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Wuzhou International Holdings Ltd Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 32.6x from 4.3x to 36.8x in 2015 and Debt jumped on 38.3%

30/03/2016 • About Wuzhou International Holdings Ltd ($1369) • By InTwits

Wuzhou International Holdings Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Wuzhou International Holdings Ltd doesn't have a profitable business model yet: 2015 ROIC is 1.3%
  • EBITDA Margin is declining: 5.3% in 2015 vs. 23.1% in 2014 vs. 44.0% in 2011
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 5.3% in 2015, 23.1% in 2014, 47.0% in 2013, 57.8% in 2012, 44.0% in 2011
  • Wuzhou International Holdings Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 12.1%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 3.5%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 492 in 2015, 261 in 2014, 345 in 2013, 466 in 2012, 155 in 2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 1.3%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 36.8x while industry average is 11.3x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Wuzhou International Holdings Ltd ($1369) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue1,5162,2534,0504,3083,333-22.6%
Gross Profit7391,2011,7691,499715-52.3%
SG&A311504787941858-8.8%
EBITDA6681,3021,904995177-82.2%
Net Income3137001,020253-482-290.5%
Balance Sheet
Cash5167559411,1791,006-14.7%
Short Term Debt3717721,0821,7873,36788.4%
Long Term Debt8521,6272,7123,6444,14213.7%
Cash flow
Capex15546634526149288.7%
Ratios
Revenue growth73.1%48.7%79.7%6.4%-22.6%
EBITDA growth116.4%95.1%46.2%-47.8%-82.2%
Gross Margin48.8%53.3%43.7%34.8%21.5%-13.3%
EBITDA Margin44.0%57.8%47.0%23.1%5.3%-17.8%
Net Income Margin20.7%31.1%25.2%5.9%-14.5%-20.3%
SG&A, % of revenue20.5%22.4%19.4%21.9%25.8%3.9%
CAPEX, % of revenue10.3%20.7%8.5%6.1%14.8%8.7%
ROIC31.7%34.5%28.1%10.0%1.3%-8.7%
ROE44.3%65.3%42.3%7.1%-13.3%-20.4%
Net Debt/EBITDA1.1x1.3x1.5x4.3x36.8x32.6x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 22.6% in 2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 3.7 pp from -38.7% to -34.9% in 2015.

Gross Margin dropped on 13.3 pp from 34.8% to 21.5% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased on 3.9 pp from 21.9% to 25.8% in 2015.

Net Income marign dropped on 20.3 pp from 5.9% to -14.5% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


Wuzhou International Holdings Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue was 14.8% in 2015. CAPEX/Revenue decreased on 5.9 pp from 20.7% in 2012 to 14.8% in 2015. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 9.8%.The company has spent a lot to CAPEX (279% of EBITDA) which didn't stop revenue from falling.

Return on investment


The company operates at low but positive ROIC (1.30%) and negative ROE (-13.33%). ROIC decreased on 8.7 pp from 10.0% to 1.3% in 2015. ROE dropped on 20.4 pp from 7.1% to -13.3% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 36.8x and Debt / EBITDA is 42.5x. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 32.6x from 4.3x to 36.8x in 2015. Debt jumped on 38.3% in 2015 while cash dropped on 14.7% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Real Estate


Below you can find Wuzhou International Holdings Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Real Estate industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd ($124)24,971.2%
Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd ($169)-51.4%-86.2%1,071.2%
Henderson Investment Ltd ($97)-78.9%737.1%
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)-70.5%-95.2%75.7%678.6%
LT Commercial Real Estate Ltd ($112)30.5%-53.9%-83.4%662.4%
 
Median (167 companies)34.7%15.8%13.5%5.2%4.2%
Wuzhou International Holdings Ltd ($1369)48.7%79.7%6.4%-22.6%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Renhe Commercial Holdings Co Ltd ($1387)71.1%79.0%95.2%97.9%99.9%
Tern Properties Co Ltd ($277)96.9%96.7%98.4%98.4%98.7%
YT Realty Group Ltd ($75)91.5%94.4%96.6%96.7%97.6%
Wah Ha Realty Co Ltd ($278)88.7%96.3%96.0%93.2%95.9%
Soundwill Holdings Ltd ($878)35.6%53.1%74.5%46.9%95.7%
 
Median (148 companies)43.7%41.8%41.1%39.2%41.3%
Wuzhou International Holdings Ltd ($1369)48.8%53.3%43.7%34.8%21.5%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Chinese Estates Holdings Ltd ($127)340.9%356.2%91.6%195.5%397.4%
SOHO China Ltd ($410)113.8%113.6%80.8%104.0%201.9%
Beijing Properties Holdings Ltd ($925)33.2%-606.3%2,162.6%224.3%186.5%
Swire Properties Ltd ($1972)283.7%154.5%114.6%73.2%100.3%
Tern Properties Co Ltd ($277)82.9%103.0%112.8%78.4%86.9%
 
Median (167 companies)35.4%28.9%28.3%27.3%24.6%
Wuzhou International Holdings Ltd ($1369)44.0%57.8%47.0%23.1%5.3%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
LT Commercial Real Estate Ltd ($112)0.0%0.0%18.0%27,965.5%4,834.8%
China Oceanwide Holdings Ltd ($715)0.4%0.8%0.3%2.0%880.6%
Madex International Holdings Ltd ($231)586.8%174.5%519.7%205.3%350.6%
Pacific Century Premium Developments Ltd ($432)6.5%2.9%323.1%351.2%340.6%
Hon Kwok Land Investment Co Ltd ($160)90.6%20.6%157.3%144.5%296.3%
 
Median (168 companies)5.5%5.4%6.1%4.7%3.8%
Wuzhou International Holdings Ltd ($1369)10.3%20.7%8.5%6.1%14.8%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Hydoo International Holding Ltd ($1396)88.4%44.3%62.0%12.9%16.6%
Gemdale Properties & Investment Corp Ltd ($535)8.9%15.3%19.6%10.8%15.9%
China Overseas Land & Investment Ltd ($688)18.0%18.4%15.1%18.5%15.4%
Colour Life Services Group Co Ltd ($1778)44.2%47.9%29.3%14.5%
Dalian Wanda Commercial Properties Co Ltd ($3699)26.8%19.6%12.3%14.4%
 
Median (169 companies)4.6%4.2%4.0%4.2%2.9%
Wuzhou International Holdings Ltd ($1369)31.7%34.5%28.1%10.0%1.3%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Shui On Land Ltd ($272)7.9x22.1x13.2x17.1x54.2x
Beijing Capital Land Ltd ($2868)2.9x7.1x4.6x11.7x49.1x
Sunshine 100 China Holdings Ltd ($2608)19.8x9.9x12.4x12.9x42.3x
Greenland Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ($337)3.7x6.2x49.3x38.4x
LVGEM China Real Estate Invest ($95)21.5x24.4x2.9x16.7x
 
Median (128 companies)2.3x2.3x2.7x2.9x3.2x
Wuzhou International Holdings Ltd ($1369)1.1x1.3x1.5x4.3x36.8x