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Gold Peak Industries Holding Ltd Debt surged on 18.4% in 2016 while Revenue decreased slightly on 1.0%

20/06/2016 • About Gold Peak Industries Holding Ltd ($40) • By InTwits

Gold Peak Industries Holding Ltd reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Gold Peak Industries Holding Ltd has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 2.6%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 10.7%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 209 in FY2016, 179 in FY2015, 148 in FY2014, 145 in FY2013, 24.3 in FY2012
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 3.4%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 3.9x while industry average is -0.3x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Gold Peak Industries Holding Ltd ($40) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue1,9256,0215,8495,8565,795-1.0%
Gross Profit4971,4201,4561,5011,486-1.0%
SG&A1,2841,2961,3311,3612.3%
EBITDA67434260342294-14.2%
Net Income-2540-1285219-63.7%
Balance Sheet
Cash38982099484697815.6%
Short Term Debt6811,5931,4211,2681,2901.8%
Long Term Debt39571150452683358.5%
Cash flow
Capex2414514817920916.3%
Ratios
Revenue growth-1.6%212.7%-2.8%0.1%-1.0%
EBITDA growth-52.2%546.5%-40.0%31.5%-14.2%
Gross Margin25.8%23.6%24.9%25.6%25.6%-0.0%
EBITDA Margin3.5%7.2%4.5%5.8%5.1%-0.8%
Net Income Margin-1.3%0.7%-2.2%0.9%0.3%-0.6%
SG&A, % of revenue21.3%22.2%22.7%23.5%0.8%
CAPEX, % of revenue1.3%2.4%2.5%3.1%3.6%0.5%
ROIC0.8%5.5%1.8%4.1%3.4%-0.7%
ROE-1.6%2.7%-8.9%3.7%1.4%-2.3%
Net Debt/EBITDA10.2x3.4x3.6x2.8x3.9x1.1x

Revenue and profitability


Gold Peak Industries Holding Ltd's Revenue decreased slightly on 1.0%. Revenue decline was worsened by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased slightly on 0.78 pp from 5.8% to 5.1% in FY2016.

Gross Margin showed almost no change in FY2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 0.76 pp from 22.7% to 23.5% in FY2016.

Net Income marign decreased slightly on 0.56 pp from 0.88% to 0.32% in FY2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In FY2016 Gold Peak Industries Holding Ltd had CAPEX/Revenue of 3.6%. The company's CAPEX/Revenue increased slightly on 1.2 pp from 2.4% in FY2013 to 3.6% in FY2016. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 3.1%.Battling declining revenue the company invested a large share of EBITDA (71.0%) to CAPEX but that didn't help at least in this year.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (3.35%) and ROE (1.37%). ROIC decreased slightly on 0.70 pp from 4.1% to 3.4% in FY2016. ROE decreased on 2.3 pp from 3.7% to 1.4% in FY2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 3.9x and Debt / EBITDA is 7.2x. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 1.1x from 2.8x to 3.9x in FY2016. Debt jumped on 18.4% while cash surged on 15.6%.

Appendix 1: Peers in Home Furnishings


Below we provide Gold Peak Industries Holding Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Home Furnishings industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
BEP International Holdings Ltd ($2326)44.7%-41.5%46.2%187.9%
See Corp Ltd ($491)13.7%-31.9%134.1%126.9%
Sunrise China Technology Group Ltd ($8226)-93.0%21.9%-20.4%77.5%
Yuxing InfoTech Investment Holdings Ltd ($8005)29.6%-21.2%-16.5%21.3%
Aupu Group Holding Co Ltd ($477)5.7%9.0%26.4%18.5%
 
Median (26 companies)1.1%5.4%3.0%-1.6%6.4%
Gold Peak Industries Holding Ltd ($40)212.7%-2.8%0.1%-1.0%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
South East Group Ltd ($726)25.5%51.6%38.8%82.4%
Aupu Group Holding Co Ltd ($477)48.6%45.0%47.8%48.7%
Grande Holdings Ltd/The ($186)23.7%25.4%29.0%27.7%
Samson Holding Ltd ($531)25.6%25.4%27.3%27.3%
Hing Lee HK Holdings Ltd ($396)16.3%18.7%22.7%22.9%
 
Median (26 companies)17.3%16.8%15.9%15.7%21.9%
Gold Peak Industries Holding Ltd ($40)25.8%23.6%24.9%25.6%25.6%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Aupu Group Holding Co Ltd ($477)15.3%17.6%30.1%27.0%
Skyworth Digital Holdings Ltd ($751)6.0%6.1%5.7%11.3%8.5%
Welling Holding Ltd ($382)11.9%12.8%10.8%8.6%
Hing Lee HK Holdings Ltd ($396)-3.0%4.3%9.4%8.2%
Raymond Industrial Ltd ($229)7.6%7.7%7.8%6.3%
 
Median (25 companies)5.5%4.5%4.6%3.2%8.5%
Gold Peak Industries Holding Ltd ($40)3.5%7.2%4.5%5.8%5.1%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
JF Household Furnishings Ltd ($776)0.7%4.5%2.8%54.5%
Sunrise China Technology Group Ltd ($8226)126.4%69.3%7.4%14.1%
Royale Furniture Holdings Ltd ($1198)14.1%16.5%10.5%
South East Group Ltd ($726)0.0%0.0%0.0%7.9%
Aupu Group Holding Co Ltd ($477)1.5%6.3%5.3%5.7%
 
Median (26 companies)1.5%1.9%2.8%2.1%3.9%
Gold Peak Industries Holding Ltd ($40)1.3%2.4%2.5%3.1%3.6%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Aupu Group Holding Co Ltd ($477)14.8%17.0%32.2%32.2%
Mastercraft International Holdings Ltd ($8146)54.4%38.6%36.4%23.2%
Skyworth Digital Holdings Ltd ($751)11.6%13.4%10.9%23.0%13.7%
BEP International Holdings Ltd ($2326)90.3%4.7%-4.5%17.6%
Tonly Electronics Holdings Ltd ($1249)4.2%7.1%15.9%11.7%
 
Median (26 companies)4.2%4.4%4.0%1.5%13.7%
Gold Peak Industries Holding Ltd ($40)0.8%5.5%1.8%4.1%3.4%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Kasen International Holdings Ltd ($496)2.2x3.7x44.9x20.1x
Hisense Kelon Electrical Holdings Co Ltd ($921)1.2x0.9x1.0x6.4x
TCL Multimedia Technology Holdings Ltd ($1070)-0.3x-2.3x0.7x0.5x
Skyworth Digital Holdings Ltd ($751)1.2x1.5x1.2x-0.2x0.9x
Aupu Group Holding Co Ltd ($477)-0.2x0.7x0.6x-0.2x
 
Median (16 companies)-0.3x-1.1x-1.9x-1.3x0.9x
Gold Peak Industries Holding Ltd ($40)10.2x3.4x3.6x2.8x3.9x