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Xinjiang Xinxin Mining Industry Co Ltd reports 211% EBITDA decline and 20.8% Revenue decline

30/03/2016 • About Xinjiang Xinxin Mining Industry Co Ltd ($3833) • By InTwits

Xinjiang Xinxin Mining Industry Co Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Xinjiang Xinxin Mining Industry Co Ltd doesn't have a profitable business model yet: 2015 ROIC is -7.4%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: -17.0% in 2015, 12.1% in 2014, 11.1% in 2013, 8.5% in 2012, 23.3% in 2011
  • Xinjiang Xinxin Mining Industry Co Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 60.6%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 67.4%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 329 in 2015, 581 in 2014, 1,019 in 2013, 1,005 in 2012, 1,239 in 2011
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -7.4%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 5.2x while industry average is 3.4x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Xinjiang Xinxin Mining Industry Co Ltd ($3833) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue1,4481,5188393,3792,678-20.8%
Gross Profit388199143397-214-153.8%
SG&A15320125125.0%
EBITDA33713093410-456-211.1%
Net Income19122-5978-741-1,052.9%
Balance Sheet
Cash569483651737506-31.3%
Short Term Debt3058752,2832,8062,8240.6%
Long Term Debt5696902,0502,1352,36910.9%
Cash flow
Capex1,2391,0051,019581329-43.4%
Ratios
Revenue growth24.0%4.8%-44.7%303.0%-20.8%
EBITDA growth-14.4%-61.5%-27.9%339.4%-211.1%
Gross Margin26.8%13.1%17.1%11.8%-8.0%-19.7%
EBITDA Margin23.3%8.5%11.1%12.1%-17.0%-29.1%
Net Income Margin13.2%1.4%-7.0%2.3%-27.7%-30.0%
SG&A, % of revenue18.2%5.9%9.4%3.4%
CAPEX, % of revenue85.6%66.2%121.5%17.2%12.3%-4.9%
ROIC3.7%0.2%-0.6%1.9%-7.4%-9.3%
ROE3.5%0.4%-1.1%1.5%-15.0%-16.5%
Net Debt/EBITDA0.9x8.4x39.4x10.3x-10.3x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 20.8% in 2015. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin dropped on 29.1 pp from 12.1% to -17.0% in 2015.

Gross Margin dropped on 19.7 pp from 11.8% to -8.0% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased on 3.4 pp from 5.9% to 9.4% in 2015.

Net Income marign dropped on 30.0 pp from 2.3% to -27.7% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


Xinjiang Xinxin Mining Industry Co Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue was 12.3% in 2015. CAPEX/Revenue dropped on 54.0 pp from 66.2% in 2012 to 12.3% in 2015. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 50.3%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-7.41%) and ROE (-14.98%). ROIC decreased on 9.3 pp from 1.9% to -7.4% in 2015. ROE dropped on 16.5 pp from 1.5% to -15.0% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 5.2x Net Debt / EBITDA and Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 10.3x from 10.3x to in 2015. Debt increased on 5.1% in 2015 while cash dropped on 31.3% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Mining


Below you can find Xinjiang Xinxin Mining Industry Co Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Mining industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Mongolia Energy Corp Ltd ($276)89.7%-95.8%2,361.6%
REX Global Entertainment Holdings Ltd ($164)-12.3%81.6%-15.5%96.4%
Hengxing Gold Holding Co Ltd ($2303)3,467.3%78.0%
Zijin Mining Group Co Ltd ($2899)21.6%2.5%18.1%26.9%
China Gold International Resources Corp Ltd ($2099)-9.0%-8.2%22.4%
 
Median (40 companies)68.5%5.4%2.4%-5.9%-13.0%
Xinjiang Xinxin Mining Industry Co Ltd ($3833)4.8%-44.7%303.0%-20.8%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Sino Prosper Group Holdings Ltd ($766)-6.5%2.5%5.1%39.6%93.0%
REX Global Entertainment Holdings Ltd ($164)15.4%-15.8%-7.8%-0.8%88.6%
China Billion Resources Ltd ($274)20.3%71.4%47.2%73.4%79.7%
Sun International Resources Ltd ($8029)77.6%83.2%73.1%64.8%69.4%
Timeless Software Ltd ($8028)19.2%17.7%48.5%29.4%42.1%
 
Median (41 companies)19.1%14.4%13.8%15.5%26.9%
Xinjiang Xinxin Mining Industry Co Ltd ($3833)26.8%13.1%17.1%11.8%-8.0%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
G-Resources Group Ltd ($1051)54.5%53.4%58.3%
China Precious Metal Resources Holdings Co Ltd ($1194)73.1%70.0%64.6%59.6%51.3%
Timeless Software Ltd ($8028)-70.8%-113.1%24.7%-13.7%46.1%
Hengxing Gold Holding Co Ltd ($2303)-766.2%24.5%43.9%
Sino Prosper Group Holdings Ltd ($766)-127.2%-138.6%-138.2%-378.4%42.9%
 
Median (41 companies)5.9%4.7%7.5%4.7%6.4%
Xinjiang Xinxin Mining Industry Co Ltd ($3833)23.3%8.5%11.1%12.1%-17.0%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Mongolia Energy Corp Ltd ($276)8,006.5%1,061.7%30,555.4%1,973.0%
Kaz Minerals ($847)19.8%36.6%136.5%168.8%168.7%
Chinalco Mining Corp International ($3668)115.6%
China Dynamics Holdings Ltd ($476)1.6%1.8%0.0%1.0%113.8%
MMG Ltd ($1208)17.1%25.7%22.6%41.9%100.4%
 
Median (41 companies)14.3%17.0%15.7%13.4%11.9%
Xinjiang Xinxin Mining Industry Co Ltd ($3833)85.6%66.2%121.5%17.2%12.3%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
CGN Mining Co Ltd ($1164)-6.4%2.6%3.3%7.9%16.7%
United Co RUSAL PLC ($486)7.5%0.3%-9.0%6.3%12.3%
Timeless Software Ltd ($8028)-18.0%-29.1%7.3%-4.6%11.6%
China Hongqiao Group Ltd ($1378)44.6%24.8%17.0%14.1%10.6%
Hengxing Gold Holding Co Ltd ($2303)-7.2%-8.1%0.0%8.6%
 
Median (42 companies)2.9%1.9%3.0%0.0%1.5%
Xinjiang Xinxin Mining Industry Co Ltd ($3833)3.7%0.2%-0.6%1.9%-7.4%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Chinalco Mining Corp International ($3668)25.0x
MMG Ltd ($1208)-0.0x2.1x2.0x10.2x20.2x
Kaz Minerals ($847)0.6x2.4x2.9x5.5x18.7x
Aluminum Corp of China Ltd ($2600)7.7x139.2x8.5x18.0x
China Precious Metal Resources Holdings Co Ltd ($1194)1.5x1.5x4.1x6.4x13.5x
 
Median (28 companies)1.4x1.5x1.9x4.4x3.8x