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Tiangong International Co Ltd reports 84.3% Net Income decline and 24.4% Revenue decline

30/03/2016 • About Tiangong International Co Ltd ($826) • By InTwits

Tiangong International Co Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Tiangong International Co Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 13.5%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 4.5%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 414 in 2015, 359 in 2014, 704 in 2013, 1,626 in 2012, 1,528 in 2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 2.9%
  • It operates with medium-size leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 6.9x while industry average is 6.9x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Tiangong International Co Ltd ($826) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue3,1123,1183,3974,5363,429-24.4%
Gross Profit707729814909391-56.9%
SG&A145152194183-5.7%
EBITDA699783877873399-54.3%
Net Income36544547046373-84.3%
Balance Sheet
Cash1031508818132378.4%
Short Term Debt1,5161,8862,3592,3432,58110.2%
Long Term Debt427202367633486-23.2%
Cash flow
Capex348459451699444-36.5%
Ratios
Revenue growth32.5%0.2%8.9%33.5%-24.4%
EBITDA growth59.8%12.1%11.9%-0.4%-54.3%
Gross Margin22.7%23.4%24.0%20.0%11.4%-8.6%
EBITDA Margin22.5%25.1%25.8%19.3%11.6%-7.6%
Net Income Margin11.7%14.3%13.8%10.2%2.1%-8.1%
SG&A, % of revenue4.7%4.5%4.3%5.3%1.1%
CAPEX, % of revenue11.2%14.7%13.3%15.4%12.9%-2.5%
ROIC14.8%14.5%13.4%10.7%2.9%-7.7%
ROE18.6%18.1%15.8%13.0%1.9%-11.2%
Net Debt/EBITDA2.6x2.5x3.0x3.2x6.9x3.7x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 24.4% in 2015. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased on 7.6 pp from 19.3% to 11.6% in 2015.

Gross Margin decreased on 8.6 pp from 20.0% to 11.4% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 1.1 pp from 4.3% to 5.3% in 2015.

Net Income marign decreased on 8.1 pp from 10.2% to 2.1% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 12.9% in 2015. CAPEX/Revenue decreased slightly on 1.8 pp from 14.7% in 2012 to 12.9% in 2015. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 13.9%.Battling declining revenue the company made large investments to CAPEX (111% of EBITDA) but that didn't help at least in this year.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (2.94%) and ROE (1.86%). ROIC decreased on 7.7 pp from 10.7% to 2.9% in 2015. ROE dropped on 11.2 pp from 13.0% to 1.9% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 6.9x and Debt / EBITDA is 7.7x. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 3.7x from 3.2x to 6.9x in 2015. Debt increased on 3.1% in 2015 while cash jumped on 78.4% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Iron/Steel


Below you can find Tiangong International Co Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Iron/Steel industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
CAA Resources Ltd ($2112)99.6%103.2%38.0%261.2%
Newton Resources Ltd ($1231)-41.6%170.9%
Fosun International Ltd ($656)-8.9%-1.4%21.0%27.6%
Wanguo International Mining Group Ltd ($3939)-1.0%-11.0%-16.2%0.7%
Da Ming International Holdings Ltd ($1090)-2.1%29.3%29.8%-8.1%
 
Median (16 companies)41.1%-9.7%-1.1%-6.0%-13.5%
Tiangong International Co Ltd ($826)0.2%8.9%33.5%-24.4%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Newton Resources Ltd ($1231)63.3%-223.7%15.7%37.5%
Wanguo International Mining Group Ltd ($3939)51.1%47.4%50.7%39.6%29.2%
China Metal International Holdings Inc ($319)21.0%20.9%24.3%24.8%25.5%
China Hanking Holdings Ltd ($3788)66.1%53.6%54.4%35.1%23.8%
Fosun International Ltd ($656)18.6%18.0%20.3%23.7%22.4%
 
Median (16 companies)18.6%14.8%12.7%11.3%16.3%
Tiangong International Co Ltd ($826)22.7%23.4%24.0%20.0%11.4%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Wanguo International Mining Group Ltd ($3939)46.5%39.7%36.2%31.3%26.7%
Fosun International Ltd ($656)15.8%16.7%23.0%20.9%22.2%
China Metal International Holdings Inc ($319)17.8%19.7%21.3%21.0%22.0%
Xingda International Holdings Ltd ($1899)21.6%17.3%22.2%19.1%13.6%
China Hanking Holdings Ltd ($3788)63.1%40.4%40.9%30.6%8.7%
 
Median (16 companies)7.6%12.6%11.7%7.1%0.6%
Tiangong International Co Ltd ($826)22.5%25.1%25.8%19.3%11.6%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Newton Resources Ltd ($1231)690.4%926.9%1,395.7%197.0%
Vale SA ($6210)25.8%34.0%28.1%29.8%34.5%
China Hanking Holdings Ltd ($3788)24.5%38.0%35.7%20.2%30.5%
Pan Asia Mining Ltd ($8173)0.4%1.5%0.4%2.4%24.4%
China Vanadium Titano - Magnetite Mining Co Ltd ($893)14.2%8.9%10.5%20.4%24.1%
 
Median (16 companies)7.3%8.3%10.5%6.4%8.0%
Tiangong International Co Ltd ($826)11.2%14.7%13.3%15.4%12.9%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Metal International Holdings Inc ($319)11.5%11.0%12.0%12.7%11.4%
Wanguo International Mining Group Ltd ($3939)74.9%38.4%24.4%15.0%11.1%
Golik Holdings Ltd ($1118)9.0%7.0%7.4%10.0%10.8%
CAA Resources Ltd ($2112)33.0%69.2%33.5%2.2%6.9%
Fosun International Ltd ($656)6.7%6.1%7.9%6.8%6.9%
 
Median (16 companies)10.5%6.2%7.5%3.1%-4.7%
Tiangong International Co Ltd ($826)14.8%14.5%13.4%10.7%2.9%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Fosun International Ltd ($656)4.6x4.4x4.8x5.5x4.4x
Maanshan Iron & Steel Co Ltd ($323)5.0x55.2x7.3x5.3x
China Hanking Holdings Ltd ($3788)0.3x0.4x2.5x4.7x27.3x
China Oriental Group Co Ltd ($581)2.4x4.6x5.3x4.5x
Angang Steel Co Ltd ($347)6.6x21.4x4.0x4.3x29.1x
 
Median (13 companies)1.3x2.1x2.5x2.9x0.8x
Tiangong International Co Ltd ($826)2.6x2.5x3.0x3.2x6.9x