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China E-Learning Group Ltd revenue decreased on 3.7% in 2015 and EBITDA Margin dropped on 35.5 pp from -22.0% to -57.5%

31/03/2016 • About China E-Learning Group Ltd ($8055) • By InTwits

China E-Learning Group Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • China E-Learning Group Ltd doesn't have a profitable business model yet: 2015 ROIC is -11.2%
  • The company operates at negative EBITDA Margin: -57.5%
  • China E-Learning Group Ltd motivates its personel by high Stock Based Compensation (SBC): average SBC/Revenue for 2011-2015 was 0.0%. On average EBITDA Margin was -24.5% for the sames years0
  • China E-Learning Group Ltd has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 3.9%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 4.2%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 0.093 in 2015, 7.2 in 2014, 1.3 in 2013, 0.012 in 2012, 0.53 in 2011
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -11.2%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

China E-Learning Group Ltd ($8055) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue40.14041.78347.06647.47445.701-3.7%
Gross Profit24.07828.58921.96819.79417.613-11.0%
SG&A40.01933.246
EBITDA-8.1241.799-11.337-10.427-26.280152.0%
Net Income-39.007-30.397-96.449-56.872-41.875-26.4%
Balance Sheet
Cash19.45922.30915.101187.41264.061-65.8%
Short Term Debt66.81794.59088.4359.3820.000-100.0%
Long Term Debt26.10568.02491.5690.0000.000
Cash flow
Capex0.5340.0121.2877.2400.093-98.7%
Ratios
Revenue growth4.1%4.1%12.6%0.9%-3.7%
EBITDA growth54.2%-122.1%-730.2%-8.0%152.0%
Gross Margin60.0%68.4%46.7%41.7%38.5%-3.2%
EBITDA Margin-20.2%4.3%-24.1%-22.0%-57.5%-35.5%
Net Income Margin-97.2%-72.7%-204.9%-119.8%-91.6%28.2%
SG&A, % of revenue99.7%79.6%0.0%
CAPEX, % of revenue1.3%0.0%2.7%15.3%0.2%-15.0%
ROIC-12.4%-0.4%-11.5%-5.7%-11.2%-5.4%
ROE-17.5%-17.5%
Net Debt/EBITDA78.0x0.0x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue decreased on 3.7% in 2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin surged on 28.4 pp from -16.7% to 11.7% in FY2015.

Gross Margin decreased on 3.2 pp from 41.7% to 38.5% in 2015.

Net Income marign jumped on 28.2 pp from -120% to -91.6% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


China E-Learning Group Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue was 0.20% in 2015. China E-Learning Group Ltd showed almost no change in CAPEX/Revenue from 2012 to 2015. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 6.1%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-11.17%) and ROE (-17.53%). ROIC decreased on 5.4 pp from -5.7% to -11.2% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


The company paid down all the debt in 2015. Cash dropped on 65.8% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Internet


Below we provide China E-Learning Group Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Internet industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Asian Capital Resources Holdings Ltd ($8025)-5.6%1,114.6%
China Public Procurement Ltd ($1094)5,077.0%-67.5%1,258.9%105.7%
Ourgame International Holdings Ltd ($6899)33.7%14.8%101.3%61.8%
Media Asia Group Holdings Ltd ($8075)1,124.6%275.6%3.6%55.9%
Tai Shing International Holdings Ltd ($8103)61.3%-35.9%-4.9%48.5%
 
Median (20 companies)29.9%13.2%8.3%14.8%9.8%
China E-Learning Group Ltd ($8055)4.1%12.6%0.9%-3.7%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Sino-I Technology Ltd ($250)74.2%75.3%82.7%78.8%82.8%
ABC Multiactive Ltd ($8131)73.0%86.7%83.5%86.2%82.1%
China Digital Culture Group Ltd ($8175)62.1%64.3%78.6%65.2%72.7%
Prosten Technology Holdings Ltd ($8026)76.3%52.4%47.8%50.8%67.1%
SUNeVision Holdings Ltd ($8008)51.4%53.5%60.5%64.7%65.6%
 
Median (17 companies)65.2%65.0%68.4%61.8%59.5%
China E-Learning Group Ltd ($8055)60.0%68.4%46.7%41.7%38.5%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
SUNeVision Holdings Ltd ($8008)61.1%64.2%71.6%71.6%72.4%
China Digital Culture Group Ltd ($8175)-12.1%-66.7%22.5%40.8%46.6%
Tencent Holdings Ltd ($700)48.2%38.4%34.7%42.5%43.5%
Tradelink Electronic Commerce Ltd ($536)42.1%38.6%33.8%33.1%31.1%
GET Holdings Ltd ($8380)-182.0%-237.7%56.8%66.4%28.5%
 
Median (20 companies)13.8%7.1%22.5%15.6%11.1%
China E-Learning Group Ltd ($8055)-20.2%4.3%-24.1%-22.0%-57.5%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Asian Capital Resources Holdings Ltd ($8025)0.0%0.0%12.2%14.0%
SUNeVision Holdings Ltd ($8008)14.2%7.6%10.2%62.8%12.4%
Tencent Holdings Ltd ($700)14.2%9.0%8.1%5.5%8.2%
Ourgame International Holdings Ltd ($6899)4.5%1.8%3.1%1.7%6.4%
Sino-I Technology Ltd ($250)20.6%9.3%12.7%4.0%6.0%
 
Median (20 companies)10.8%3.4%2.9%2.0%1.3%
China E-Learning Group Ltd ($8055)1.3%0.0%2.7%15.3%0.2%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Tencent Holdings Ltd ($700)33.4%29.5%26.7%29.1%24.3%
Pacific Online Ltd ($543)41.7%37.9%36.4%28.6%21.6%
Tradelink Electronic Commerce Ltd ($536)19.5%22.4%18.2%17.4%16.7%
SUNeVision Holdings Ltd ($8008)9.9%10.8%13.3%14.4%15.3%
Ourgame International Holdings Ltd ($6899)42.8%33.3%17.5%12.7%
 
Median (21 companies)-0.8%-4.4%4.0%0.1%2.1%
China E-Learning Group Ltd ($8055)-12.4%-0.4%-11.5%-5.7%-11.2%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Tai Shing International Holdings Ltd ($8103)82.7x
Sino-I Technology Ltd ($250)9.4x4.1x
GET Holdings Ltd ($8380)-1.1x-1.0x0.7x
Tencent Holdings Ltd ($700)-0.1x-0.2x-0.2x-0.2x0.5x
SUNeVision Holdings Ltd ($8008)-2.7x-2.2x-2.0x-1.5x-1.2x
 
Median (14 companies)-1.7x-1.6x-1.1x-1.5x-1.9x