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Weichai Power Co Ltd reports 72.2% Net Income decline and 7.4% Revenue decline

30/03/2016 • About Weichai Power Co Ltd ($2338) • By InTwits

Weichai Power Co Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Weichai Power Co Ltd has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 4.6%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 6.0%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 4,345 in 2015, 3,310 in 2014, 1,468 in 2013, 2,219 in 2012, 3,421 in 2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 3.9%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 0.6x while industry average is -0.7x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Weichai Power Co Ltd ($2338) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue59,79747,97858,03979,37173,536-7.4%
Gross Profit12,9919,20311,75116,75216,7760.1%
SG&A5,1664,8906,09110,18411,82316.1%
EBITDA8,4995,0106,6938,7238,311-4.7%
Net Income5,5972,9913,5715,0021,391-72.2%
Balance Sheet
Cash13,31714,09916,59724,43421,014-14.0%
Short Term Debt8,2078,3398,28519,26810,899-43.4%
Long Term Debt3,0409,03612,64014,83415,4804.4%
Cash flow
Capex3,4212,2191,4683,3104,34531.3%
Ratios
Revenue growth-4.6%-19.8%21.0%36.8%-7.4%
EBITDA growth-21.4%-41.1%33.6%30.3%-4.7%
Gross Margin21.7%19.2%20.2%21.1%22.8%1.7%
EBITDA Margin14.2%10.4%11.5%11.0%11.3%0.3%
Net Income Margin9.4%6.2%6.2%6.3%1.9%-4.4%
SG&A, % of revenue8.6%10.2%10.5%12.8%16.1%3.2%
CAPEX, % of revenue5.7%4.6%2.5%4.2%5.9%1.7%
ROIC20.1%7.6%8.9%7.1%3.9%-3.2%
ROE27.0%12.5%13.6%16.6%4.3%-12.3%
Net Debt/EBITDA-0.2x0.7x0.6x1.1x0.6x-0.5x

Revenue and profitability


Weichai Power Co Ltd's Revenue decreased on 7.4% in 2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 3.3 pp from 1.4% to 4.7% in FY2015.

Gross Margin increased slightly on 1.7 pp from 21.1% to 22.8% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased on 3.2 pp from 12.8% to 16.1% in 2015.

Net Income marign decreased on 4.4 pp from 6.3% to 1.9% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


Weichai Power Co Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue was 5.9% in 2015. The company showed small growth in CAPEX/Revenue of 1.3 pp from 4.6% in 2012 to 5.9% in 2015. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 4.2%.Battling declining revenue Weichai Power Co Ltd invested a large share of EBITDA (52.3%) to CAPEX but that didn't help at least in this year.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (3.93%) and ROE (4.34%). ROIC decreased on 3.2 pp from 7.1% to 3.9% in 2015. ROE dropped on 12.3 pp from 16.6% to 4.3% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 0.6x and Debt / EBITDA is 3.2x. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 0.5x from 1.1x to 0.6x in 2015. Debt dropped on 22.6% in 2015 while cash dropped on 14.0% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Auto Parts&Equipment


Below we provide Weichai Power Co Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Auto Parts&Equipment industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Vehicle Components Technology Holdings Ltd ($1269)-10.4%27.1%31.0%30.9%
Nexteer Automotive Group Ltd ($1316)-3.6%10.1%24.8%12.8%
Minth Group Ltd ($425)11.3%27.3%21.3%14.5%
Zhejiang Shibao Co Ltd ($1057)-12.2%23.1%20.2%3.2%
Huazhong In-Vehicle Holdings Co Ltd ($6830)16.1%-1.1%27.3%14.4%
 
Median (16 companies)1.5%-5.6%10.7%2.6%5.0%
Weichai Power Co Ltd ($2338)-19.8%21.0%36.8%-7.4%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Fuyao Glass Industry Group Co Ltd ($3606)36.2%37.4%41.0%41.5%41.5%
Minth Group Ltd ($425)35.0%33.1%33.0%31.2%31.7%
ZMFY Automobile Glass Services Ltd ($8135)33.2%35.8%27.4%18.5%
Zhejiang Shibao Co Ltd ($1057)34.9%30.3%26.0%26.4%25.5%
Shuanghua Holdings Ltd ($1241)21.4%17.1%16.8%26.0%
 
Median (16 companies)26.0%20.8%20.3%22.3%20.3%
Weichai Power Co Ltd ($2338)21.7%19.2%20.2%21.1%22.8%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Fuyao Glass Industry Group Co Ltd ($3606)26.9%28.5%28.7%29.2%27.7%
Minth Group Ltd ($425)25.9%25.6%24.2%23.1%24.5%
Xinyi Glass Holdings Ltd ($868)23.5%22.5%43.8%20.0%25.0%
Xiezhong International Holdings Ltd ($3663)22.9%20.7%17.2%16.0%
Xinchen China Power Holdings Ltd ($1148)16.5%15.5%14.0%15.7%12.7%
 
Median (16 companies)16.0%9.3%11.8%12.4%12.7%
Weichai Power Co Ltd ($2338)14.2%10.4%11.5%11.0%11.3%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Xinchen China Power Holdings Ltd ($1148)2.5%1.2%0.8%21.9%8.3%
Fuyao Glass Industry Group Co Ltd ($3606)11.5%14.6%16.5%21.1%23.9%
Minth Group Ltd ($425)12.3%14.8%16.1%18.7%15.4%
Xinyi Glass Holdings Ltd ($868)37.3%17.0%28.9%15.8%16.7%
Xiezhong International Holdings Ltd ($3663)15.4%22.9%24.9%12.0%
 
Median (16 companies)11.9%10.2%8.5%6.1%7.4%
Weichai Power Co Ltd ($2338)5.7%4.6%2.5%4.2%5.9%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Fuyao Glass Industry Group Co Ltd ($3606)19.1%19.0%21.1%22.3%15.7%
Nexteer Automotive Group Ltd ($1316)14.0%18.2%17.7%21.2%
Xinchen China Power Holdings Ltd ($1148)31.7%22.4%14.7%12.5%8.6%
Huazhong In-Vehicle Holdings Co Ltd ($6830)13.4%2.4%9.2%12.5%
Minth Group Ltd ($425)13.1%11.9%12.1%11.8%13.4%
 
Median (17 companies)13.1%6.3%8.5%5.8%3.3%
Weichai Power Co Ltd ($2338)20.1%7.6%8.9%7.1%3.9%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Vehicle Components Technology Holdings Ltd ($1269)2.4x9.4x5.8x5.3x2.0x
New Focus Auto Tech Holdings Ltd ($360)1.3x4.5x
Xinyi Glass Holdings Ltd ($868)2.0x1.9x0.9x2.4x1.7x
Huazhong In-Vehicle Holdings Co Ltd ($6830)2.2x7.9x2.8x2.2x
Xiezhong International Holdings Ltd ($3663)0.7x0.6x1.2x1.2x
 
Median (13 companies)1.3x0.9x1.1x1.0x-0.3x
Weichai Power Co Ltd ($2338)-0.2x0.7x0.6x1.1x0.6x