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Sino Golf Holdings Ltd reports 224% EBITDA decline and 22.7 pp EBITDA Margin decline from 7.8% to -14.9%

30/03/2016 • About Sino Golf Holdings Ltd ($361) • By InTwits

Sino Golf Holdings Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Sino Golf Holdings Ltd is a company in decline: 2015 revenue growth was -34.7%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -9.4%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: -14.9% in 2015, 7.8% in 2014, 10.4% in 2013, 4.3% in 2012, 5.7% in 2011
  • Sino Golf Holdings Ltd has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 2.5%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 5.9%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 3.8 in 2015, 13.0 in 2014, 12.3 in 2013, 8.3 in 2012, 5.0 in 2011
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -19.4%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is -3.1x while industry average is -30.9x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Sino Golf Holdings Ltd ($361) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue278.6272.1434.1401.0261.8-34.7%
Gross Profit43.831.975.672.421.7-70.1%
SG&A52.543.851.958.262.87.9%
EBITDA16.011.845.031.4-38.9-223.7%
Net Income-16.2-18.513.78.3-91.1-1,197.9%
Balance Sheet
Cash39.014.026.216.717.12.3%
Short Term Debt122.3127.6109.4112.078.5-29.9%
Long Term Debt33.94.40.40.00.0
Cash flow
Capex5.08.312.313.03.8-70.7%
Ratios
Revenue growth-34.9%-2.3%59.5%-7.6%-34.7%
EBITDA growth-70.9%-25.9%280.9%-30.2%-223.7%
Gross Margin15.7%11.7%17.4%18.1%8.3%-9.8%
EBITDA Margin5.7%4.3%10.4%7.8%-14.9%-22.7%
Net Income Margin-5.8%-6.8%3.1%2.1%-34.8%-36.9%
SG&A, % of revenue18.8%16.1%11.9%14.5%24.0%9.5%
CAPEX, % of revenue1.8%3.0%2.8%3.2%1.5%-1.8%
ROIC-0.5%-1.9%6.8%3.8%-19.4%-23.3%
ROE-5.7%-6.2%4.6%2.7%-37.7%-40.4%
Net Debt/EBITDA7.3x10.0x1.9x3.0x-3.0x

Revenue and profitability


Sino Golf Holdings Ltd's Revenue dropped on 34.7% in 2015. Revenue decline was worsened by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin dropped on 22.7 pp from 7.8% to -14.9% in 2015.

Gross Margin decreased on 9.8 pp from 18.1% to 8.3% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased on 9.5 pp from 14.5% to 24.0% in 2015.

Net Income marign dropped on 36.9 pp from 2.1% to -34.8% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 Sino Golf Holdings Ltd had CAPEX/Revenue of 1.5%. The company showed small CAPEX/Revenue decline of 1.6 pp from 3.0% in 2012 to 1.5% in 2015. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 2.5%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-19.44%) and ROE (-37.67%). ROIC dropped on 23.3 pp from 3.8% to -19.4% in 2015. ROE dropped on 40.4 pp from 2.7% to -37.7% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is -3.1x and Debt / EBITDA is . Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 3.0x from 3.0x to in 2015. Debt dropped on 29.9% in 2015 while cash increased on 2.3% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Leisure Time


Below we provide Sino Golf Holdings Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Leisure Time industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Perfect Shape PRC Holdings Ltd ($1830)23.4%16.2%6.1%55.0%
Genting Hong Kong Ltd ($678)5.3%6.6%2.9%20.9%
Travel Expert Asia Enterprises Ltd ($1235)11.9%15.3%19.5%18.9%
China Jiuhao Health Industry Corp Ltd ($419)61.8%-23.6%-12.7%11.5%
EGL Holdings Co Ltd ($6882)9.5%20.7%2.3%10.3%
 
Median (11 companies)9.5%-6.6%2.8%1.9%
Sino Golf Holdings Ltd ($361)-2.3%59.5%-7.6%-34.7%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Travel Expert Asia Enterprises Ltd ($1235)90.7%
Feiyu Technology International Co Ltd ($1022)99.1%96.9%95.4%87.5%83.1%
Sino Splendid Holdings Ltd ($8006)55.1%51.7%51.4%51.9%53.9%
China Travel International Investment Hong Kong Ltd ($308)48.2%46.1%47.8%46.0%45.6%
China Jiuhao Health Industry Corp Ltd ($419)15.5%57.0%13.5%23.4%44.9%
 
Median (8 companies)32.9%48.9%34.6%23.4%45.3%
Sino Golf Holdings Ltd ($361)15.7%11.7%17.4%18.1%8.3%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Travel International Investment Hong Kong Ltd ($308)25.6%28.2%29.1%48.5%31.7%
Feiyu Technology International Co Ltd ($1022)74.8%77.0%44.0%51.0%30.0%
Perfect Shape PRC Holdings Ltd ($1830)26.3%27.5%29.1%26.5%29.8%
Travel Expert Asia Enterprises Ltd ($1235)20.1%17.4%16.2%18.3%15.0%
Water Oasis Group Ltd ($1161)11.3%6.5%4.7%11.4%13.1%
 
Median (11 companies)11.3%17.4%8.1%8.6%9.8%
Sino Golf Holdings Ltd ($361)5.7%4.3%10.4%7.8%-14.9%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Genting Hong Kong Ltd ($678)7.3%16.6%25.4%33.0%58.1%
China Jiuhao Health Industry Corp Ltd ($419)4.2%2.1%31.8%67.3%43.3%
Perfect Shape PRC Holdings Ltd ($1830)7.9%6.1%8.9%7.7%24.8%
China Travel International Investment Hong Kong Ltd ($308)14.6%13.4%28.3%29.9%10.9%
Water Oasis Group Ltd ($1161)2.7%3.7%4.0%2.8%3.5%
 
Median (11 companies)4.1%3.7%4.0%2.8%3.1%
Sino Golf Holdings Ltd ($361)1.8%3.0%2.8%3.2%1.5%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
EGL Holdings Co Ltd ($6882)30.4%63.2%39.4%58.3%
Perfect Shape PRC Holdings Ltd ($1830)140.4%62.8%44.1%37.7%44.1%
Travel Expert Asia Enterprises Ltd ($1235)179.4%50.9%26.7%29.8%23.0%
Water Oasis Group Ltd ($1161)21.6%5.3%1.7%15.7%19.2%
Feiyu Technology International Co Ltd ($1022)329.5%19.2%17.1%6.1%
 
Median (11 companies)4.6%5.3%1.7%9.6%5.0%
Sino Golf Holdings Ltd ($361)-0.5%-1.9%6.8%3.8%-19.4%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Travel Expert Asia Enterprises Ltd ($1235)-2.3x-1.3x-1.2x-1.7x-0.3x
Perfect Shape PRC Holdings Ltd ($1830)-0.9x-2.0x-0.8x-1.4x-1.8x
China Travel International Investment Hong Kong Ltd ($308)-2.4x-1.7x-1.1x-1.1x-2.0x
EGL Holdings Co Ltd ($6882)-10.0x-4.5x-2.5x-3.3x-2.4x
Water Oasis Group Ltd ($1161)-2.2x-3.2x-5.1x-2.8x-2.6x
 
Median (7 companies)-2.3x-1.5x-1.9x-2.8x-2.4x