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Grand Ming Group Holdings Ltd reports 52.7% CAPEX decline in 2016 while 14.3% Revenue growth

02/06/2016 • About Grand Ming Group Holdings Ltd ($1271) • By InTwits

Grand Ming Group Holdings Ltd reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 16.9% in FY2016, 19.0% in FY2015, 31.0% in FY2014, 15.8% in FY2013, 10.0% in FY2012
  • Grand Ming Group Holdings Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 14.5%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 7.8%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 135 in FY2016, 286 in FY2015, 42.0 in FY2014, 125 in FY2013, 0.018 in FY2012
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 4.7%
  • It operates with medium-size leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 5.8x while industry average is 4.9x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Grand Ming Group Holdings Ltd ($1271) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue1,05877448484696814.3%
Gross Profit1171401731671691.5%
SG&A13212513145.3%
EBITDA1061231501611631.6%
Net Income10214943832840222.6%
Balance Sheet
Cash7755204132120-9.1%
Short Term Debt69867114148126-15.1%
Long Term Debt07617069279451.9%
Cash flow
Capex012542286135-52.7%
Ratios
Revenue growth131.0%-26.9%-37.4%74.8%14.3%
EBITDA growth31.4%16.2%22.5%7.1%1.6%
Gross Margin11.0%18.1%35.7%19.7%17.5%-2.2%
EBITDA Margin10.0%15.8%31.0%19.0%16.9%-2.1%
Net Income Margin9.6%19.3%90.6%38.7%41.5%2.8%
SG&A, % of revenue1.2%2.7%5.1%1.6%1.5%-0.1%
CAPEX, % of revenue0.0%16.1%8.7%33.8%14.0%-19.8%
ROIC5.5%6.0%6.2%5.4%4.7%-0.7%
ROE9.1%12.2%28.2%16.6%17.5%0.9%
Net Debt/EBITDA5.9x6.3x4.1x5.9x5.8x-0.0x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue surged on 14.3%. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin dropped on 10.6 pp from 19.3% to 8.7% in FY2016.

Gross Margin decreased on 2.2 pp from 19.7% to 17.5% in FY2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in FY2016.

Net Income marign increased on 2.8 pp from 38.7% to 41.5% in FY2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 14.0% in FY2016. CAPEX/Revenue decreased on 2.2 pp from 16.1% in FY2013 to 14.0% in FY2016. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 18.8%.Grand Ming Group Holdings Ltd invested a big chunk of EBITDA (82.7%) to CAPEX to secure its growth.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROE (17.50%) while ROIC is low (4.71%). ROIC decreased slightly on 0.71 pp from 5.4% to 4.7% in FY2016. ROE increased slightly on 0.86 pp from 16.6% to 17.5% in FY2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 5.8x Net Debt / EBITDA and 6.5x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA decreased on 0.048x from 5.9x to 5.8x in FY2016. Debt showed almost no change in FY2016 while cash decreased on 9.1%.

Appendix 1: Peers in Engineering&Construction


Below you can find Grand Ming Group Holdings Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Engineering&Construction industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
CNQC International Holdings Ltd ($1240)21.6%91.0%103.7%807.4%
China National Culture Group Ltd ($745)-39.1%-76.8%-55.8%592.3%
Vision Fame International Holding Ltd ($1315)-9.9%45.9%-10.5%105.6%
Sino Credit Holdings Ltd ($628)-13.8%97.4%
Freetech Road Recycling Technology Holdings Ltd ($6888)72.8%29.4%-37.9%57.9%
 
Median (40 companies)12.8%24.0%20.8%9.9%
Grand Ming Group Holdings Ltd ($1271)-26.9%-37.4%74.8%14.3%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
HNA Infrastructure Company Ltd ($357)66.4%62.1%62.4%61.1%
Huayu Expressway Group Ltd ($1823)43.6%65.6%64.0%58.9%
Broad Greenstate International Co Ltd ($1253)20.1%28.7%35.8%36.7%
China National Culture Group Ltd ($745)0.9%12.1%10.3%32.3%
Kingbo Strike Ltd ($1421)32.4%44.4%40.3%30.7%
 
Median (35 companies)17.5%15.3%15.3%15.6%
Grand Ming Group Holdings Ltd ($1271)11.0%18.1%35.7%19.7%17.5%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Huayu Expressway Group Ltd ($1823)46.2%73.8%77.1%76.2%
HNA Infrastructure Company Ltd ($357)62.8%63.7%62.8%61.7%
Cheung Kong Infrastructure Holdings Ltd ($1038)31.2%20.6%36.2%60.9%
Beijing Capital International Airport Co Ltd ($694)53.4%52.9%50.3%51.6%
China National Culture Group Ltd ($745)-30.4%-72.7%-279.2%45.3%
 
Median (40 companies)10.0%9.5%8.1%7.8%
Grand Ming Group Holdings Ltd ($1271)10.0%15.8%31.0%19.0%16.9%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
HNA Infrastructure Company Ltd ($357)36.8%5.7%85.4%155.4%
Beijing Capital International Airport Co Ltd ($694)3.5%6.6%7.2%28.2%
Louis XIII Holdings Ltd ($577)1.2%29.5%9.3%16.1%
PYI Corp Ltd ($498)3.7%4.2%24.5%13.1%
KFM Kingdom Holdings Ltd ($3816)4.6%11.5%14.9%9.6%
 
Median (40 companies)2.5%2.5%1.6%2.0%
Grand Ming Group Holdings Ltd ($1271)0.0%16.1%8.7%33.8%14.0%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Chun Sing Engineering Holdings Ltd ($2277)98.3%54.9%43.7%
Ngai Shun Holdings Ltd ($1246)68.8%77.2%45.2%31.0%
Broad Greenstate International Co Ltd ($1253)33.2%85.1%51.2%26.0%
China Saite Group Co Ltd ($153)64.0%53.2%35.3%24.5%
CNQC International Holdings Ltd ($1240)12.2%22.3%40.4%21.8%
 
Median (42 companies)6.5%5.1%3.6%3.1%
Grand Ming Group Holdings Ltd ($1271)5.5%6.0%6.2%5.4%4.7%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Deson Development International Holdings ($262)3.8x4.9x13.7x47.0x
Hsin Chong Construction Group Ltd ($404)1.8x8.0x10.2x41.7x
China Resources and Transportation Group Ltd ($269)66.7x29.7x
CNC Holdings Ltd ($8356)22.0x21.9x24.3x
Louis XIII Holdings Ltd ($577)0.8x-12.5x-23.2x19.1x
 
Median (34 companies)0.9x0.3x0.4x2.1x
Grand Ming Group Holdings Ltd ($1271)5.9x6.3x4.1x5.9x5.8x