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Zall Development Group Ltd reports 1,065% CAPEX growth while 48.2% Revenue decline

31/03/2016 • About Zall Development Group Ltd ($2098) • By InTwits

Zall Development Group Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is expanding: 213.9% in 2015 vs. 143.2% in 2014 vs. 73.6% in 2011
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 213.9% in 2015, 143.2% in 2014, 133.1% in 2013, 105.3% in 2012, 73.6% in 2011
  • Zall Development Group Ltd has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 2.5%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 14.1%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 117 in 2015, 10.0 in 2014, 4.4 in 2013, 5.3 in 2012, 4.4 in 2011
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is at 12.2%
  • It operates with medium-size leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 2.8x while industry average is 3.0x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Zall Development Group Ltd ($2098) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue2,4541,4901,5811,9861,029-48.2%
Gross Profit1,7391,083665976271-72.2%
SG&A153225356322295-8.3%
EBITDA1,8051,5692,1042,8442,203-22.6%
Net Income1,1951,1511,5841,5732,03829.6%
Balance Sheet
Cash971998739251243-2.9%
Short Term Debt3745452,0141,6751,6820.4%
Long Term Debt1,0042,4273,6923,4254,71337.6%
Cash flow
Capex454101171,064.8%
Ratios
Revenue growth218.8%-39.3%6.1%25.6%-48.2%
EBITDA growth94.3%-13.1%34.1%35.2%-22.6%
Gross Margin70.9%72.7%42.0%49.1%26.3%-22.8%
EBITDA Margin73.6%105.3%133.1%143.2%213.9%70.7%
Net Income Margin48.7%77.2%100.2%79.2%197.9%118.7%
SG&A, % of revenue6.3%15.1%22.5%16.2%28.6%12.4%
CAPEX, % of revenue0.2%0.4%0.3%0.5%11.3%10.8%
ROIC39.0%19.2%17.6%18.7%12.2%-6.5%
ROE43.0%26.5%28.3%22.1%23.4%1.3%
Net Debt/EBITDA0.2x1.3x2.4x1.7x2.8x1.1x

Revenue and profitability


Zall Development Group Ltd's Revenue dropped on 48.2% in 2015. Revenue decline happened at the same time with EBITDA margin expansion. EBITDA Margin surged on 70.7 pp from 143% to 214% in 2015.

Gross Margin dropped on 22.8 pp from 49.1% to 26.3% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue jumped on 12.4 pp from 16.2% to 28.6% in 2015.

Net Income marign surged on 119 pp from 79.2% to 198% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 11.3%. CAPEX/Revenue jumped on 11.0 pp from 0.36% in 2012 to 11.3% in 2015. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 4.0%.

Return on investment


The company operates at high and attractive ROE (23.44%) while ROIC is a bit lower (12.18%). ROIC decreased on 6.5 pp from 18.7% to 12.2% in 2015. ROE increased slightly on 1.3 pp from 22.1% to 23.4% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 2.8x and Debt / EBITDA is 2.9x. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 1.1x from 1.7x to 2.8x in 2015. Debt surged on 25.4% in 2015 while cash decreased on 2.9% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Real Estate


Below you can find Zall Development Group Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Real Estate industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd ($124)24,971.2%
GR Properties Ltd ($108)21.6%-82.9%14.6%1,203.6%
Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd ($169)-51.4%-86.2%1,071.2%
Henderson Investment Ltd ($97)-78.9%737.1%
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)-70.5%-95.2%75.7%678.6%
 
Median (176 companies)32.1%16.1%14.0%5.2%4.7%
Zall Development Group Ltd ($2098)-39.3%6.1%25.6%-48.2%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Renhe Commercial Holdings Co Ltd ($1387)71.1%79.0%95.2%97.9%99.9%
Tern Properties Co Ltd ($277)96.9%96.7%98.4%98.4%98.7%
YT Realty Group Ltd ($75)91.5%94.4%96.6%96.7%97.6%
Wah Ha Realty Co Ltd ($278)88.7%96.3%96.0%93.2%95.9%
Soundwill Holdings Ltd ($878)35.6%53.1%74.5%46.9%95.7%
 
Median (157 companies)43.7%41.8%41.1%38.9%38.9%
Zall Development Group Ltd ($2098)70.9%72.7%42.0%49.1%26.3%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Chinese Estates Holdings Ltd ($127)340.9%356.2%91.6%195.5%397.4%
SOHO China Ltd ($410)113.8%113.6%80.8%104.0%201.9%
Beijing Properties Holdings Ltd ($925)33.2%-606.3%2,162.6%224.3%186.5%
Swire Properties Ltd ($1972)283.7%154.5%114.6%73.2%100.3%
Tern Properties Co Ltd ($277)82.9%103.0%112.8%78.4%86.9%
 
Median (176 companies)35.4%28.9%28.3%26.4%23.5%
Zall Development Group Ltd ($2098)73.6%105.3%133.1%143.2%213.9%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
LT Commercial Real Estate Ltd ($112)0.0%0.0%18.0%27,965.5%4,834.8%
China Oceanwide Holdings Ltd ($715)0.4%0.8%0.3%2.0%880.6%
Madex International Holdings Ltd ($231)586.8%174.5%519.7%205.3%350.6%
Pacific Century Premium Developments Ltd ($432)6.5%2.9%323.1%351.2%340.6%
Hon Kwok Land Investment Co Ltd ($160)90.6%20.6%157.3%144.5%296.3%
 
Median (177 companies)5.9%5.6%6.1%4.7%3.2%
Zall Development Group Ltd ($2098)0.2%0.4%0.3%0.5%11.3%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Hydoo International Holding Ltd ($1396)88.4%44.3%62.0%12.9%16.6%
Gemdale Properties & Investment Corp Ltd ($535)8.9%15.3%19.6%10.8%15.9%
China Overseas Land & Investment Ltd ($688)18.0%18.4%15.1%18.5%15.4%
Colour Life Services Group Co Ltd ($1778)44.2%47.9%29.3%14.5%
Dalian Wanda Commercial Properties Co Ltd ($3699)26.8%19.6%12.3%14.4%
 
Median (178 companies)4.6%4.2%4.0%4.2%2.8%
Zall Development Group Ltd ($2098)39.0%19.2%17.6%18.7%12.2%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Shui On Land Ltd ($272)7.9x22.1x13.2x17.1x54.2x
Beijing Capital Land Ltd ($2868)2.9x7.1x4.6x11.7x49.1x
Talent Property Group Ltd ($760)43.0x
Sunshine 100 China Holdings Ltd ($2608)19.8x9.9x12.4x12.9x42.3x
Greenland Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ($337)3.7x6.2x49.3x38.4x
 
Median (134 companies)2.3x2.3x2.7x3.0x3.2x
Zall Development Group Ltd ($2098)0.2x1.3x2.4x1.7x2.8x