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CNC Holdings Ltd reports 516% EBITDA growth in 2016 and 11.2 pp EBITDA Margin growth from 2.2% to 13.3%

15/06/2016 • About CNC Holdings Ltd ($8356) • By InTwits

CNC Holdings Ltd reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 13.3% in FY2016, 2.2% in FY2015, 8.1% in FY2014, 9.4% in FY2013, -1.7% in FY2012
  • CNC Holdings Ltd has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 4.8%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 5.7%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 14.0 in FY2016, 7.2 in FY2015, 23.3 in FY2014, 18.8 in FY2013, 10.4 in FY2012
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 2.8%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

CNC Holdings Ltd ($8356) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue219.0293.0324.3369.6370.90.4%
Gross Profit21.844.850.123.168.7197.4%
SG&A28.029.833.335.15.2%
EBITDA-3.627.526.28.049.5516.4%
Net Income-704.9-116.2-431.3-41.7-46.4
Balance Sheet
Cash10.036.220.662.2127.4104.9%
Short Term Debt4.92.8591.210.95.2-51.9%
Long Term Debt629.2639.64.0246.1256.74.3%
Cash flow
Capex10.418.823.37.214.093.7%
Ratios
Revenue growth18.8%33.8%10.7%14.0%0.4%
EBITDA growth-121.0%-861.1%-4.8%-69.4%516.4%
Gross Margin9.9%15.3%15.4%6.2%18.5%12.3%
EBITDA Margin-1.7%9.4%8.1%2.2%13.3%11.2%
Net Income Margin-321.9%-39.7%-133.0%-11.3%-12.5%-1.2%
SG&A, % of revenue9.6%9.2%9.0%9.5%0.4%
CAPEX, % of revenue4.7%6.4%7.2%2.0%3.8%1.8%
ROIC-6.7%-5.8%-10.4%-13.5%2.8%16.3%
ROE-1,212.5%0.0%
Net Debt/EBITDA22.0x21.9x24.3x2.7x-21.5x

Revenue and profitability


CNC Holdings Ltd's Revenue showed almost no change in FY2016. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin dropped on 16.2 pp from -3.2% to -19.4% in FY2016.

Gross Margin jumped on 12.3 pp from 6.2% to 18.5% in FY2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in FY2016.

Net Income marign decreased slightly on 1.2 pp from -11.3% to -12.5% in FY2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 3.8% in FY2016. CAPEX/Revenue decreased on 2.6 pp from 6.4% in FY2013 to 3.8% in FY2016. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 4.3%.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 2.7x Net Debt / EBITDA and 5.3x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 21.5x from 24.3x to 2.7x in FY2016. Debt increased slightly on 1.9% while cash jumped on 105%.

Appendix 1: Peers in Engineering&Construction


Below we provide CNC Holdings Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Engineering&Construction industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
CNQC International Holdings Ltd ($1240)21.6%91.0%103.7%807.4%
China National Culture Group Ltd ($745)-39.1%-76.8%-55.8%592.3%
Vision Fame International Holding Ltd ($1315)-9.9%45.9%-10.5%105.6%
Sino Credit Holdings Ltd ($628)-13.8%97.4%
Grand Ming Group Holdings Ltd ($1271)-26.9%-37.4%74.8%14.3%
 
Median (40 companies)12.8%22.8%20.8%9.9%8.5%
CNC Holdings Ltd ($8356)33.8%10.7%14.0%0.4%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
HNA Infrastructure Company Ltd ($357)66.4%62.1%62.4%61.1%
Huayu Expressway Group Ltd ($1823)43.6%65.6%64.0%58.9%
Broad Greenstate International Co Ltd ($1253)20.1%28.7%35.8%36.7%
China National Culture Group Ltd ($745)0.9%12.1%10.3%32.3%
Kingbo Strike Ltd ($1421)32.4%44.4%40.3%30.7%
 
Median (35 companies)17.5%16.9%15.3%16.3%10.1%
CNC Holdings Ltd ($8356)9.9%15.3%15.4%6.2%18.5%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Huayu Expressway Group Ltd ($1823)46.2%73.8%77.1%76.2%
HNA Infrastructure Company Ltd ($357)62.8%63.7%62.8%61.7%
Cheung Kong Infrastructure Holdings Ltd ($1038)31.2%20.6%36.2%60.9%
Beijing Capital International Airport Co Ltd ($694)53.4%52.9%50.3%51.6%
China National Culture Group Ltd ($745)-30.4%-72.7%-279.2%45.3%
 
Median (40 companies)10.0%9.6%9.1%8.3%3.1%
CNC Holdings Ltd ($8356)-1.7%9.4%8.1%2.2%13.3%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
HNA Infrastructure Company Ltd ($357)36.8%5.7%85.4%155.4%
Grand Ming Group Holdings Ltd ($1271)0.0%16.1%8.7%33.8%14.0%
Beijing Capital International Airport Co Ltd ($694)3.5%6.6%7.2%28.2%
Louis XIII Holdings Ltd ($577)1.2%29.5%9.3%16.1%47.3%
PYI Corp Ltd ($498)3.7%4.2%24.5%13.1%
 
Median (40 companies)2.3%2.5%1.6%2.1%7.6%
CNC Holdings Ltd ($8356)4.7%6.4%7.2%2.0%3.8%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Chun Sing Engineering Holdings Ltd ($2277)98.3%54.9%43.7%
Ngai Shun Holdings Ltd ($1246)68.8%77.2%45.2%31.0%
Broad Greenstate International Co Ltd ($1253)33.2%85.1%51.2%26.0%
China Saite Group Co Ltd ($153)64.0%53.2%35.3%24.5%
CNQC International Holdings Ltd ($1240)12.2%22.3%40.4%21.8%
 
Median (42 companies)6.5%5.5%4.1%4.4%3.5%
CNC Holdings Ltd ($8356)-6.7%-5.8%-10.4%-13.5%2.8%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Deson Development International Holdings ($262)3.8x4.9x13.7x47.0x
Hsin Chong Construction Group Ltd ($404)1.8x8.0x10.2x41.7x
China Resources and Transportation Group Ltd ($269)66.7x29.7x
Louis XIII Holdings Ltd ($577)0.8x-12.5x-23.2x19.1x
Chun Wo Development Holdings Ltd ($711)14.3x8.1x12.6x15.9x10.5x
 
Median (34 companies)1.0x0.3x0.4x2.1x5.8x
CNC Holdings Ltd ($8356)22.0x21.9x24.3x2.7x