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Launch Tech Co Ltd Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 10.6x from 3.9x to 14.5x in 2015 while EBITDA dropped on 89.5%

30/03/2016 • About Launch Tech Co Ltd ($2488) • By InTwits

Launch Tech Co Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Launch Tech Co Ltd doesn't have a profitable business model yet: 2015 ROIC is -5.3%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 1.5% in 2015, 13.2% in 2014, 13.2% in 2013, 3.0% in 2012, 26.0% in 2011
  • Launch Tech Co Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 13.9%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 7.4%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 0 in 2015, 76.3 in 2014, 165 in 2013, 128 in 2012, 104 in 2011
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -5.3%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Launch Tech Co Ltd ($2488) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue784.3605.9673.0728.4693.4-4.8%
Gross Profit307.7166.3226.0245.1265.58.3%
SG&A190.0189.6224.8337.450.1%
EBITDA203.618.388.795.910.1-89.5%
Net Income115.4-43.67.0-46.9-93.9100.0%
Balance Sheet
Cash299.3301.2315.3343.8415.520.8%
Short Term Debt220.6440.6529.1715.6561.2-21.6%
Long Term Debt1.40.80.22.11.2-43.2%
Cash flow
Capex103.8128.5164.676.30.0-100.0%
Ratios
Revenue growth18.6%-22.7%11.1%8.2%-4.8%
EBITDA growth9.3%-91.0%383.8%8.1%-89.5%
Gross Margin39.2%27.4%33.6%33.6%38.3%4.6%
EBITDA Margin26.0%3.0%13.2%13.2%1.5%-11.7%
Net Income Margin14.7%-7.2%1.0%-6.4%-13.5%-7.1%
SG&A, % of revenue31.4%28.2%30.9%48.7%17.8%
CAPEX, % of revenue13.2%21.2%24.5%10.5%0.0%-10.5%
ROIC15.1%-3.2%2.2%1.6%-5.3%-6.9%
ROE16.2%-6.3%1.1%-7.8%-14.7%-6.8%
Net Debt/EBITDA-0.4x7.6x2.4x3.9x14.5x10.6x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue decreased on 4.8% in 2015. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin dropped on 11.7 pp from 13.2% to 1.5% in 2015.

Gross Margin increased on 4.6 pp from 33.6% to 38.3% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue surged on 17.8 pp from 30.9% to 48.7% in 2015.

Net Income marign decreased on 7.1 pp from -6.4% to -13.5% in 2015.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-5.31%) and ROE (-14.66%). ROIC decreased on 6.9 pp from 1.6% to -5.3% in 2015. ROE decreased on 6.8 pp from -7.8% to -14.7% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 14.5x Net Debt / EBITDA and 55.6x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 10.6x from 3.9x to 14.5x in 2015. Debt dropped on 21.6% in 2015 while cash jumped on 20.8% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Miscellaneous Manufactur


Below you can find Launch Tech Co Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Miscellaneous Manufactur industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Karrie International Hldgs ($1050)-11.6%0.1%-11.3%27.4%
Sunny Optical Technology Group Co Ltd ($2382)59.5%45.9%45.0%26.9%
TK Group Holdings Ltd ($2283)40.2%9.3%11.8%20.0%
Zhuzhou CSR Times Electric Co Ltd ($3898)1.5%22.2%43.2%11.7%
Time Watch Investments Ltd ($2033)28.2%25.4%25.6%10.4%
 
Median (23 companies)26.8%-1.8%-0.7%6.7%-5.6%
Launch Tech Co Ltd ($2488)-22.7%11.1%8.2%-4.8%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Man Sang International Ltd ($938)34.7%42.4%32.8%60.3%78.6%
Time Watch Investments Ltd ($2033)58.5%60.2%60.6%65.0%68.1%
China Environmental Energy Investment Ltd ($986)21.0%14.0%1.2%9.0%49.2%
Lee & Man Chemical Co Ltd ($746)46.7%34.3%35.7%41.9%39.6%
Zhuzhou CSR Times Electric Co Ltd ($3898)35.0%33.2%35.1%37.4%38.7%
 
Median (22 companies)20.6%19.7%19.7%23.4%22.4%
Launch Tech Co Ltd ($2488)39.2%27.4%33.6%33.6%38.3%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Lee & Man Chemical Co Ltd ($746)42.8%30.4%31.3%38.4%37.6%
Man Sang International Ltd ($938)18.7%24.9%15.4%37.0%33.8%
IPE Group Ltd ($929)24.9%25.6%22.5%29.5%29.1%
Zhuzhou CSR Times Electric Co Ltd ($3898)19.5%18.4%19.8%20.6%24.2%
Time Watch Investments Ltd ($2033)16.8%17.6%16.8%19.4%20.5%
 
Median (23 companies)10.2%8.1%8.2%9.5%7.9%
Launch Tech Co Ltd ($2488)26.0%3.0%13.2%13.2%1.5%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Environmental Energy Investment Ltd ($986)77.7%6.1%0.4%17.9%47.6%
Lee & Man Chemical Co Ltd ($746)1.4%5.8%51.1%33.7%22.8%
China International Marine Containers Group Co Ltd ($2039)4.7%3.9%12.1%18.5%21.2%
IPE Group Ltd ($929)7.1%6.3%13.3%12.3%13.3%
China Aerospace International Holdings Ltd ($31)3.9%5.1%6.3%6.6%7.9%
 
Median (23 companies)5.0%4.7%4.2%4.2%4.3%
Launch Tech Co Ltd ($2488)13.2%21.2%24.5%10.5%0.0%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Time Watch Investments Ltd ($2033)30.5%34.5%27.1%27.8%27.9%
TK Group Holdings Ltd ($2283)34.0%36.8%31.1%29.4%27.6%
Zhuzhou CSR Times Electric Co Ltd ($3898)21.4%16.9%17.7%20.0%21.1%
Sunny Optical Technology Group Co Ltd ($2382)12.2%19.7%17.8%16.5%19.4%
CSR Corp Ltd ($1766)13.4%11.1%11.2%15.3%11.7%
 
Median (23 companies)6.4%4.4%4.4%4.4%1.6%
Launch Tech Co Ltd ($2488)15.1%-3.2%2.2%1.6%-5.3%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Continental Holdings Ltd ($513)8.3x20.1x92.9x4,203.6x
South China China Ltd ($413)2.3x37.5x2,842.3x27.3x
China International Marine Containers Group Co Ltd ($2039)2.8x4.0x4.7x5.8x9.8x
VS International Group Ltd ($1002)8.6x5.1x6.5x4.4x3.3x
Lee & Man Chemical Co Ltd ($746)-0.3x-0.2x1.5x2.2x2.5x
 
Median (20 companies)0.1x-0.3x-0.3x-0.2x-0.3x
Launch Tech Co Ltd ($2488)-0.4x7.6x2.4x3.9x14.5x