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Zhuguang Holdings Group Co Ltd Net Income surged on 228% in 2015 while EBITDA Margin dropped on 30.1 pp from 37.7% to 7.6%

26/04/2016 • About Zhuguang Holdings Group Co Ltd ($1176) • By InTwits

Zhuguang Holdings Group Co Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Zhuguang Holdings Group Co Ltd doesn't have a profitable business model yet: 2015 ROIC is 1.6%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 7.6% in 2015, 37.7% in 2014, -19.5% in 2013, 29.3% in 2012, -33.5% in 2011
  • Zhuguang Holdings Group Co Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 85.0%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 57.1%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 15.2 in 2015, 12.7 in 2014, 1,187 in 2013, 8.6 in 2012, 0.12 in 2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 1.6%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 10.0x while industry average is 3.3x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Zhuguang Holdings Group Co Ltd ($1176) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue585712812,9203,29312.8%
Gross Profit2201091,234652-47.2%
SG&A3810114017928.2%
EBITDA-19168-551,102251-77.2%
Net Income17182-939180591228.2%
Balance Sheet
Cash3941389973,8985,66145.2%
Short Term Debt668391,4892,5853,46734.1%
Long Term Debt7217683,0586,2424,703-24.6%
Cash flow
Capex091,187131519.8%
Ratios
Revenue growth637.1%886.5%-50.8%939.4%12.8%
EBITDA growth3.2%-963.0%-132.6%-2,115.8%-77.2%
Gross Margin38.5%38.9%42.3%19.8%-22.5%
EBITDA Margin-33.5%29.3%-19.5%37.7%7.6%-30.1%
Net Income Margin28.8%31.9%-334.2%6.2%18.0%11.8%
SG&A, % of revenue6.6%35.9%4.8%5.4%0.7%
CAPEX, % of revenue0.2%1.5%422.5%0.4%0.5%0.0%
ROIC-1.2%5.0%-0.9%9.1%1.6%-7.4%
ROE1.6%10.8%-33.5%5.4%16.4%11.1%
Net Debt/EBITDA8.8x4.5x10.0x5.5x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue surged on 12.8% in 2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 3.7 pp from -38.7% to -34.9% in 2015.

Gross Margin dropped on 22.5 pp from 42.3% to 19.8% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 0.65 pp from 4.8% to 5.4% in 2015.

Net Income marign jumped on 11.8 pp from 6.2% to 18.0% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 0.46% in 2015. CAPEX/Revenue decreased slightly on 1.1 pp from 1.5% in 2012 to 0.46% in 2015. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 141%.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROE (16.43%) while ROIC is low (1.64%). ROIC decreased on 7.4 pp from 9.1% to 1.6% in 2015. ROE jumped on 11.1 pp from 5.4% to 16.4% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 10.0x Net Debt / EBITDA and 32.6x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 5.5x from 4.5x to 10.0x in 2015. Debt decreased on 7.4% in 2015 while cash surged on 45.2% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Real Estate


Below we provide Zhuguang Holdings Group Co Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Real Estate industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd ($124)24,971.2%
GR Properties Ltd ($108)21.6%-82.9%14.6%1,203.6%
Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd ($169)-51.4%-86.2%1,071.2%
Henderson Investment Ltd ($97)-78.9%737.1%
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)-70.5%-95.2%75.7%678.6%
 
Median (179 companies)29.4%15.8%14.0%5.2%4.2%
Zhuguang Holdings Group Co Ltd ($1176)886.5%-50.8%939.4%12.8%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Renhe Commercial Holdings Co Ltd ($1387)71.1%79.0%95.2%97.9%99.9%
Tern Properties Co Ltd ($277)96.9%96.7%98.4%98.4%98.7%
YT Realty Group Ltd ($75)91.5%94.4%96.6%96.7%97.6%
Wah Ha Realty Co Ltd ($278)88.7%96.3%96.0%93.2%95.9%
Soundwill Holdings Ltd ($878)35.6%53.1%74.5%46.9%95.7%
 
Median (160 companies)43.8%41.9%41.9%38.9%38.4%
Zhuguang Holdings Group Co Ltd ($1176)38.5%38.9%42.3%19.8%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Chinese Estates Holdings Ltd ($127)340.9%356.2%91.6%195.5%397.4%
Zall Development Group Ltd ($2098)73.6%105.3%133.1%143.2%213.9%
SOHO China Ltd ($410)113.8%113.6%80.8%104.0%201.9%
Beijing Properties Holdings Ltd ($925)33.2%-606.3%2,162.6%224.3%186.5%
Swire Properties Ltd ($1972)283.7%154.5%114.6%73.2%100.3%
 
Median (179 companies)35.5%28.9%28.4%26.4%23.5%
Zhuguang Holdings Group Co Ltd ($1176)-33.5%29.3%-19.5%37.7%7.6%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
LT Commercial Real Estate Ltd ($112)0.0%0.0%18.0%27,965.5%4,834.8%
China Oceanwide Holdings Ltd ($715)0.4%0.8%0.3%2.0%880.6%
Madex International Holdings Ltd ($231)586.8%174.5%519.7%205.3%350.6%
Pacific Century Premium Developments Ltd ($432)6.5%2.9%323.1%351.2%340.6%
Hon Kwok Land Investment Co Ltd ($160)90.6%20.6%157.3%144.5%296.3%
 
Median (179 companies)5.9%5.6%6.1%4.7%3.3%
Zhuguang Holdings Group Co Ltd ($1176)0.2%1.5%422.5%0.4%0.5%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Hydoo International Holding Ltd ($1396)88.4%44.3%62.0%12.9%16.6%
Gemdale Properties & Investment Corp Ltd ($535)8.9%15.3%19.6%10.8%15.9%
China Overseas Land & Investment Ltd ($688)18.0%18.4%15.1%18.5%15.4%
Colour Life Services Group Co Ltd ($1778)44.2%47.9%29.3%14.5%
Dalian Wanda Commercial Properties Co Ltd ($3699)26.8%19.6%12.3%14.4%
 
Median (181 companies)4.6%4.2%4.2%4.2%2.7%
Zhuguang Holdings Group Co Ltd ($1176)-1.2%5.0%-0.9%9.1%1.6%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Shui On Land Ltd ($272)7.9x22.1x13.2x17.1x54.2x
Beijing Capital Land Ltd ($2868)2.9x7.1x4.6x11.7x49.1x
Talent Property Group Ltd ($760)43.0x
Mingfa Group International Co Ltd ($846)2.3x2.5x3.0x6.3x42.9x
Sunshine 100 China Holdings Ltd ($2608)19.8x9.9x12.4x12.9x42.3x
 
Median (136 companies)2.2x2.2x2.7x2.9x3.2x
Zhuguang Holdings Group Co Ltd ($1176)8.8x4.5x10.0x