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NetDragon Websoft Inc reports 181% Net Income decline and 23.4 pp EBITDA Margin decline from 22.3% to -1.1%

30/03/2016 • About NetDragon Websoft Inc ($777) • By InTwits

NetDragon Websoft Inc reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • NetDragon Websoft Inc doesn't have a profitable business model yet: 2015 ROIC is -3.4%
  • EBITDA Margin is declining: -1.1% in 2015 vs. 22.3% in 2014 vs. 31.1% in 2011
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: -1.1% in 2015, 22.3% in 2014, 29.4% in 2013, 39.2% in 2012, 31.1% in 2011
  • NetDragon Websoft Inc has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 33.3%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 4.7%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 546 in 2015, 526 in 2014, 306 in 2013, 174 in 2012, 101 in 2011
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -3.4%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is -0.6x while industry average is -1.0x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

NetDragon Websoft Inc ($777) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue7618268859631,27232.1%
Gross Profit68677180386095811.4%
SG&A35132047247972751.6%
EBITDA236323260215-14-106.4%
Net Income135396,141177-143-180.9%
Balance Sheet
Cash1,4691,5374,3563,0361,710-43.7%
Short Term Debt3118410523730428.2%
Long Term Debt132195000
Cash flow
Capex1011743065265463.7%
Ratios
Revenue growth43.1%8.5%7.1%8.9%32.1%
EBITDA growth80.9%36.8%-19.5%-17.4%-106.4%
Gross Margin90.1%93.4%90.8%89.3%75.3%-14.0%
EBITDA Margin31.1%39.2%29.4%22.3%-1.1%-23.4%
Net Income Margin17.8%4.7%694.3%18.4%-11.2%-29.6%
SG&A, % of revenue46.2%38.7%53.4%49.8%57.1%7.3%
CAPEX, % of revenue13.3%21.1%34.6%54.6%42.9%-11.7%
ROIC11.8%16.3%5.8%2.6%-3.4%-6.0%
ROE9.2%2.7%204.4%3.8%-3.2%-7.1%
Net Debt/EBITDA-5.5x-3.6x-16.3x-13.0x13.0x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue jumped on 32.1% in 2015. Revenue growth was financed by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin dropped on 23.4 pp from 22.3% to -1.1% in 2015.

Gross Margin dropped on 14.0 pp from 89.3% to 75.3% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased on 7.3 pp from 49.8% to 57.1% in 2015.

Net Income marign dropped on 29.6 pp from 18.4% to -11.2% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 NetDragon Websoft Inc had CAPEX/Revenue of 42.9%. CAPEX/Revenue jumped on 21.8 pp from 21.1% in 2012 to 42.9% in 2015. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 44.0%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-3.37%) and ROE (-3.23%). ROIC decreased on 6.0 pp from 2.6% to -3.4% in 2015. ROE decreased on 7.1 pp from 3.8% to -3.2% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is -0.6x Net Debt / EBITDA and Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 13.0x from -13.0x to in 2015. Debt jumped on 28.2% in 2015 while cash dropped on 43.7% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Software


Below we provide NetDragon Websoft Inc benchmarking against other companies in Software industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Yunbo Digital Synergy Group Ltd ($8050)-84.6%241.6%-31.9%348.0%
Pizu Group Holdings Ltd ($8053)40.3%-42.9%1,742.9%157.9%
China Eco-Farming Ltd ($8166)-23.6%-7.7%21.8%155.5%
Aurum Pacific China Group Ltd ($8148)50.0%92.7%
Kingsoft Corp Ltd ($3888)38.3%54.0%54.2%69.4%
 
Median (33 companies)-14.9%15.6%11.4%21.5%7.8%
NetDragon Websoft Inc ($777)8.5%7.1%8.9%32.1%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Bio Cassava Holdings Ltd ($8129)90.2%90.4%97.4%98.4%98.3%
Chanjet Information Technology Co Ltd ($1588)91.9%89.2%91.3%92.4%91.4%
China Binary Sale Technology Ltd ($8255)60.0%63.5%68.5%67.7%85.9%
Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd ($268)70.1%65.0%75.3%82.5%81.5%
Tian Ge Interactive Holdings Ltd ($1980)87.5%88.5%87.6%84.8%77.7%
 
Median (33 companies)49.2%45.4%42.5%42.1%43.3%
NetDragon Websoft Inc ($777)90.1%93.4%90.8%89.3%75.3%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
International Entertainment Corp ($1009)235.1%50.8%64.0%54.9%62.0%
Sinosoft Technology Group Ltd ($1297)55.5%62.6%54.9%57.2%59.0%
China Binary Sale Technology Ltd ($8255)41.3%35.1%35.4%44.4%50.5%
Boyaa Interactive International Ltd ($434)38.9%38.5%25.8%30.7%47.6%
Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd ($268)19.5%7.8%33.2%37.2%31.9%
 
Median (33 companies)11.9%11.1%14.0%10.1%9.8%
NetDragon Websoft Inc ($777)31.1%39.2%29.4%22.3%-1.1%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Aurum Pacific China Group Ltd ($8148)0.0%2.9%7.5%20.6%
Kingsoft Corp Ltd ($3888)6.8%4.3%3.8%14.3%11.1%
Beijing Beida Jade Bird Universal Sci-Tech Co Ltd ($8095)3.5%8.7%5.5%4.3%10.9%
Tian Ge Interactive Holdings Ltd ($1980)3.2%18.0%7.9%7.3%7.4%
Microsoft Corp ($4338)3.4%3.1%5.5%6.3%6.4%
 
Median (33 companies)2.4%1.4%1.8%3.5%2.0%
NetDragon Websoft Inc ($777)13.3%21.1%34.6%54.6%42.9%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Pizu Group Holdings Ltd ($8053)-3.2%-21.8%-13.4%-6.8%120.0%
IGG Inc ($8002)55.9%41.4%25.9%
Boyaa Interactive International Ltd ($434)100.4%75.3%21.3%20.0%21.4%
Sinosoft Technology Group Ltd ($1297)31.6%34.0%21.9%20.2%20.8%
ITE Holdings Ltd ($8092)-19.6%-15.0%10.6%16.8%19.8%
 
Median (33 companies)1.6%5.2%6.7%5.6%2.3%
NetDragon Websoft Inc ($777)11.8%16.3%5.8%2.6%-3.4%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Pizu Group Holdings Ltd ($8053)346.1x-0.4x
Epicurean and Co Ltd ($8213)2.9x2.3x4.7x12.3x12.0x
Sing Lee Software Group Ltd ($8076)6.2x4.4x
China Technology Solar Power Holdings Ltd ($8111)7.4x3.3x0.2x
Chinasoft International Ltd ($354)-1.3x-0.7x0.7x1.5x0.7x
 
Median (24 companies)-0.7x-0.9x-1.4x-1.3x-0.5x
NetDragon Websoft Inc ($777)-5.5x-3.6x-16.3x-13.0x