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Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd EBITDA dropped on 34.8% in 2015 and Revenue decreased on 3.9%

31/03/2016 • About Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd ($118) • By InTwits

Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd doesn't have a profitable business model yet: 2015 ROIC is -1.1%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 2.5% in 2015, 3.7% in 2014, 0.1% in 2013, 3.8% in 2012, 4.9% in 2011
  • Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 4.1%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 5.8%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 35.7 in 2015, 113 in 2014, 60.4 in 2013, 70.1 in 2012, 215 in 2011
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -1.1%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd ($118) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue2,4172,1222,4652,4932,395-3.9%
Gross Profit401364348434379-12.6%
SG&A363380437442439-0.6%
EBITDA1198139260-34.8%
Net Income27-24108-33-5048.9%
Balance Sheet
Cash2272094513533540.3%
Short Term Debt3563724514875359.9%
Long Term Debt251556353-15.9%
Cash flow
Capex215706011336-68.4%
Ratios
Revenue growth-0.4%-12.2%16.2%1.1%-3.9%
EBITDA growth-26.5%-31.7%-96.1%2,802.0%-34.8%
Gross Margin16.6%17.1%14.1%17.4%15.8%-1.6%
EBITDA Margin4.9%3.8%0.1%3.7%2.5%-1.2%
Net Income Margin1.1%-1.1%4.4%-1.3%-2.1%-0.7%
SG&A, % of revenue15.0%17.9%17.7%17.7%18.3%0.6%
CAPEX, % of revenue8.9%3.3%2.5%4.5%1.5%-3.0%
ROIC2.6%0.2%-3.8%0.3%-1.1%-1.4%
ROE2.0%-1.7%7.6%-2.3%-3.6%-1.3%
Net Debt/EBITDA1.3x2.2x1.7x2.1x3.9x1.8x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue decreased on 3.9% in 2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 0.59 pp from 13.1% to 13.7% in 2015.

Gross Margin decreased slightly on 1.6 pp from 17.4% to 15.8% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 0.62 pp from 17.7% to 18.3% in 2015.

Net Income marign decreased slightly on 0.73 pp from -1.3% to -2.1% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd had CAPEX/Revenue of 1.5%. CAPEX/Revenue decreased slightly on 1.8 pp from 3.3% in 2012 to 1.5% in 2015. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 2.8%.Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd invested a big chunk of EBITDA (59.2%) to CAPEX which didn't stop revenue from falling.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-1.10%) and ROE (-3.57%). ROIC decreased slightly on 1.4 pp from 0.33% to -1.1% in 2015. ROE decreased slightly on 1.3 pp from -2.3% to -3.6% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 3.9x and Debt / EBITDA is 9.8x. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 1.8x from 2.1x to 3.9x in 2015. Debt increased on 6.9% in 2015 while cash showed almost no change in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Machinery-Diversified


Below you can find Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Machinery-Diversified industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Shanghai Prime Machinery Co Ltd ($2345)2.6%-8.9%37.3%52.8%
North Asia Strategic Holdings Ltd ($8080)-52.2%-29.1%23.7%42.6%
Huazhang Technology Holding Ltd ($1673)131.6%9.5%22.9%23.5%
Sinoref Holdings Ltd ($1020)-0.2%-42.2%29.2%19.9%
LK Technology Holdings Ltd ($558)15.7%-15.0%3.7%18.5%
 
Median (21 companies)13.1%-3.6%-4.2%-1.5%-5.6%
Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd ($118)-12.2%16.2%1.1%-3.9%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Jingwei Textile Machinery ($350)38.3%49.1%51.7%54.9%65.5%
Renheng Enterprise Holdings Ltd ($3628)36.4%44.3%44.8%45.4%48.9%
Haitian International Holdings Ltd ($1882)29.7%30.1%31.6%32.4%33.0%
CHTC Fong's Industries Co Ltd ($641)26.5%24.4%30.0%32.3%31.2%
Good Friend International Holdings Inc ($2398)23.3%20.1%22.9%26.5%27.1%
 
Median (21 companies)24.2%24.4%22.6%20.0%21.0%
Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd ($118)16.6%17.1%14.1%17.4%15.8%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Jingwei Textile Machinery ($350)18.5%24.0%26.9%28.0%28.5%
Haitian International Holdings Ltd ($1882)20.5%19.7%20.7%21.9%22.8%
Renheng Enterprise Holdings Ltd ($3628)22.9%24.7%23.9%20.7%17.3%
Huazhang Technology Holding Ltd ($1673)3.1%11.6%11.2%12.5%11.3%
Good Friend International Holdings Inc ($2398)11.7%6.7%9.1%12.9%9.9%
 
Median (21 companies)9.7%10.9%8.7%8.7%5.7%
Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd ($118)4.9%3.8%0.1%3.7%2.5%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Wuxi Sunlit Science and Technology Co Ltd ($1289)1.3%2.3%10.1%7.8%31.9%
Honghua Group Ltd ($196)9.9%11.5%14.6%6.8%27.3%
Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Co Ltd ($568)14.9%20.5%20.3%11.6%15.6%
Shenji Group Kunming Machine Tool Co Ltd ($300)9.2%9.5%6.7%5.0%8.3%
Haitian International Holdings Ltd ($1882)2.1%4.2%6.8%6.3%6.3%
 
Median (21 companies)5.3%4.2%4.3%4.2%2.4%
Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd ($118)8.9%3.3%2.5%4.5%1.5%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Haitian International Holdings Ltd ($1882)26.8%19.8%21.2%19.4%16.3%
Huazhang Technology Holding Ltd ($1673)29.6%16.2%16.3%16.2%
Jingwei Textile Machinery ($350)23.3%19.4%20.9%17.4%14.9%
Good Friend International Holdings Inc ($2398)20.0%6.5%8.7%12.1%5.9%
Shanghai Prime Machinery Co Ltd ($2345)5.4%2.5%2.8%2.5%5.8%
 
Median (21 companies)9.9%7.9%4.3%3.0%1.9%
Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd ($118)2.6%0.2%-3.8%0.3%-1.1%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Co Ltd ($568)1.9x3.0x11.4x5.6x129.4x
Honghua Group Ltd ($196)0.1x1.2x3.2x5.2x14.2x
First Tractor Co Ltd ($38)1.1x0.5x2.5x9.2x6.3x
LK Technology Holdings Ltd ($558)0.9x2.5x5.1x4.9x4.6x
CHTC Fong's Industries Co Ltd ($641)3.4x2.2x2.5x3.5x
 
Median (16 companies)-0.5x-1.1x-1.0x-0.6x1.4x
Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd ($118)1.3x2.2x1.7x2.1x3.9x