.5%52.6%
 
Median (20 companies)14.9%26.3%18.3%20.3%2.2%
Asia Coal Ltd ($835)12.5%25.8%111.0%0.3%7.0%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Capital Finance Holdings Ltd ($8239)-25.1%-14.9%-26.9%21.0%
Nan Nan Resources Enterprise Ltd ($1229)6.4%1.6%-1.2%10.0%1.5%
Agritrade Resources Ltd ($1131)2.7%5.8%6.4%6.9%
Kinetic Mines and Energy Ltd ($1277)-6.6%-5.7%8.5%3.2%
Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd ($3948)28.5%15.2%8.5%2.0%
 
Median (21 companies)-2.0%-0.4%-3.5%-3.9%-8.5%
Asia Coal Ltd ($835)-15.7%-28.8%-70.3%-152.8%-301.7%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Feishang Anthracite Resources Ltd ($1738)24.3x32.6x
China Coal Energy Co Ltd ($1898)1.9x4.9x9.7x14.4x
Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd ($3948)0.4x1.7x3.5x9.8x
Yanzhou Coal Mining Co Ltd ($1171)2.9x6.2x4.9x9.0x
Kinetic Mines and Energy Ltd ($1277)4.5x5.9x
 
Median (8 companies)2.9x4.7x4.7x7.5x-1.8x