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SRE Group Ltd reports 12,620% EBITDA decline while 22.4% Revenue growth

31/03/2016 • About SRE Group Ltd ($1207) • By InTwits

SRE Group Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • SRE Group Ltd doesn't have a profitable business model yet: 2015 ROIC is -7.6%
  • EBITDA Margin is declining: -114.1% in 2015 vs. 1.1% in 2014 vs. 22.1% in 2011
  • SRE Group Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 10.7%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 4.4%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 46.2 in 2015, 314 in 2014, 288 in 2013, 173 in 2012, 889 in 2011
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -7.6%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

SRE Group Ltd ($1207) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue5,8713,3433,3441,4401,76322.4%
Gross Profit1,408900956307-1,357-542.6%
SG&A300315345347709103.9%
EBITDA1,29673957416-2,011-12,620.3%
Net Income497367200-106-2,3642,131.6%
Balance Sheet
Cash1,3561,2531,3825721,708198.5%
Short Term Debt4,2804,9655,3317,2298,42216.5%
Long Term Debt10,7606,67810,23412,3652,497-79.8%
Cash flow
Capex88917328831446-85.3%
Ratios
Revenue growth-6.6%-43.1%0.0%-56.9%22.4%
EBITDA growth-35.4%-43.0%-22.3%-97.2%-12,620.3%
Gross Margin24.0%26.9%28.6%21.3%-77.0%-98.3%
EBITDA Margin22.1%22.1%17.2%1.1%-114.1%-115.2%
Net Income Margin8.5%11.0%6.0%-7.4%-134.2%-126.8%
SG&A, % of revenue5.1%9.4%10.3%24.1%40.2%16.1%
CAPEX, % of revenue15.1%5.2%8.6%21.8%2.6%-19.2%
ROIC3.7%2.1%2.0%-0.1%-7.6%-7.5%
ROE5.2%3.8%2.2%-1.2%-28.4%-27.2%
Net Debt/EBITDA10.6x14.1x24.7x1,184.6x-1,184.6x

Revenue and profitability


SRE Group Ltd's Revenue jumped on 22.4% in 2015. Revenue growth was financed by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin dropped on 115 pp from 1.1% to -114% in 2015.

Gross Margin dropped on 98.3 pp from 21.3% to -77.0% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue jumped on 16.1 pp from 24.1% to 40.2% in 2015.

Net Income marign dropped on 127 pp from -7.4% to -134% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 2.6%. CAPEX/Revenue decreased on 2.5 pp from 5.2% in 2012 to 2.6% in 2015. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 11.0%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-7.61%) and ROE (-28.35%). ROIC decreased on 7.5 pp from -0.11% to -7.6% in 2015. ROE dropped on 27.2 pp from -1.2% to -28.4% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is -5.7x and Debt / EBITDA is . Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 1,184.6x from 1,184.6x to in 2015. Debt dropped on 44.3% in 2015 while cash surged on 198% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Real Estate


Below you can find SRE Group Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Real Estate industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd ($124)24,971.2%
GR Properties Ltd ($108)21.6%-82.9%14.6%1,203.6%
Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd ($169)-51.4%-86.2%1,071.2%
Henderson Investment Ltd ($97)-78.9%737.1%
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)-70.5%-95.2%75.7%678.6%
 
Median (176 companies)32.1%16.1%14.0%5.4%4.3%
SRE Group Ltd ($1207)-43.1%0.0%-56.9%22.4%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Renhe Commercial Holdings Co Ltd ($1387)71.1%79.0%95.2%97.9%99.9%
Tern Properties Co Ltd ($277)96.9%96.7%98.4%98.4%98.7%
YT Realty Group Ltd ($75)91.5%94.4%96.6%96.7%97.6%
Wah Ha Realty Co Ltd ($278)88.7%96.3%96.0%93.2%95.9%
Soundwill Holdings Ltd ($878)35.6%53.1%74.5%46.9%95.7%
 
Median (157 companies)44.0%41.9%41.9%39.2%38.9%
SRE Group Ltd ($1207)24.0%26.9%28.6%21.3%-77.0%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Chinese Estates Holdings Ltd ($127)340.9%356.2%91.6%195.5%397.4%
Zall Development Group Ltd ($2098)73.6%105.3%133.1%143.2%213.9%
SOHO China Ltd ($410)113.8%113.6%80.8%104.0%201.9%
Beijing Properties Holdings Ltd ($925)33.2%-606.3%2,162.6%224.3%186.5%
Swire Properties Ltd ($1972)283.7%154.5%114.6%73.2%100.3%
 
Median (176 companies)35.5%29.3%28.4%27.3%23.8%
SRE Group Ltd ($1207)22.1%22.1%17.2%1.1%-114.1%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
LT Commercial Real Estate Ltd ($112)0.0%0.0%18.0%27,965.5%4,834.8%
China Oceanwide Holdings Ltd ($715)0.4%0.8%0.3%2.0%880.6%
Madex International Holdings Ltd ($231)586.8%174.5%519.7%205.3%350.6%
Pacific Century Premium Developments Ltd ($432)6.5%2.9%323.1%351.2%340.6%
Hon Kwok Land Investment Co Ltd ($160)90.6%20.6%157.3%144.5%296.3%
 
Median (177 companies)5.5%5.6%6.1%4.7%3.3%
SRE Group Ltd ($1207)15.1%5.2%8.6%21.8%2.6%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Hydoo International Holding Ltd ($1396)88.4%44.3%62.0%12.9%16.6%
Gemdale Properties & Investment Corp Ltd ($535)8.9%15.3%19.6%10.8%15.9%
China Overseas Land & Investment Ltd ($688)18.0%18.4%15.1%18.5%15.4%
Colour Life Services Group Co Ltd ($1778)44.2%47.9%29.3%14.5%
Dalian Wanda Commercial Properties Co Ltd ($3699)26.8%19.6%12.3%14.4%
 
Median (178 companies)4.6%4.2%4.2%4.3%2.9%
SRE Group Ltd ($1207)3.7%2.1%2.0%-0.1%-7.6%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Shui On Land Ltd ($272)7.9x22.1x13.2x17.1x54.2x
Beijing Capital Land Ltd ($2868)2.9x7.1x4.6x11.7x49.1x
Talent Property Group Ltd ($760)43.0x
Sunshine 100 China Holdings Ltd ($2608)19.8x9.9x12.4x12.9x42.3x
Greenland Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ($337)3.7x6.2x49.3x38.4x
 
Median (135 companies)2.1x2.2x2.7x2.9x3.2x