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Melco International Development Ltd revenue surged on 135% in 2015 and EBITDA Margin surged on 105 pp from -144% to -39.8%

31/03/2016 • About Melco International Development Ltd ($200) • By InTwits

Melco International Development Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Melco International Development Ltd doesn't have a profitable business model yet: 2015 ROIC is -1.4%
  • The company operates at negative EBITDA Margin: -39.8%
  • Melco International Development Ltd motivates its personel by high Stock Based Compensation (SBC): average SBC/Revenue for 2011-2015 was 0.0%. On average EBITDA Margin was -105.9% for the sames years0
  • Melco International Development Ltd has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 3.7%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 9.7%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 19.6 in 2015, 8.4 in 2014, 1.7 in 2013, 8.7 in 2012, 1.1 in 2011
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -1.4%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Melco International Development Ltd ($200) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue115.2134.1163.2168.2395.1134.9%
Gross Profit82.984.686.491.7313.7242.0%
EBITDA-318.5-179.6-134.6-242.8-157.4-35.2%
Net Income280.11,121.91,596.71,487.2100.9-93.2%
Balance Sheet
Cash97.1155.9205.5549.6467.3-15.0%
Short Term Debt228.034.028.0395.05.0-98.7%
Long Term Debt1,004.8455.21,189.3794.31,335.368.1%
Cash flow
Capex1.18.71.78.419.6133.5%
Ratios
Revenue growth8.9%16.5%21.7%3.0%134.9%
EBITDA growth1,184.5%-43.6%-25.0%80.3%-35.2%
Gross Margin72.0%63.1%52.9%54.5%79.4%24.9%
EBITDA Margin-276.6%-133.9%-82.5%-144.4%-39.8%104.6%
Net Income Margin243.2%836.6%978.2%884.4%25.5%-858.8%
CAPEX, % of revenue1.0%6.5%1.0%5.0%5.0%-0.0%
ROIC-3.9%-2.0%-1.2%-1.9%-1.4%0.5%
ROE4.0%13.6%15.2%12.4%0.8%-11.6%

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue jumped on 135% in 2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 2.5 pp from 2.4% to 5.0% in 2015.

Gross Margin surged on 24.9 pp from 54.5% to 79.4% in 2015.

Net Income marign dropped on 859 pp from 884% to 25.5% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 5.0% in 2015. Melco International Development Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue decreased slightly on 1.5 pp from 6.5% in 2012 to 5.0% in 2015. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 3.7%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-1.39%) and low but positive ROE (0.82%). ROIC showed almost no change in 2015. ROE dropped on 11.6 pp from 12.4% to 0.82% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is -1.8x and Debt / EBITDA is . Net Debt / EBITDA didn't change in 2015. Debt jumped on 12.7% in 2015 while cash dropped on 15.0% in 2015.

Management team


Ho Yau Lung "Lawrence" is a Melco International Development Ltd's CEO. Ho Yau Lung "Lawrence" has spent 12 years at the company.

Appendix 1: Peers in Holding Companies-Divers


Below you can find Melco International Development Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Holding Companies-Divers industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Beijing Development HK Ltd ($154)12.5%1,048.9%
CIAM Group Ltd ($378)-62.2%47.9%-40.0%211.5%
New Century Group Hong Kong Ltd ($234)-68.9%326.7%-70.3%118.2%
Greater China Holdings Ltd ($431)-35.8%-72.1%67.3%110.3%
Heng Fai Enterprises Ltd ($185)8.2%-30.5%-42.6%86.7%
 
Median (41 companies)-3.5%11.4%3.3%15.7%6.1%
Melco International Development Ltd ($200)16.5%21.7%3.0%134.9%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
New Century Group Hong Kong Ltd ($234)76.7%27.3%85.2%82.8%91.5%
CIAM Group Ltd ($378)75.8%
Emperor International Holdings Ltd ($163)74.5%71.3%64.9%79.2%75.3%
Heng Fai Enterprises Ltd ($185)89.3%89.0%89.5%58.3%74.7%
Century Legend Holdings Ltd ($79)68.5%70.1%72.3%71.0%70.3%
 
Median (37 companies)27.9%32.9%34.6%30.8%30.8%
Melco International Development Ltd ($200)72.0%63.1%52.9%54.5%79.4%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
New Century Group Hong Kong Ltd ($234)82.5%-5.5%78.8%58.3%85.0%
Emperor International Holdings Ltd ($163)224.8%180.7%131.8%100.6%73.9%
Pioneer Global Group Ltd ($224)111.2%-0.5%-9.9%-11.6%64.3%
C C Land Holdings Ltd ($1224)22.0%27.0%23.6%24.6%55.7%
China Merchants Holdings International Co Ltd ($144)63.7%56.4%50.8%45.2%55.7%
 
Median (41 companies)6.3%2.8%2.8%7.4%6.2%
Melco International Development Ltd ($200)-276.6%-133.9%-82.5%-144.4%-39.8%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Heng Fai Enterprises Ltd ($185)217.5%4.8%77.1%310.0%458.1%
Chinney Investments Ltd ($216)37.6%17.5%103.4%111.3%230.9%
China Investments Holdings Ltd ($132)20.7%4.8%81.9%382.2%222.5%
Goldin Properties Holdings Ltd ($283)2,178.4%1,190.0%50.1%202.4%
Emperor International Holdings Ltd ($163)93.5%100.9%48.5%105.9%110.6%
 
Median (41 companies)4.9%2.2%3.8%7.0%9.2%
Melco International Development Ltd ($200)1.0%6.5%1.0%5.0%5.0%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
C C Land Holdings Ltd ($1224)4.5%7.4%5.3%7.9%15.0%
Chinney Alliance Group Ltd ($385)3.4%6.4%8.1%13.6%15.0%
Top Spring International Holdings Ltd ($3688)27.9%15.6%6.9%7.3%8.0%
New Century Group Hong Kong Ltd ($234)8.6%-1.7%11.7%1.7%7.3%
Chuang's China Investments Ltd ($298)-0.9%22.9%1.5%2.2%6.1%
 
Median (41 companies)0.6%0.1%0.2%0.8%0.2%
Melco International Development Ltd ($200)-3.9%-2.0%-1.2%-1.9%-1.4%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Chinney Investments Ltd ($216)111.3x10.3x63.7x48.6x93.7x
Multifield International Holdings Ltd ($898)12.0x3.2x7.3x3.0x55.9x
CIAM Group Ltd ($378)-48.0x32.6x
Chuang's Consortium International Ltd ($367)2.2x0.7x5.0x23.9x
Pioneer Global Group Ltd ($224)7.9x10.9x
 
Median (23 companies)3.0x2.5x3.1x3.0x2.8x