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Ko Yo Chemical Group Ltd reports 86.9% CAPEX growth and 40.8% Revenue growth

30/03/2016 • About Ko Yo Chemical Group Ltd ($827) • By InTwits

Ko Yo Chemical Group Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Ko Yo Chemical Group Ltd doesn't have a profitable business model yet: 2015 ROIC is -1.5%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 0.9% in 2015, -13.8% in 2014, 12.7% in 2013, 21.3% in 2012, 16.0% in 2011
  • Ko Yo Chemical Group Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 33.6%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 21.3%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 50.9 in 2015, 81.0 in 2014, 47.7 in 2013, 57.5 in 2012, 212 in 2011
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -1.5%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 141.5x while industry average is 6.9x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Ko Yo Chemical Group Ltd ($827) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue1,4271,3471,3391,3701,92840.8%
Gross Profit28232713712-27-331.7%
SG&A128287143-50.2%
EBITDA228286169-18918-109.6%
Net Income100102-57-490-106-78.4%
Balance Sheet
Cash13235111749860-88.0%
Short Term Debt1,5422,0632,8022,0061,870-6.8%
Long Term Debt2858081,040796760-4.6%
Cash flow
Capex44760957828453086.9%
Ratios
Revenue growth63.5%-5.6%-0.6%2.3%40.8%
EBITDA growth264.6%25.6%-40.8%-211.4%-109.6%
Gross Margin19.8%24.3%10.2%0.9%-1.4%-2.3%
EBITDA Margin16.0%21.3%12.7%-13.8%0.9%14.7%
Net Income Margin7.0%7.5%-4.3%-35.8%-5.5%30.3%
SG&A, % of revenue9.6%20.9%7.4%-13.5%
CAPEX, % of revenue31.3%45.2%43.2%20.7%27.5%6.8%
ROIC5.7%6.0%2.0%-5.6%-1.5%4.1%
ROE10.5%9.5%-5.2%-34.7%-6.1%28.7%
Net Debt/EBITDA7.4x8.8x22.0x141.5x141.5x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue jumped on 40.8% in 2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 1.3 pp from 3.4% to 4.7% in FY2015.

Gross Margin decreased on 2.3 pp from 0.86% to -1.4% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue dropped on 13.5 pp from 20.9% to 7.4% in 2015.

Net Income marign surged on 30.3 pp from -35.8% to -5.5% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 27.5%. The company showed big decline in CAPEX/Revenue of 17.7 pp from 45.2% in 2012 to 27.5% in 2015. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 30.5%.The company has spent a lot to CAPEX (2,918% of EBITDA) to fuel its growth.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-1.47%) and ROE (-6.05%). ROIC increased on 4.1 pp from -5.6% to -1.5% in 2015. ROE jumped on 28.7 pp from -34.7% to -6.1% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 141.5x and Debt / EBITDA is 144.8x. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped141.5x from to 141.5x in 2015. Debt decreased on 6.2% in 2015 while cash dropped on 88.0% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Chemicals


Below we provide Ko Yo Chemical Group Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Chemicals industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Bestway International Holdings Ltd ($718)-25.4%-62.1%330.3%238.4%
China First Chemical Holdings Ltd ($2121)6.2%-6.8%-18.0%72.5%
Strong Petrochemical Holdings Ltd ($852)40.8%87.9%-60.8%42.3%
China Sanjiang Fine Chemicals Co Ltd ($2198)16.0%63.5%-7.7%36.6%
Century Sunshine Group Holdings Ltd ($509)68.7%32.0%26.4%21.4%
 
Median (26 companies)32.5%2.4%9.7%1.8%-0.6%
Ko Yo Chemical Group Ltd ($827)-5.6%-0.6%2.3%40.8%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Huabao International Holdings Ltd ($336)74.3%70.5%69.1%70.8%69.9%
China Flavors & Fragrances Co Ltd ($3318)41.3%46.8%48.6%47.8%48.9%
Bestway International Holdings Ltd ($718)5.4%5.1%4.6%8.6%40.4%
Bracell Ltd ($1768)40.1%30.5%37.3%37.3%38.4%
Infinity Chemical Holdings Co Ltd ($640)22.0%25.4%28.0%29.8%33.2%
 
Median (26 companies)20.3%18.9%18.7%18.4%20.5%
Ko Yo Chemical Group Ltd ($827)19.8%24.3%10.2%0.9%-1.4%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Huabao International Holdings Ltd ($336)66.4%63.8%59.1%60.0%58.3%
Bracell Ltd ($1768)30.1%22.3%30.8%38.2%35.9%
Yingde Gases Group Co Ltd ($2168)32.3%29.4%29.8%32.3%33.4%
Tiande Chemical Holdings Ltd ($609)21.7%25.5%27.3%25.1%27.8%
Century Sunshine Group Holdings Ltd ($509)15.5%24.2%28.1%27.6%26.1%
 
Median (26 companies)15.2%12.3%12.7%12.5%13.4%
Ko Yo Chemical Group Ltd ($827)16.0%21.3%12.7%-13.8%0.9%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Landing International Development Ltd ($582)27.9%7.2%29.6%419.5%247.4%
China Zenith Chemical Group Ltd ($362)36.8%147.3%55.7%67.4%152.2%
China Flavors & Fragrances Co Ltd ($3318)16.4%15.8%20.1%42.4%35.8%
China XLX Fertiliser Ltd ($1866)13.0%30.1%41.1%32.1%22.0%
China Sanjiang Fine Chemicals Co Ltd ($2198)8.3%20.5%29.8%0.0%20.3%
 
Median (26 companies)8.3%6.8%8.5%5.4%7.2%
Ko Yo Chemical Group Ltd ($827)31.3%45.2%43.2%20.7%27.5%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Huabao International Holdings Ltd ($336)34.6%28.7%25.2%26.2%23.3%
Tiande Chemical Holdings Ltd ($609)24.4%26.2%29.4%20.7%20.6%
Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Ltd ($338)4.5%-6.9%8.1%-2.4%16.5%
Century Sunshine Group Holdings Ltd ($509)3.5%11.3%15.9%16.4%13.3%
Infinity Chemical Holdings Co Ltd ($640)9.2%11.1%10.2%8.8%12.7%
 
Median (26 companies)8.2%7.3%8.3%5.9%6.5%
Ko Yo Chemical Group Ltd ($827)5.7%6.0%2.0%-5.6%-1.5%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Sanjiang Fine Chemicals Co Ltd ($2198)2.4x2.2x4.6x18.1x13.5x
Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd ($1047)4.8x11.7x5.3x5.4x5.3x
China XLX Fertiliser Ltd ($1866)2.4x2.6x5.1x5.8x5.1x
Strong Petrochemical Holdings Ltd ($852)1.2x7.2x4.0x3.9x
Yip's Chemical Holdings Ltd ($408)4.5x2.8x2.7x3.8x3.6x
 
Median (23 companies)1.2x1.0x2.0x1.4x1.7x
Ko Yo Chemical Group Ltd ($827)7.4x8.8x22.0x141.5x