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China Nonferrous Metals Co Ltd CAPEX jumped on 196% in 2015 while Revenue dropped on 27.8%

01/04/2016 • About China Nonferrous Metals Co Ltd ($8306) • By InTwits

China Nonferrous Metals Co Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • China Nonferrous Metals Co Ltd is a company in decline: 2015 revenue growth was -27.8%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -28.6%
  • The company operates at negative EBITDA Margin: -573.7%
  • China Nonferrous Metals Co Ltd spends a lot for Stock Based Compensation (SBC): average SBC/Revenue for 2011-2015 is 0.0%. Average EBITDA Margin for the same period was -30.8%0
  • China Nonferrous Metals Co Ltd has medium CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 7.6%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 192.9%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 22.1 in 2015, 7.5 in 2014, 19.9 in 2013, 1.7 in 2012, 10.2 in 2011
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -48.4%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

China Nonferrous Metals Co Ltd ($8306) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue526.6339.7383.3126.191.0-27.8%
Gross Profit60.835.813.910.22.3-77.1%
SG&A51.046.948.841.742.62.2%
EBITDA53.824.11.0-8.1-522.06,374.3%
Net Income27.7-17.3-259.1-176.1-580.6229.7%
Balance Sheet
Cash10.076.4219.837.06.6-82.1%
Short Term Debt121.675.445.4486.5194.6-60.0%
Long Term Debt244.7258.7420.90.00.0
Cash flow
Capex10.21.719.97.522.1196.4%
Ratios
Revenue growth7.0%-35.5%12.8%-67.1%-27.8%
EBITDA growth-34.0%-55.2%-95.8%-904.7%6,374.3%
Gross Margin11.5%10.6%3.6%8.1%2.6%-5.5%
EBITDA Margin10.2%7.1%0.3%-6.4%-573.7%-567.3%
Net Income Margin5.3%-5.1%-67.6%-139.7%-638.1%-498.4%
SG&A, % of revenue9.7%13.8%12.7%33.1%46.9%13.8%
CAPEX, % of revenue1.9%0.5%5.2%5.9%24.3%18.4%
ROIC1.3%-0.5%-1.3%-2.0%-48.4%-46.4%
ROE2.6%-1.4%-21.6%-17.5%-91.8%-74.3%
Net Debt/EBITDA6.6x10.7x246.0x0.0x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 27.8% in 2015. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin dropped on 567 pp from -6.4% to -574% in 2015.

Gross Margin decreased on 5.5 pp from 8.1% to 2.6% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue surged on 13.8 pp from 33.1% to 46.9% in 2015.

Net Income marign dropped on 498 pp from -140% to -638% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


China Nonferrous Metals Co Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue was 24.3% in 2015. China Nonferrous Metals Co Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue jumped on 23.8 pp from 0.50% in 2012 to 24.3% in 2015. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 11.8%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-48.36%) and ROE (-91.79%). ROIC dropped on 46.4 pp from -2.0% to -48.4% in 2015. ROE dropped on 74.3 pp from -17.5% to -91.8% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 4.8x and Debt / EBITDA is . Net Debt / EBITDA didn't change in 2015. Debt dropped on 60.0% in 2015 while cash dropped on 82.1% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Chemicals


Below you can find China Nonferrous Metals Co Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Chemicals industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Bestway International Holdings Ltd ($718)-25.4%-62.1%330.3%238.4%
China First Chemical Holdings Ltd ($2121)6.2%-6.8%-18.0%72.5%
Strong Petrochemical Holdings Ltd ($852)40.8%87.9%-60.8%42.3%
Ko Yo Chemical Group Ltd ($827)-5.6%-0.6%2.3%40.8%
China Sanjiang Fine Chemicals Co Ltd ($2198)16.0%63.5%-7.7%36.6%
 
Median (31 companies)70.4%2.4%8.5%2.2%-1.2%
China Nonferrous Metals Co Ltd ($8306)-35.5%12.8%-67.1%-27.8%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Huabao International Holdings Ltd ($336)74.3%70.5%69.1%70.8%69.9%
China Flavors & Fragrances Co Ltd ($3318)41.3%46.8%48.6%47.8%48.9%
Bestway International Holdings Ltd ($718)5.4%5.1%4.6%8.6%40.4%
Bracell Ltd ($1768)40.1%30.5%37.3%37.3%38.4%
Shaanxi Northwest New Technology Industry Co Ltd ($8258)22.1%28.7%30.9%30.0%37.9%
 
Median (31 companies)20.3%20.8%18.7%18.4%18.8%
China Nonferrous Metals Co Ltd ($8306)11.5%10.6%3.6%8.1%2.6%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Huabao International Holdings Ltd ($336)66.4%63.8%59.1%60.0%58.3%
Bracell Ltd ($1768)30.1%22.3%30.8%38.2%35.9%
Yingde Gases Group Co Ltd ($2168)32.3%29.4%29.8%32.3%33.4%
Tiande Chemical Holdings Ltd ($609)21.7%25.5%27.3%25.1%27.8%
Century Sunshine Group Holdings Ltd ($509)15.5%24.2%28.1%27.6%26.1%
 
Median (31 companies)15.4%14.5%13.6%12.5%12.5%
China Nonferrous Metals Co Ltd ($8306)10.2%7.1%0.3%-6.4%-573.7%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Landing International Development Ltd ($582)27.9%7.2%29.6%419.5%247.4%
China Zenith Chemical Group Ltd ($362)36.8%147.3%55.7%67.4%152.2%
Smartac Group China Holdings Ltd ($395)22.5%14.0%4.7%49.3%52.4%
China Flavors & Fragrances Co Ltd ($3318)16.4%15.8%20.1%42.4%35.8%
Ko Yo Chemical Group Ltd ($827)31.3%45.2%43.2%20.7%27.5%
 
Median (31 companies)8.5%8.4%8.9%5.4%6.3%
China Nonferrous Metals Co Ltd ($8306)1.9%0.5%5.2%5.9%24.3%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Huabao International Holdings Ltd ($336)34.6%28.7%25.2%26.2%23.3%
Tiande Chemical Holdings Ltd ($609)24.4%26.2%29.4%20.7%20.6%
Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Ltd ($338)4.5%-6.9%8.1%-2.4%16.5%
Century Sunshine Group Holdings Ltd ($509)3.5%11.3%15.9%16.4%13.3%
Infinity Chemical Holdings Co Ltd ($640)9.2%11.1%10.2%8.8%12.7%
 
Median (31 companies)8.2%7.3%8.3%5.9%5.4%
China Nonferrous Metals Co Ltd ($8306)1.3%-0.5%-1.3%-2.0%-48.4%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Ko Yo Chemical Group Ltd ($827)7.4x8.8x22.0x141.5x
China Sanjiang Fine Chemicals Co Ltd ($2198)2.4x2.2x4.6x18.1x13.5x
Sinofert Holdings Ltd ($297)4.3x2.9x32.4x5.0x8.4x
Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd ($1047)4.8x11.7x5.3x5.4x5.3x
China XLX Fertiliser Ltd ($1866)2.4x2.6x5.1x5.8x5.1x
 
Median (27 companies)1.2x1.0x2.0x1.4x1.7x