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Mingfa Group International Co Ltd Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 36.7x from 6.3x to 42.9x in 2015 while EBITDA dropped on 83.2%

01/04/2016 • About Mingfa Group International Co Ltd ($846) • By InTwits

Mingfa Group International Co Ltd reported FY2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Mingfa Group International Co Ltd is a company in decline: FY2015 revenue growth was -40.8%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -5.7%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 13.7% in FY2015, 48.3% in FY2014, 40.4% in FY2013, 74.4% in FY2012, 91.7% in FY2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 0.8%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 42.9x while industry average is 3.3x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Mingfa Group International Co Ltd ($846) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue2,9793,7416,2693,7932,246-40.8%
Gross Profit1,5201,1912,202986276-72.0%
SG&A36742650951959013.6%
EBITDA2,7332,7852,5301,832308-83.2%
Net Income1,5971,7651,39982926-96.9%
Balance Sheet
Cash1282229717321,915161.6%
Short Term Debt1,8655,6476,6108,2189,65917.5%
Long Term Debt4,5971,5412,0323,9845,48937.8%
Cash flow
Capex20210322893-100.0%
Ratios
Revenue growth-1.0%25.6%67.6%-39.5%-40.8%
EBITDA growth51.2%1.9%-9.1%-27.6%-83.2%
Gross Margin51.0%31.8%35.1%26.0%12.3%-13.7%
EBITDA Margin91.7%74.4%40.4%48.3%13.7%-34.6%
Net Income Margin53.6%47.2%22.3%21.9%1.2%-20.7%
SG&A, % of revenue12.3%11.4%8.1%13.7%26.3%12.6%
CAPEX, % of revenue6.8%2.7%3.6%2.5%-2.5%
ROIC18.7%15.0%11.3%7.0%0.8%-6.2%
ROE25.5%22.2%14.6%7.8%0.2%-7.5%
Net Debt/EBITDA2.3x2.5x3.0x6.3x42.9x36.7x

Revenue and profitability


Mingfa Group International Co Ltd's Revenue dropped on 40.8% in FY2015. Revenue decline was worsened by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin dropped on 34.6 pp from 48.3% to 13.7% in FY2015.

Gross Margin dropped on 13.7 pp from 26.0% to 12.3% in FY2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue surged on 12.6 pp from 13.7% to 26.3% in FY2015.

Net Income marign dropped on 20.7 pp from 21.9% to 1.2% in FY2015.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (0.79%) and ROE (0.24%). ROIC decreased on 6.2 pp from 7.0% to 0.79% in FY2015. ROE decreased on 7.5 pp from 7.8% to 0.24% in FY2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 42.9x Net Debt / EBITDA and 49.1x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 36.7x from 6.3x to 42.9x in FY2015. Debt surged on 24.1% in FY2015 while cash jumped on 162% in FY2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Real Estate


Below you can find Mingfa Group International Co Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Real Estate industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd ($124)24,971.2%
GR Properties Ltd ($108)21.6%-82.9%14.6%1,203.6%
Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd ($169)-51.4%-86.2%1,071.2%
Henderson Investment Ltd ($97)-78.9%737.1%
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)-70.5%-95.2%75.7%678.6%
 
Median (177 companies)34.7%15.8%13.5%5.4%4.5%
Mingfa Group International Co Ltd ($846)25.6%67.6%-39.5%-40.8%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Renhe Commercial Holdings Co Ltd ($1387)71.1%79.0%95.2%97.9%99.9%
Tern Properties Co Ltd ($277)96.9%96.7%98.4%98.4%98.7%
YT Realty Group Ltd ($75)91.5%94.4%96.6%96.7%97.6%
Wah Ha Realty Co Ltd ($278)88.7%96.3%96.0%93.2%95.9%
Soundwill Holdings Ltd ($878)35.6%53.1%74.5%46.9%95.7%
 
Median (158 companies)43.7%41.9%41.9%39.2%38.8%
Mingfa Group International Co Ltd ($846)51.0%31.8%35.1%26.0%12.3%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Chinese Estates Holdings Ltd ($127)340.9%356.2%91.6%195.5%397.4%
Zall Development Group Ltd ($2098)73.6%105.3%133.1%143.2%213.9%
SOHO China Ltd ($410)113.8%113.6%80.8%104.0%201.9%
Beijing Properties Holdings Ltd ($925)33.2%-606.3%2,162.6%224.3%186.5%
Swire Properties Ltd ($1972)283.7%154.5%114.6%73.2%100.3%
 
Median (177 companies)35.4%28.9%28.3%26.4%23.5%
Mingfa Group International Co Ltd ($846)91.7%74.4%40.4%48.3%13.7%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
LT Commercial Real Estate Ltd ($112)0.0%0.0%18.0%27,965.5%4,834.8%
China Oceanwide Holdings Ltd ($715)0.4%0.8%0.3%2.0%880.6%
Madex International Holdings Ltd ($231)586.8%174.5%519.7%205.3%350.6%
Pacific Century Premium Developments Ltd ($432)6.5%2.9%323.1%351.2%340.6%
Hon Kwok Land Investment Co Ltd ($160)90.6%20.6%157.3%144.5%296.3%
 
Median (178 companies)5.5%5.6%6.1%4.7%3.3%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Hydoo International Holding Ltd ($1396)88.4%44.3%62.0%12.9%16.6%
Gemdale Properties & Investment Corp Ltd ($535)8.9%15.3%19.6%10.8%15.9%
China Overseas Land & Investment Ltd ($688)18.0%18.4%15.1%18.5%15.4%
Colour Life Services Group Co Ltd ($1778)44.2%47.9%29.3%14.5%
Dalian Wanda Commercial Properties Co Ltd ($3699)26.8%19.6%12.3%14.4%
 
Median (179 companies)4.6%4.2%4.0%4.2%2.9%
Mingfa Group International Co Ltd ($846)18.7%15.0%11.3%7.0%0.8%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Shui On Land Ltd ($272)7.9x22.1x13.2x17.1x54.2x
Beijing Capital Land Ltd ($2868)2.9x7.1x4.6x11.7x49.1x
Talent Property Group Ltd ($760)43.0x
Sunshine 100 China Holdings Ltd ($2608)19.8x9.9x12.4x12.9x42.3x
Greenland Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ($337)3.7x6.2x49.3x38.4x
 
Median (135 companies)2.1x2.2x2.7x2.9x3.2x
Mingfa Group International Co Ltd ($846)2.3x2.5x3.0x6.3x42.9x