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Asia Standard Hotel Group Ltd Net Income surged on 109% while Revenue decreased on 3.2%

24/06/2016 • About Asia Standard Hotel Group Ltd ($292) • By InTwits

Asia Standard Hotel Group Ltd reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Asia Standard Hotel Group Ltd doesn't have a profitable business model yet: FY2016 ROIC is 0.7%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 17.8% in FY2016, 40.4% in FY2015, 49.9% in FY2014, 65.2% in FY2013, -23.9% in FY2012
  • Asia Standard Hotel Group Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 17.9%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 21.7%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 142 in FY2016, 85.8 in FY2015, 141 in FY2014, 218 in FY2013, 7.6 in FY2012
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 0.7%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 15.3x while industry average is 8.4x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Asia Standard Hotel Group Ltd ($292) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue822.6646.7651.4699.6677.0-3.2%
Gross Profit499.0474.4470.0473.2445.4-5.9%
SG&A133.0138.54.2%
EBITDA-196.8421.8325.1282.8120.7-57.3%
Net Income-311.5423.8349.0120.1250.6108.7%
Balance Sheet
Cash133.7136.1113.0182.4317.073.8%
Short Term Debt668.1332.8618.0238.1268.312.7%
Long Term Debt917.81,354.61,175.61,511.01,898.525.6%
Cash flow
Capex7.6218.1141.385.8142.165.5%
Ratios
Revenue growth18.2%-21.4%0.7%7.4%-3.2%
EBITDA growth-140.9%-314.4%-22.9%-13.0%-57.3%
Gross Margin60.7%73.4%72.1%67.6%65.8%-1.8%
EBITDA Margin-23.9%65.2%49.9%40.4%17.8%-22.6%
Net Income Margin-37.9%65.5%53.6%17.2%37.0%19.9%
SG&A, % of revenue19.0%20.5%1.5%
CAPEX, % of revenue0.9%33.7%21.7%12.3%21.0%8.7%
ROIC-6.6%7.7%5.0%3.9%0.7%-3.2%
ROE-11.9%15.9%11.4%3.7%7.5%3.7%
Net Debt/EBITDA3.7x5.2x5.5x15.3x9.8x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue decreased on 3.2%. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 2.4 pp from -6.0% to -3.5% in FY2016.

Gross Margin decreased slightly on 1.8 pp from 67.6% to 65.8% in FY2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 1.5 pp from 19.0% to 20.5% in FY2016.

Net Income marign surged on 19.9 pp from 17.2% to 37.0% in FY2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In FY2016 Asia Standard Hotel Group Ltd had CAPEX/Revenue of 21.0%. The company's CAPEX/Revenue dropped on 12.7 pp from 33.7% in FY2013 to 21.0% in FY2016. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 18.3%.The company has spent a lot to CAPEX (118% of EBITDA) which didn't stop revenue from falling.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (0.68%) and ROE (7.46%). ROIC decreased on 3.2 pp from 3.9% to 0.68% in FY2016. ROE increased on 3.7 pp from 3.7% to 7.5% in FY2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 15.3x and Debt / EBITDA is 18.0x. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 9.8x from 5.5x to 15.3x in FY2016. Debt jumped on 23.9% while cash surged on 73.8%.

Appendix 1: Peers in Lodging


Below we provide Asia Standard Hotel Group Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Lodging industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
China New City Commercial Development Ltd ($1321)-16.9%433.0%-76.2%141.3%
Zhuhai Holdings Investment Group Ltd ($908)229.8%14.5%57.0%76.3%
Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotels Group Co Ltd ($2006)-28.8%3.2%0.8%29.9%
Century City International Holdings Ltd ($355)283.6%108.7%-35.8%25.9%
Far East Consortium International Ltd/HK ($35)111.9%9.0%25.7%-21.8%
 
Median (23 companies)11.5%13.8%0.8%-10.2%-18.6%
Asia Standard Hotel Group Ltd ($292)-21.4%0.7%7.4%-3.2%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
SJM Holdings Ltd ($880)99.7%99.7%99.7%99.5%
Wynn Macau Ltd ($1128)97.9%98.3%98.5%98.4%
Emperor Entertainment Hotel Ltd ($296)77.1%75.6%76.8%70.9%65.5%
Sino Hotels Holdings Ltd ($1221)71.3%70.4%68.9%65.8%
NagaCorp Ltd ($3918)72.9%72.1%67.4%65.1%
 
Median (17 companies)55.7%46.3%51.3%45.4%54.1%
Asia Standard Hotel Group Ltd ($292)60.7%73.4%72.1%67.6%65.8%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
NagaCorp Ltd ($3918)49.8%50.1%42.8%45.3%
Emperor Entertainment Hotel Ltd ($296)44.9%46.4%46.9%43.1%36.2%
Jinmao Investments and Jinmao China Investments Holdings Ltd ($6139)41.2%40.5%25.8%41.5%
Sino Hotels Holdings Ltd ($1221)46.5%45.9%43.1%39.6%
Far East Consortium International Ltd/HK ($35)57.2%34.5%43.0%36.4%37.3%
 
Median (23 companies)26.8%26.4%25.8%22.6%36.8%
Asia Standard Hotel Group Ltd ($292)-23.9%65.2%49.9%40.4%17.8%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Macau Legend Development Ltd ($1680)5.0%24.2%73.0%68.5%
Wynn Macau Ltd ($1128)5.2%11.0%28.2%66.6%
Legend Strategy International Holdings Group Co Ltd ($1355)17.0%38.0%1.2%62.6%
Century City International Holdings Ltd ($355)21.2%32.9%13.4%35.8%
Shangri-La Asia Ltd ($69)48.5%33.1%41.2%34.3%
 
Median (23 companies)7.4%8.9%10.8%14.5%8.8%
Asia Standard Hotel Group Ltd ($292)0.9%33.7%21.7%12.3%21.0%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
NagaCorp Ltd ($3918)30.6%28.9%22.6%28.6%
MGM China Holdings Ltd ($2282)46.2%53.8%54.5%24.0%
Sands China Ltd ($1928)14.2%24.4%26.7%15.8%
Emperor Entertainment Hotel Ltd ($296)22.2%21.1%18.4%12.0%7.5%
Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd ($27)25.2%30.0%27.5%10.2%
 
Median (23 companies)7.6%5.6%3.6%2.7%6.5%
Asia Standard Hotel Group Ltd ($292)-6.6%7.7%5.0%3.9%0.7%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
China New City Commercial Development Ltd ($1321)26.0x7.9x100.1x
Century City International Holdings Ltd ($355)6.5x9.3x11.2x12.3x
Regal Hotels International Holdings Ltd ($78)5.0x8.7x11.8x11.1x
Shangri-La Asia Ltd ($69)6.0x6.8x6.9x9.8x
Macau Legend Development Ltd ($1680)2.2x0.6x0.2x7.1x
 
Median (21 companies)0.8x0.6x0.5x4.0x1.2x
Asia Standard Hotel Group Ltd ($292)3.7x5.2x5.5x15.3x