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Zhongsheng Group Holdings Ltd EBITDA decreased on 8.4% in 2015 and EBITDA Margin decreased slightly on 0.83 pp from 5.5% to 4.7%

31/03/2016 • About Zhongsheng Group Holdings Ltd ($881) • By InTwits

Zhongsheng Group Holdings Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Zhongsheng Group Holdings Ltd has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 4.0%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 11.7%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 4,051 in 2015, 2,680 in 2014, 6,411 in 2013, 8,128 in 2012, 4,306 in 2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 5.8%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 5.3x while industry average is -0.2x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Zhongsheng Group Holdings Ltd ($881) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue41,90350,04852,52754,78759,1438.0%
Gross Profit4,3084,2844,7614,7754,669-2.2%
SG&A1,9422,7903,0603,3553,76312.2%
EBITDA3,0572,6353,0113,0052,752-8.4%
Net Income1,4177501,010751461-38.6%
Balance Sheet
Cash4,6754,2853,8504,2904,6759.0%
Short Term Debt10,02814,37416,76416,88114,785-12.4%
Long Term Debt1,2631,9475583,4324,47630.4%
Cash flow
Capex2,2611,8172,2492,1201,782-16.0%
Ratios
Revenue growth74.3%19.4%5.0%4.3%8.0%
EBITDA growth76.8%-13.8%14.3%-0.2%-8.4%
Gross Margin10.3%8.6%9.1%8.7%7.9%-0.8%
EBITDA Margin7.3%5.3%5.7%5.5%4.7%-0.8%
Net Income Margin3.4%1.5%1.9%1.4%0.8%-0.6%
SG&A, % of revenue4.6%5.6%5.8%6.1%6.4%0.2%
CAPEX, % of revenue5.4%3.6%4.3%3.9%3.0%-0.9%
ROIC16.4%9.1%8.8%7.4%5.8%-1.6%
ROE21.8%10.3%12.7%7.7%4.1%-3.6%
Net Debt/EBITDA2.2x4.6x4.5x5.3x5.3x-0.0x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue increased on 8.0% in 2015. Revenue growth was financed by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased slightly on 0.83 pp from 5.5% to 4.7% in 2015.

Gross Margin decreased slightly on 0.82 pp from 8.7% to 7.9% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in 2015.

Net Income marign decreased slightly on 0.59 pp from 1.4% to 0.78% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


Zhongsheng Group Holdings Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue was 3.0% in 2015. Zhongsheng Group Holdings Ltd showed small CAPEX/Revenue decline of 0.62 pp from 3.6% in 2012 to 3.0% in 2015. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 3.7%.Zhongsheng Group Holdings Ltd invested a large share of EBITDA (64.7%) to CAPEX.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (5.78%) and ROE (4.12%). ROIC decreased slightly on 1.6 pp from 7.4% to 5.8% in 2015. ROE decreased on 3.6 pp from 7.7% to 4.1% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 5.3x Net Debt / EBITDA and 7.0x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA decreased on 0.031x from 5.3x to 5.3x in 2015. Debt decreased on 5.2% in 2015 while cash increased on 9.0% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Retail


Below we provide Zhongsheng Group Holdings Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Retail industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Nuclear Industry 23 International Corp Ltd ($611)1.4%85.6%-42.1%419.8%
Noble House China Holdings Ltd ($8246)-5.0%-20.2%-24.8%117.2%
Vongroup Ltd ($318)-46.9%23.7%-80.2%90.3%
Nanjing Sinolife United Co Ltd ($3332)45.6%29.5%29.6%57.3%
Shanghai La Chapelle Fashion Co Ltd ($6116)54.9%72.8%23.0%48.3%
 
Median (115 companies)421.0%11.1%6.5%3.3%-1.0%
Zhongsheng Group Holdings Ltd ($881)19.4%5.0%4.3%8.0%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Vongroup Ltd ($318)95.1%99.1%
Modern Beauty Salon Holdings Ltd ($919)97.3%97.4%95.9%96.8%96.7%
Moiselle International Holdings Ltd ($130)81.4%81.2%83.8%80.6%83.2%
Embry Holdings Ltd ($1388)82.3%81.2%80.4%82.3%81.6%
Nanjing Sinolife United Co Ltd ($3332)80.6%86.5%89.3%90.9%80.6%
 
Median (102 companies)39.4%37.2%36.4%35.5%34.8%
Zhongsheng Group Holdings Ltd ($881)10.3%8.6%9.1%8.7%7.9%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Energy Development Holdings Ltd ($228)-44.2%-58.1%-72.3%-84.0%1,070.6%
Golden Eagle Retail Group Ltd ($3308)52.1%48.5%47.3%42.8%55.4%
Nanjing Sinolife United Co Ltd ($3332)47.8%51.6%56.9%54.4%44.8%
Lifestyle International Holdings Ltd ($1212)49.6%47.5%47.0%44.7%43.4%
China Dongxiang Group Co Ltd ($3818)5.6%6.0%5.6%58.3%41.4%
 
Median (115 companies)13.4%10.7%7.8%9.0%7.4%
Zhongsheng Group Holdings Ltd ($881)7.3%5.3%5.7%5.5%4.7%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Culture Landmark Investment Ltd ($674)4.6%11.6%19.4%15.7%47.2%
Springland International Holdings Ltd ($1700)20.7%31.9%17.4%26.5%36.9%
Merry Garden Holdings Ltd ($1237)22.7%18.6%28.6%15.1%34.2%
China Energy Development Holdings Ltd ($228)1.4%1.6%0.2%0.0%27.4%
Golden Eagle Retail Group Ltd ($3308)30.6%28.5%9.4%26.7%25.4%
 
Median (115 companies)3.9%4.3%3.6%3.7%3.5%
Zhongsheng Group Holdings Ltd ($881)5.4%3.6%4.3%3.9%3.0%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Modern Beauty Salon Holdings Ltd ($919)48.1%50.7%-4.6%81.3%71.8%
Starbucks Corp ($4337)36.4%36.4%-6.0%52.8%51.4%
Sa Sa International Holdings Ltd ($178)45.7%53.5%52.7%49.0%39.8%
Noble House China Holdings Ltd ($8246)60.3%17.7%-67.7%-113.8%35.6%
Fairwood Holdings Ltd ($52)27.4%28.0%29.1%28.6%32.1%
 
Median (115 companies)17.2%12.4%8.5%8.5%5.8%
Zhongsheng Group Holdings Ltd ($881)16.4%9.1%8.8%7.4%5.8%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Sparkle Roll Group Ltd ($970)-0.8x0.6x4.0x9.3x23.5x
Trinity Ltd ($891)-0.6x-0.2x0.2x0.6x18.2x
Parkson Retail Group Ltd ($3368)0.4x0.8x2.3x3.6x9.8x
Maoye International Holdings Ltd ($848)1.7x2.9x3.3x3.4x9.0x
Century Ginwa Retail Holdings Ltd ($162)6.5x2.0x2.5x4.8x7.3x
 
Median (90 companies)-0.8x-0.5x-0.8x-0.2x-0.5x
Zhongsheng Group Holdings Ltd ($881)2.2x4.6x4.5x5.3x5.3x