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Lenovo Group Ltd EBITDA dropped on 55.5% in 2016 and Revenue decreased on 3.0%

26/05/2016 • About Lenovo Group Ltd ($992) • By InTwits

Lenovo Group Ltd reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Lenovo Group Ltd doesn't have a profitable business model yet: FY2016 ROIC is 1.0%
  • Lenovo Group Ltd has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 1.4%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 6.6%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 780 in FY2016, 676 in FY2015, 566 in FY2014, 388 in FY2013, 307 in FY2012
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 1.0%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 1.6x while industry average is 0.1x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Lenovo Group Ltd ($992) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue29,57433,87338,70746,29644,912-3.0%
Gross Profit3,4464,0745,0646,6826,624-0.9%
SG&A2,4212,7353,3034,1854,4827.1%
EBITDA7551,0471,3861,807804-55.5%
Net Income473635817829-128-115.5%
Balance Sheet
Cash3,7583,4543,8582,8551,927-32.5%
Short Term Debt631764451,168746-36.2%
Long Term Debt0303101,8862,50532.8%
Cash flow
Capex30738856667678015.4%
Ratios
Revenue growth37.0%14.5%14.3%19.6%-3.0%
EBITDA growth35.2%38.7%32.4%30.4%-55.5%
Gross Margin11.7%12.0%13.1%14.4%14.7%0.3%
EBITDA Margin2.6%3.1%3.6%3.9%1.8%-2.1%
Net Income Margin1.6%1.9%2.1%1.8%-0.3%-2.1%
SG&A, % of revenue8.2%8.1%8.5%9.0%10.0%0.9%
CAPEX, % of revenue1.0%1.1%1.5%1.5%1.7%0.3%
ROIC26.2%30.5%34.7%24.5%1.0%-23.5%
ROE22.5%25.3%28.8%23.4%-3.6%-27.0%
Net Debt/EBITDA-4.9x-2.8x-2.5x0.1x1.6x1.5x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue decreased on 3.0%. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased on 2.1 pp from 3.9% to 1.8% in FY2016.

Gross Margin showed almost no change in FY2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 0.94 pp from 9.0% to 10.0% in FY2016.

Net Income marign decreased on 2.1 pp from 1.8% to -0.29% in FY2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In FY2016 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 1.7%. CAPEX/Revenue increased slightly on 0.59 pp from 1.1% in FY2013 to 1.7% in FY2016. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 1.6%.Lenovo Group Ltd invested a big chunk of EBITDA (97.0%) to CAPEX which didn't stop revenue from falling.

Return on investment


The company operates at low but positive ROIC (0.98%) and negative ROE (-3.62%). ROIC dropped on 23.5 pp from 24.5% to 0.98% in FY2016. ROE dropped on 27.0 pp from 23.4% to -3.6% in FY2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 1.6x Net Debt / EBITDA and 4.0x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 1.5x from 0.1x to 1.6x in FY2016. Debt increased on 6.4% while cash dropped on 32.5%.

Management team


Lenovo Group Ltd's CEO is Yang Yuanqing. Yang Yuanqing has 9 years tenure at the company. Lenovo Group Ltd's CFO is Wai Ming Wong. Wai Ming Wong has 11 years tenure at the company.

Appendix 1: Peers in Computers


Below we provide Lenovo Group Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Computers industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Shinhint Acoustic Link Holdings Ltd ($2728)-65.4%8.8%27.1%759.3%
Beautiful China Holdings Co Ltd ($706)-7.8%-23.3%-37.1%267.1%
Powerleader Science & Technology Group Ltd ($8236)2.5%-10.3%18.8%45.0%
Alibaba Health Information Technology Ltd ($241)29.4%-96.7%73.0%35.3%
Thiz Technology Group Ltd ($8119)-4.1%-95.1%72.2%31.9%
 
Median (23 companies)3.8%-1.8%7.2%-3.9%
Lenovo Group Ltd ($992)14.5%14.3%19.6%-3.0%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Universal Technologies Holdings Ltd ($1026)87.3%79.7%90.3%98.4%
Thiz Technology Group Ltd ($8119)8.8%63.8%86.2%96.0%
Computer & Technologies Holdings Ltd ($46)45.3%54.0%52.1%54.2%
Alibaba Health Information Technology Ltd ($241)11.4%-12.6%49.3%53.7%
CCID Consulting Co Ltd ($8235)43.7%49.1%51.8%48.7%
 
Median (23 companies)14.2%17.0%17.2%19.5%
Lenovo Group Ltd ($992)11.7%12.0%13.1%14.4%14.7%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Thiz Technology Group Ltd ($8119)-47.4%-847.3%-506.6%74.0%
World Wide Touch Technology Holdings Ltd ($1282)3.4%-6.4%-6.4%35.7%
Ju Teng International Holdings Ltd ($3336)15.1%19.9%19.3%23.8%
Computer & Technologies Holdings Ltd ($46)12.9%19.9%20.1%23.2%
PAX Global Technology Ltd ($327)16.5%17.4%18.8%22.7%
 
Median (24 companies)3.2%2.2%-1.5%4.6%
Lenovo Group Ltd ($992)2.6%3.1%3.6%3.9%1.8%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Beautiful China Holdings Co Ltd ($706)8.4%2.2%26.2%743.7%
North Asia Resources Holdings Ltd ($61)4.6%94.2%177.8%110.2%
China Uptown Group Co Ltd ($2330)0.0%0.2%1.0%20.5%
Universal Technologies Holdings Ltd ($1026)20.0%5.7%14.2%20.3%
Ju Teng International Holdings Ltd ($3336)14.1%18.7%20.0%17.3%
 
Median (24 companies)1.2%1.6%2.1%1.8%
Lenovo Group Ltd ($992)1.0%1.1%1.5%1.5%1.7%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
PAX Global Technology Ltd ($327)12.3%12.8%18.7%22.4%
CCID Consulting Co Ltd ($8235)11.3%10.7%10.2%15.0%
TPV Technology Ltd ($903)7.7%1.8%10.1%12.0%
Computer & Technologies Holdings Ltd ($46)6.0%8.6%9.4%10.8%
World Wide Touch Technology Holdings Ltd ($1282)-3.5%-10.8%-11.5%9.0%
 
Median (24 companies)0.9%-0.2%-1.4%2.1%
Lenovo Group Ltd ($992)26.2%30.5%34.7%24.5%1.0%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Shinhint Acoustic Link Holdings Ltd ($2728)-2.8x-2.5x-20.8x8.8x
Thiz Technology Group Ltd ($8119)8.2x
Powerleader Science & Technology Group Ltd ($8236)2.7x3.6x4.6x6.7x
EVOC Intelligent Technology Co Ltd ($2308)0.5x5.8x5.7x5.4x
Perception Digital Holdings Ltd ($1822)1.8x
 
Median (15 companies)-2.1x-1.3x-4.1x0.8x
Lenovo Group Ltd ($992)-4.9x-2.8x-2.5x0.1x1.6x