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China Harmony Auto Holding Ltd reports 39.0% CAPEX decline while 4.2% Revenue growth

31/03/2016 • About China Harmony Auto Holding Ltd ($3836) • By InTwits

China Harmony Auto Holding Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • China Harmony Auto Holding Ltd has medium CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 9.0%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 5.9%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 627 in 2015, 1,028 in 2014, 664 in 2013, 877 in 2012, 175 in 2011
  • The company has business model with low profitability: ROIC is at 10.0%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

China Harmony Auto Holding Ltd ($3836) key annual financial indicators

mln. 201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue3,0325,6578,33310,19610,6204.2%
Gross Profit4176639971,0891,1223.0%
SG&A12127154464072713.6%
EBITDA319473720901899-0.2%
Net Income2203514045445633.5%
Balance Sheet
Cash1793437848312,666221.0%
Short Term Debt8521,7662,6212,8982,238-22.8%
Long Term Debt02904810221-79.1%
Cash flow
Capex1758776641,028627-39.0%
Ratios
Revenue growth68.3%86.6%47.3%22.4%4.2%
EBITDA growth92.0%48.3%52.1%25.2%-0.2%
Gross Margin13.8%11.7%12.0%10.7%10.6%-0.1%
EBITDA Margin10.5%8.4%8.6%8.8%8.5%-0.4%
Net Income Margin7.3%6.2%4.8%5.3%5.3%-0.0%
SG&A, % of revenue4.0%4.8%6.5%6.3%6.8%0.6%
CAPEX, % of revenue5.8%15.5%8.0%10.1%5.9%-4.2%
ROIC23.1%18.3%15.8%13.8%10.0%-3.8%
ROE37.0%48.7%28.8%22.0%13.1%-8.9%
Net Debt/EBITDA2.1x3.6x2.6x2.4x-0.5x-2.9x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue increased on 4.2% in 2015. EBITDA Margin showed almost no change in 2015.

Gross Margin showed almost no change in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 0.57 pp from 6.3% to 6.8% in 2015.

Net Income marign showed almost no change in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 China Harmony Auto Holding Ltd had CAPEX/Revenue of 5.9%. China Harmony Auto Holding Ltd showed decline in CAPEX/Revenue of 9.6 pp from 15.5% in 2012 to 5.9% in 2015. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 8.0%.China Harmony Auto Holding Ltd maintained rich investment policy and has spent a big chunk of EBITDA (69.7%) to CAPEX.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROE (13.15%) while ROIC is low (9.99%). ROIC decreased on 3.8 pp from 13.8% to 10.0% in 2015. ROE decreased on 8.9 pp from 22.0% to 13.1% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is -0.5x Net Debt / EBITDA and 2.5x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 2.9x from 2.4x to -0.5x in 2015. Debt dropped on 24.7% in 2015 while cash jumped on 221% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Retail


Below you can find China Harmony Auto Holding Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Retail industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Nuclear Industry 23 International Corp Ltd ($611)1.4%85.6%-42.1%419.8%
Noble House China Holdings Ltd ($8246)-5.0%-20.2%-24.8%117.2%
Vongroup Ltd ($318)-46.9%23.7%-80.2%90.3%
Nanjing Sinolife United Co Ltd ($3332)45.6%29.5%29.6%57.3%
Shanghai La Chapelle Fashion Co Ltd ($6116)54.9%72.8%23.0%48.3%
 
Median (115 companies)421.0%11.1%6.5%3.3%-1.0%
China Harmony Auto Holding Ltd ($3836)86.6%47.3%22.4%4.2%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Vongroup Ltd ($318)95.1%99.1%
Modern Beauty Salon Holdings Ltd ($919)97.3%97.4%95.9%96.8%96.7%
Moiselle International Holdings Ltd ($130)81.4%81.2%83.8%80.6%83.2%
Embry Holdings Ltd ($1388)82.3%81.2%80.4%82.3%81.6%
Nanjing Sinolife United Co Ltd ($3332)80.6%86.5%89.3%90.9%80.6%
 
Median (102 companies)39.4%37.2%36.4%35.5%34.8%
China Harmony Auto Holding Ltd ($3836)13.8%11.7%12.0%10.7%10.6%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Energy Development Holdings Ltd ($228)-44.2%-58.1%-72.3%-84.0%1,070.6%
Golden Eagle Retail Group Ltd ($3308)52.1%48.5%47.3%42.8%55.4%
Nanjing Sinolife United Co Ltd ($3332)47.8%51.6%56.9%54.4%44.8%
Lifestyle International Holdings Ltd ($1212)49.6%47.5%47.0%44.7%43.4%
China Dongxiang Group Co Ltd ($3818)5.6%6.0%5.6%58.3%41.4%
 
Median (115 companies)13.4%10.7%7.3%9.0%7.1%
China Harmony Auto Holding Ltd ($3836)10.5%8.4%8.6%8.8%8.5%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Culture Landmark Investment Ltd ($674)4.6%11.6%19.4%15.7%47.2%
Springland International Holdings Ltd ($1700)20.7%31.9%17.4%26.5%36.9%
Merry Garden Holdings Ltd ($1237)22.7%18.6%28.6%15.1%34.2%
China Energy Development Holdings Ltd ($228)1.4%1.6%0.2%0.0%27.4%
Golden Eagle Retail Group Ltd ($3308)30.6%28.5%9.4%26.7%25.4%
 
Median (115 companies)3.9%4.1%3.6%3.7%3.1%
China Harmony Auto Holding Ltd ($3836)5.8%15.5%8.0%10.1%5.9%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Modern Beauty Salon Holdings Ltd ($919)48.1%50.7%-4.6%81.3%71.8%
Starbucks Corp ($4337)36.4%36.4%-6.0%52.8%51.4%
Sa Sa International Holdings Ltd ($178)45.7%53.5%52.7%49.0%39.8%
Noble House China Holdings Ltd ($8246)60.3%17.7%-67.7%-113.8%35.6%
Fairwood Holdings Ltd ($52)27.4%28.0%29.1%28.6%32.1%
 
Median (115 companies)16.6%12.3%8.5%8.4%5.8%
China Harmony Auto Holding Ltd ($3836)23.1%18.3%15.8%13.8%10.0%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Sparkle Roll Group Ltd ($970)-0.8x0.6x4.0x9.3x23.5x
Trinity Ltd ($891)-0.6x-0.2x0.2x0.6x18.2x
Parkson Retail Group Ltd ($3368)0.4x0.8x2.3x3.6x9.8x
Maoye International Holdings Ltd ($848)1.7x2.9x3.3x3.4x9.0x
Century Ginwa Retail Holdings Ltd ($162)6.5x2.0x2.5x4.8x7.3x
 
Median (90 companies)-0.8x-0.5x-0.8x-0.2x-0.5x
China Harmony Auto Holding Ltd ($3836)2.1x3.6x2.6x2.4x-0.5x