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China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 22.3x from 9.2x to 31.5x in 2015 while EBITDA dropped on 71.3%

31/03/2016 • About China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd ($661) • By InTwits

China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd doesn't have a profitable business model yet: 2015 ROIC is -2.2%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 0.7% in 2015, 2.3% in 2014, 2.1% in 2013, 2.9% in 2012, 3.0% in 2011
  • China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 3.5%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 3.2%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 1,161 in FY2015, 1,939 in FY2014, 1,111 in FY2013, 839 in FY2012, 533 in FY2011
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -2.2%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 31.5x while industry average is 2.4x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd ($661) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue27,14528,87843,59842,80839,362-8.1%
Gross Profit92186389679854-93.3%
SG&A519449420423395-6.5%
EBITDA814827933992285-71.3%
Net Income149157-1,949-96-976921.8%
Balance Sheet
Cash6911,0311,4331,4011,294-7.7%
Short Term Debt3,7055,1355,9025,1464,249-17.4%
Long Term Debt1,6973,5044,5495,3396,02012.8%
Cash flow
Capex1,1901,6291,2421,127702-37.7%
Ratios
Revenue growth3,164.9%6.4%51.0%-1.8%-8.1%
EBITDA growth-3,514.6%1.6%12.7%6.4%-71.3%
Gross Margin3.4%3.0%2.1%1.9%0.1%-1.7%
EBITDA Margin3.0%2.9%2.1%2.3%0.7%-1.6%
Net Income Margin0.5%0.5%-4.5%-0.2%-2.5%-2.3%
SG&A, % of revenue1.9%1.6%1.0%1.0%1.0%0.0%
CAPEX, % of revenue4.4%5.6%2.8%2.6%1.8%-0.8%
ROIC6.8%3.8%3.1%3.3%-2.2%-5.5%
ROE6.6%3.5%-43.0%-2.7%-31.6%-29.0%
Net Debt/EBITDA5.8x9.2x9.7x9.2x31.5x22.3x

Revenue and profitability


China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd's Revenue decreased on 8.1% in 2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 0.88 pp from 4.0% to 4.9% in 2015.

Gross Margin decreased slightly on 1.7 pp from 1.9% to 0.14% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in 2015.

Net Income marign decreased on 2.3 pp from -0.22% to -2.5% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd had CAPEX/Revenue of 1.8%. The company showed decline in CAPEX/Revenue of 3.9 pp from 5.6% in 2012 to 1.8% in 2015. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 2.4%.Battling declining revenue China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd made large investments to CAPEX (246% of EBITDA) but that didn't help at least in this year.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-2.20%) and ROE (-31.65%). ROIC decreased on 5.5 pp from 3.3% to -2.2% in 2015. ROE dropped on 29.0 pp from -2.7% to -31.6% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 31.5x Net Debt / EBITDA and 36.0x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 22.3x from 9.2x to 31.5x in 2015. Debt decreased on 2.1% in 2015 while cash decreased on 7.7% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Mining


Below we provide China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Mining industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Mongolia Energy Corp Ltd ($276)89.7%-95.8%2,361.6%
Real Gold Mining Ltd ($246)-44.0%-68.0%-26.2%106.2%
REX Global Entertainment Holdings Ltd ($164)-12.3%81.6%-15.5%96.4%
Hengxing Gold Holding Co Ltd ($2303)3,467.3%78.0%
Zijin Mining Group Co Ltd ($2899)21.6%2.5%18.1%26.9%
 
Median (48 companies)54.5%5.0%0.6%-5.9%-13.6%
China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd ($661)6.4%51.0%-1.8%-8.1%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Sino Prosper Group Holdings Ltd ($766)-6.5%2.5%5.1%39.6%93.0%
REX Global Entertainment Holdings Ltd ($164)15.4%-15.8%-7.8%-0.8%88.6%
China Billion Resources Ltd ($274)20.3%71.4%47.2%73.4%79.7%
Sun International Resources Ltd ($8029)77.6%83.2%73.1%64.8%69.4%
Timeless Software Ltd ($8028)19.2%17.7%48.5%29.4%42.1%
 
Median (49 companies)19.2%14.4%13.8%15.4%14.3%
China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd ($661)3.4%3.0%2.1%1.9%0.1%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
G-Resources Group Ltd ($1051)54.5%53.4%58.3%
China Precious Metal Resources Holdings Co Ltd ($1194)73.1%70.0%64.6%59.6%51.3%
Timeless Software Ltd ($8028)-70.8%-113.1%24.7%-13.7%46.1%
Hengxing Gold Holding Co Ltd ($2303)-766.2%24.5%43.9%
Sino Prosper Group Holdings Ltd ($766)-127.2%-138.6%-138.2%-378.4%42.9%
 
Median (49 companies)6.3%4.9%7.9%5.2%5.1%
China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd ($661)3.0%2.9%2.1%2.3%0.7%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Mongolia Energy Corp Ltd ($276)8,006.5%1,061.7%30,555.4%1,973.0%
Kaz Minerals ($847)19.8%36.6%136.5%168.8%168.7%
Chinalco Mining Corp International ($3668)115.6%
China Dynamics Holdings Ltd ($476)1.6%1.8%0.0%1.0%113.8%
MMG Ltd ($1208)17.1%25.7%22.6%41.9%100.4%
 
Median (49 companies)15.6%17.2%16.8%15.8%11.9%
China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd ($661)4.4%5.6%2.8%2.6%1.8%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
CGN Mining Co Ltd ($1164)-6.4%2.6%3.3%7.9%16.7%
United Co RUSAL PLC ($486)7.5%0.3%-9.0%6.3%12.3%
Xingfa Aluminium Holdings Ltd ($98)3.8%7.6%8.8%11.7%11.8%
Timeless Software Ltd ($8028)-18.0%-29.1%7.3%-4.6%11.6%
China Hongqiao Group Ltd ($1378)44.6%24.8%17.0%14.1%10.6%
 
Median (50 companies)2.8%0.9%2.7%0.0%-0.6%
China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd ($661)6.8%3.8%3.1%3.3%-2.2%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Chinalco Mining Corp International ($3668)25.0x
MMG Ltd ($1208)-0.0x2.1x2.0x10.2x20.2x
Kaz Minerals ($847)0.6x2.4x2.9x5.5x18.7x
Aluminum Corp of China Ltd ($2600)7.7x139.2x8.5x18.0x
China Precious Metal Resources Holdings Co Ltd ($1194)1.5x1.5x4.1x6.4x13.5x
 
Median (30 companies)1.1x1.7x1.8x3.8x3.3x
China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd ($661)5.8x9.2x9.7x9.2x31.5x