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Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Ltd reports 46.1% Net Income decline and 12.0% Revenue decline

07/06/2016 • About Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Ltd ($1929) • By InTwits

Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Ltd reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is declining: 9.1% in FY2016 vs. 11.9% in FY2015 vs. 15.6% in FY2012
  • Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Ltd has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 1.9%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 4.9%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 917 in FY2016, 2,003 in FY2015, 1,189 in FY2014, 917 in FY2013, 867 in FY2012
  • The company has business model with low profitability: ROIC is at 8.0%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 0.3x while industry average is -0.1x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Ltd ($1929) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue56,57157,43477,40764,27756,592-12.0%
Gross Profit16,44816,28321,15219,07215,641-18.0%
SG&A8,0359,18112,20712,34411,623-5.8%
EBITDA8,8187,7889,7827,6805,150-32.9%
Net Income6,3415,5057,2725,4562,941-46.1%
Balance Sheet
Cash9,9888,3059,4678,47713,00153.4%
Short Term Debt11,3815,83617,08615,08913,833-8.3%
Long Term Debt3,426000600
Cash flow
Capex8679171,1892,003917-54.2%
Ratios
Revenue growth61.4%1.5%34.8%-17.0%-12.0%
EBITDA growth81.1%-11.7%25.6%-21.5%-32.9%
Gross Margin29.1%28.4%27.3%29.7%27.6%-2.0%
EBITDA Margin15.6%13.6%12.6%11.9%9.1%-2.8%
Net Income Margin11.2%9.6%9.4%8.5%5.2%-3.3%
SG&A, % of revenue14.2%16.0%15.8%19.2%20.5%1.3%
CAPEX, % of revenue1.5%1.6%1.5%3.1%1.6%-1.5%
ROIC26.4%17.1%18.8%12.3%8.0%-4.3%
ROE31.5%17.8%20.7%14.2%7.9%-6.3%
Net Debt/EBITDA0.5x-0.3x0.8x0.9x0.3x-0.6x

Revenue and profitability


Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Ltd's Revenue dropped on 12.0%. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased on 2.8 pp from 11.9% to 9.1% in FY2016.

Gross Margin decreased on 2.0 pp from 29.7% to 27.6% in FY2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 1.3 pp from 19.2% to 20.5% in FY2016.

Net Income marign decreased on 3.3 pp from 8.5% to 5.2% in FY2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In FY2016 Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Ltd had CAPEX/Revenue of 1.6%. CAPEX/Revenue showed almost no change from FY2013 to FY2016. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 2.1%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (8.01%) and ROE (7.91%). ROIC decreased on 4.3 pp from 12.3% to 8.0% in FY2016. ROE decreased on 6.3 pp from 14.2% to 7.9% in FY2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 0.3x Net Debt / EBITDA and 2.8x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 0.6x from 0.9x to 0.3x in FY2016. Debt decreased on 4.3% while cash jumped on 53.4%.

Appendix 1: Peers in Retail


Below you can find Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Retail industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
China Nuclear Industry 23 International Corp Ltd ($611)1.4%85.6%-42.1%419.8%
Noble House China Holdings Ltd ($8246)-5.0%-20.2%-24.8%117.2%
Vongroup Ltd ($318)-46.9%23.7%-80.2%90.3%
Nanjing Sinolife United Co Ltd ($3332)45.6%29.5%29.6%57.3%
Shanghai La Chapelle Fashion Co Ltd ($6116)54.9%72.8%23.0%48.3%
 
Median (115 companies)9.8%6.5%3.1%-1.0%4.0%
Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Ltd ($1929)1.5%34.8%-17.0%-12.0%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Vongroup Ltd ($318)95.1%99.1%
Modern Beauty Salon Holdings Ltd ($919)97.4%95.9%96.8%96.7%
Moiselle International Holdings Ltd ($130)81.2%83.8%80.6%83.2%
Embry Holdings Ltd ($1388)81.2%80.4%82.3%81.6%
Nanjing Sinolife United Co Ltd ($3332)86.5%89.3%90.9%80.6%
 
Median (102 companies)37.7%36.4%35.6%34.8%49.0%
Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Ltd ($1929)29.1%28.4%27.3%29.7%27.6%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
China Energy Development Holdings Ltd ($228)-58.1%-72.3%-84.0%1,070.6%
Golden Eagle Retail Group Ltd ($3308)48.5%47.3%42.8%55.4%
Nanjing Sinolife United Co Ltd ($3332)51.6%56.9%54.4%44.8%
Lifestyle International Holdings Ltd ($1212)47.5%47.0%44.7%43.4%
China Dongxiang Group Co Ltd ($3818)6.0%5.6%58.3%41.4%
 
Median (115 companies)10.3%7.3%8.9%7.1%8.0%
Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Ltd ($1929)15.6%13.6%12.6%11.9%9.1%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Culture Landmark Investment Ltd ($674)11.6%19.4%15.7%47.2%
Springland International Holdings Ltd ($1700)31.9%17.4%26.5%36.9%
Merry Garden Holdings Ltd ($1237)18.6%28.6%15.1%34.2%
China Energy Development Holdings Ltd ($228)1.6%0.2%0.0%27.4%
Golden Eagle Retail Group Ltd ($3308)28.5%9.4%26.7%25.4%
 
Median (115 companies)4.5%3.7%3.8%3.5%1.8%
Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Ltd ($1929)1.5%1.6%1.5%3.1%1.6%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Modern Beauty Salon Holdings Ltd ($919)50.7%-4.6%81.3%71.8%
Starbucks Corp ($4337)36.4%-6.0%52.8%51.4%
Sa Sa International Holdings Ltd ($178)53.5%52.7%49.0%39.8%
Noble House China Holdings Ltd ($8246)17.7%-67.7%-113.8%35.6%
Fairwood Holdings Ltd ($52)28.0%29.1%28.6%32.1%
 
Median (115 companies)12.2%8.5%8.4%5.8%12.4%
Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Ltd ($1929)26.4%17.1%18.8%12.3%8.0%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Sparkle Roll Group Ltd ($970)0.6x4.0x9.3x23.5x
Trinity Ltd ($891)-0.2x0.2x0.6x18.2x
Parkson Retail Group Ltd ($3368)0.8x2.3x3.6x9.8x
Maoye International Holdings Ltd ($848)2.9x3.3x3.4x9.0x
Century Ginwa Retail Holdings Ltd ($162)2.0x2.5x4.8x7.3x
 
Median (89 companies)-0.5x-0.7x-0.2x-0.5x-0.7x
Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Ltd ($1929)0.5x-0.3x0.8x0.9x0.3x