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Longrun Tea Group Co Ltd reports 15.1% revenue decline in FY2016 and 1.6 pp EBITDA Margin growth from -6.9% to -5.4%

17/06/2016 • About Longrun Tea Group Co Ltd ($2898) • By InTwits

Longrun Tea Group Co Ltd reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Longrun Tea Group Co Ltd is a company in decline: FY2016 revenue growth was -15.1%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -11.2%
  • The company operates at negative EBITDA Margin: -5.4%
  • Longrun Tea Group Co Ltd has medium CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 6.0%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 6.0%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 4.1 in FY2016, 8.7 in FY2015, 11.7 in FY2014, 44.0 in FY2013, 15.2 in FY2012
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -6.9%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Longrun Tea Group Co Ltd ($2898) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue344.3271.2286.5256.4217.7-15.1%
Gross Profit154.3115.7112.399.575.8-23.8%
SG&A138.3170.9136.691.6-33.0%
EBITDA73.21.8-40.3-17.7-11.7
Net Income36.06.414.9-203.92.4
Balance Sheet
Cash87.8134.4100.481.953.1-35.3%
Short Term Debt12.011.90.30.20.367.4%
Long Term Debt0.70.40.20.00.5
Cash flow
Capex15.244.011.78.74.1-52.5%
Ratios
Revenue growth-12.8%-21.2%5.6%-10.5%-15.1%
EBITDA growth-23.9%-97.5%-2,301.0%-56.0%-34.2%
Gross Margin44.8%42.7%39.2%38.8%34.8%-4.0%
EBITDA Margin21.3%0.7%-14.1%-6.9%-5.4%1.6%
Net Income Margin10.5%2.4%5.2%-79.5%1.1%80.6%
SG&A, % of revenue51.0%59.6%53.3%42.1%-11.2%
CAPEX, % of revenue4.4%16.2%4.1%3.4%1.9%-1.5%
ROIC13.7%-3.4%-13.2%-11.1%-6.9%4.2%
ROE9.0%1.5%3.4%-59.4%1.0%60.4%
Net Debt/EBITDA-1.0x-66.7x0.0x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 15.1%. Despite revenue decline the EBITDA margin expanded. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 1.6 pp from -6.9% to -5.4% in FY2016.

Gross Margin decreased on 4.0 pp from 38.8% to 34.8% in FY2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue dropped on 11.2 pp from 53.3% to 42.1% in FY2016.

Net Income marign jumped on 80.6 pp from -79.5% to 1.1% in FY2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In FY2016 Longrun Tea Group Co Ltd had CAPEX/Revenue of 1.9%. The company showed big decline in CAPEX/Revenue of 14.3 pp from 16.2% in FY2013 to 1.9% in FY2016. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 3.1%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-6.92%) and low but positive ROE (1.03%). ROIC increased on 4.2 pp from -11.1% to -6.9% in FY2016. ROE jumped on 60.4 pp from -59.4% to 1.0% in FY2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is -6.2x and Debt / EBITDA is . Net Debt / EBITDA didn't change in FY2016. Debt jumped on 328% while cash dropped on 35.3%.

Appendix 1: Peers in Beverages


Below you can find Longrun Tea Group Co Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Beverages industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Sino Distillery Group Ltd ($39)-62.4%-34.9%-15.0%882.1%
China Huiyuan Juice Group Ltd ($1886)4.1%13.1%2.0%23.7%
Besunyen Holdings Co Ltd ($926)-43.5%2.6%15.7%17.5%
Vitasoy International Holdings Ltd ($345)11.6%9.0%10.9%12.4%
Tibet 5100 Water Resources Holdings Ltd ($1115)7.7%15.4%-1.8%7.7%
 
Median (14 companies)0.4%-8.1%2.0%-3.9%
Longrun Tea Group Co Ltd ($2898)-21.2%5.6%-10.5%-15.1%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Besunyen Holdings Co Ltd ($926)82.5%83.3%84.3%89.7%
Tenfu Cayman Holdings Co Ltd ($6868)64.1%61.2%62.2%61.4%
Tibet 5100 Water Resources Holdings Ltd ($1115)81.4%73.2%62.7%60.3%
Vitasoy International Holdings Ltd ($345)47.4%47.5%48.4%49.7%
JLF Investment Co Ltd ($472)50.9%48.7%42.4%41.8%
 
Median (14 companies)44.5%34.7%34.7%37.2%
Longrun Tea Group Co Ltd ($2898)44.8%42.7%39.2%38.8%34.8%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Tibet 5100 Water Resources Holdings Ltd ($1115)73.3%73.2%69.2%52.8%
China Tianyi Holdings Ltd ($756)28.4%26.1%29.7%23.0%
Tenfu Cayman Holdings Co Ltd ($6868)27.5%25.3%26.1%22.5%
China Huiyuan Juice Group Ltd ($1886)15.2%21.7%11.3%18.3%
Yantai North Andre Juice Co ($2218)14.1%11.9%15.5%15.7%
 
Median (14 companies)15.2%10.5%11.3%11.6%
Longrun Tea Group Co Ltd ($2898)21.3%0.7%-14.1%-6.9%-5.4%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
China Culiangwang Beverages Holdings Ltd ($904)26.8%52.2%81.8%75.8%
China Huiyuan Juice Group Ltd ($1886)11.7%7.4%10.5%14.9%
Sino Distillery Group Ltd ($39)32.4%6.5%0.4%12.0%
Vitasoy International Holdings Ltd ($345)11.1%4.2%5.1%11.1%
JLF Investment Co Ltd ($472)17.7%9.1%9.4%9.5%
 
Median (14 companies)11.1%6.5%8.8%5.9%
Longrun Tea Group Co Ltd ($2898)4.4%16.2%4.1%3.4%1.9%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Vitasoy International Holdings Ltd ($345)20.8%20.6%21.7%23.5%
Tenfu Cayman Holdings Co Ltd ($6868)19.4%17.9%15.7%11.0%
Tibet 5100 Water Resources Holdings Ltd ($1115)23.3%20.3%14.9%11.0%
Tsingtao Brewery Co Ltd ($168)13.4%12.0%12.2%6.7%
Besunyen Holdings Co Ltd ($926)-24.2%-8.9%3.2%4.1%
 
Median (14 companies)9.6%3.7%3.2%3.2%
Longrun Tea Group Co Ltd ($2898)13.7%-3.4%-13.2%-11.1%-6.9%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
China Huiyuan Juice Group Ltd ($1886)5.4x4.3x7.9x4.3x
San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong Ltd ($236)2.0x1.0x3.8x
Yantai North Andre Juice Co ($2218)2.3x2.4x2.2x3.0x
China Tianyi Holdings Ltd ($756)-1.0x-0.8x0.9x1.1x
Tenfu Cayman Holdings Co Ltd ($6868)-1.0x-0.2x0.8x0.1x
 
Median (10 companies)-0.7x1.9x0.9x-0.0x