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Global Sweeteners Holdings Ltd reports 43.5% revenue decline in 2015 and 12.3 pp EBITDA Margin growth from -16.8% to -4.5%

25/04/2016 • About Global Sweeteners Holdings Ltd ($3889) • By InTwits

Global Sweeteners Holdings Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Global Sweeteners Holdings Ltd is a company in decline: 2015 revenue growth was -43.5%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -13.2%
  • The company operates at negative EBITDA Margin: -4.5%
  • Global Sweeteners Holdings Ltd motivates its personel by high Stock Based Compensation (SBC): average SBC/Revenue for 2011-2015 was 0.0%. On average EBITDA Margin was -0.8% for the sames years0
  • Global Sweeteners Holdings Ltd has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 2.2%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 10.6%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 15.8 in 2015, 38.8 in 2014, 78.5 in 2013, 95.6 in 2012, 210 in 2011
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -12.3%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is -0.6x while industry average is -1.4x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Global Sweeteners Holdings Ltd ($3889) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue4,2754,5204,2002,9201,649-43.5%
Gross Profit545351138-19080-142.3%
SG&A337365351322188-41.5%
EBITDA340146-70-491-75-84.8%
Net Income144-247-320-1,093-753-31.1%
Balance Sheet
Cash49755840719061-67.8%
Short Term Debt1,7541,4791,32647172754.2%
Long Term Debt7832337570190-66.6%
Cash flow
Capex21096783916-59.4%
Ratios
Revenue growth27.4%5.7%-7.1%-30.5%-43.5%
EBITDA growth19.9%-57.1%-147.7%605.0%-84.8%
Gross Margin12.7%7.8%3.3%-6.5%4.9%11.4%
EBITDA Margin8.0%3.2%-1.7%-16.8%-4.5%12.3%
Net Income Margin3.4%-5.5%-7.6%-37.4%-45.7%-8.3%
SG&A, % of revenue7.9%8.1%8.4%11.0%11.4%0.4%
CAPEX, % of revenue4.9%2.1%1.9%1.3%1.0%-0.4%
ROIC6.2%-0.1%-5.6%-22.0%-12.3%9.7%
ROE6.4%-10.1%-14.6%-73.5%-135.2%-61.6%
Net Debt/EBITDA3.9x8.5x0.0x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 43.5% in 2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin jumped on 12.3 pp from -16.8% to -4.5% in 2015.

Gross Margin jumped on 11.4 pp from -6.5% to 4.9% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in 2015.

Net Income marign decreased on 8.3 pp from -37.4% to -45.7% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


Global Sweeteners Holdings Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue was 0.96% in 2015. Global Sweeteners Holdings Ltd showed small CAPEX/Revenue decline of 1.2 pp from 2.1% in 2012 to 0.96% in 2015. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 1.4%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-12.30%) and ROE (-135.17%). ROIC increased on 9.7 pp from -22.0% to -12.3% in 2015. ROE dropped on 61.6 pp from -73.5% to -135% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is -0.6x Net Debt / EBITDA and Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA didn't change in 2015. Debt dropped on 11.9% in 2015 while cash dropped on 67.8% in 2015.

Management team


The company's CEO Wang Jian has spent 3 years at the company.

Appendix 1: Peers in Food


Below we provide Global Sweeteners Holdings Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Food industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Imperial Pacific International Holdings Ltd ($1076)-27.6%-18.5%2.7%70.3%
China Shengmu Organic Milk Ltd ($1432)80.0%63.2%86.4%45.4%
Chinese Food and Beverage Group ($8272)207.7%149.2%26.8%31.6%
Huisheng International Holdings Ltd ($1340)-2.4%5.6%8.7%25.9%
Jiashili Group Ltd ($1285)14.9%15.1%12.3%19.8%
 
Median (41 companies)15.8%10.3%9.8%6.4%-2.3%
Global Sweeteners Holdings Ltd ($3889)5.7%-7.1%-30.5%-43.5%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Hung Fook Tong Group Holdings Ltd ($1446)57.0%60.7%60.0%58.7%60.7%
Honworld Group Ltd ($2226)42.2%57.2%59.0%57.8%56.4%
Yashili International Holdings Ltd ($1230)52.0%53.7%53.5%51.2%50.8%
Natural Dairy NZ Holdings Ltd ($462)16.3%-13.7%27.5%48.8%49.6%
China Shengmu Organic Milk Ltd ($1432)29.4%33.4%42.9%50.2%47.7%
 
Median (40 companies)19.7%17.2%20.2%21.7%23.8%
Global Sweeteners Holdings Ltd ($3889)12.7%7.8%3.3%-6.5%4.9%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Shenguan Holdings Group Ltd ($829)57.2%58.7%59.2%54.5%43.6%
Honworld Group Ltd ($2226)28.4%44.4%42.1%42.0%42.9%
China Shengmu Organic Milk Ltd ($1432)58.7%31.5%38.3%47.1%41.9%
China Huishan Dairy Holdings Co Ltd ($6863)109.2%45.1%47.9%47.1%37.2%
YuanShengTai Dairy Farm Ltd ($1431)147.8%40.3%48.4%47.1%35.4%
 
Median (40 companies)8.6%8.3%6.9%8.0%8.2%
Global Sweeteners Holdings Ltd ($3889)8.0%3.2%-1.7%-16.8%-4.5%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Huishan Dairy Holdings Co Ltd ($6863)453.6%98.2%29.8%132.0%109.8%
Imperial Pacific International Holdings Ltd ($1076)0.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%88.5%
China Modern Dairy Holdings Ltd ($1117)58.9%50.6%18.7%42.4%
Labixiaoxin Snacks Group Ltd ($1262)23.0%13.3%10.3%14.6%32.0%
YuanShengTai Dairy Farm Ltd ($1431)182.5%26.1%18.3%43.4%30.1%
 
Median (39 companies)3.7%5.9%5.7%5.2%5.3%
Global Sweeteners Holdings Ltd ($3889)4.9%2.1%1.9%1.3%1.0%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Jiashili Group Ltd ($1285)45.6%51.8%27.8%22.2%
Want Want China Holdings Ltd ($151)24.9%27.9%29.4%22.8%21.8%
China Shengmu Organic Milk Ltd ($1432)16.4%19.6%22.5%17.3%
Honworld Group Ltd ($2226)22.1%50.4%44.5%23.6%16.5%
WH Group Ltd ($288)20.3%3.6%15.0%13.3%
 
Median (42 companies)11.6%8.4%7.2%7.3%5.6%
Global Sweeteners Holdings Ltd ($3889)6.2%-0.1%-5.6%-22.0%-12.3%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Ausnutria Dairy Corp Ltd ($1717)-3.5x-1.4x0.8x1.7x27.9x
Beijing Jingkelong Co Ltd ($814)3.4x5.0x4.8x5.3x9.3x
First Pacific Co Ltd/Hong Kong ($142)1.3x1.8x3.8x4.5x5.6x
China Kangda Food Co Ltd ($834)2.1x2.8x2.5x2.3x5.4x
China Modern Dairy Holdings Ltd ($1117)1.3x3.7x5.2x4.1x5.3x
 
Median (32 companies)0.2x-0.4x0.8x0.8x1.2x