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Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd EBITDA dropped on 50.3% in 2015 and Revenue decreased on 2.7%

30/03/2016 • About Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd ($822) • By InTwits

Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd doesn't have a profitable business model yet: 2015 ROIC is 0.5%
  • Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd has medium CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 7.9%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 6.6%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 101 in 2015, 176 in 2014, 134 in 2013, 145 in 2012, 59.5 in 2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 0.5%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 3.6x while industry average is 2.3x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd ($822) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue1,1921,5691,8071,5821,539-2.7%
Gross Profit231354398310292-5.8%
SG&A172239281263-6.3%
EBITDA15122517119094-50.3%
Net Income631266177-63-182.2%
Balance Sheet
Cash1651352802372619.9%
Short Term Debt264330498522423-19.0%
Long Term Debt51028181546.6%
Cash flow
Capex60145134176101-42.9%
Ratios
Revenue growth30.5%31.7%15.1%-12.4%-2.7%
EBITDA growth32.1%49.2%-24.0%11.0%-50.3%
Gross Margin19.4%22.5%22.1%19.6%19.0%-0.6%
EBITDA Margin12.6%14.3%9.5%12.0%6.1%-5.9%
Net Income Margin5.3%8.0%3.4%4.9%-4.1%-9.0%
SG&A, % of revenue11.0%13.2%17.7%17.1%-0.7%
CAPEX, % of revenue5.0%9.3%7.4%11.1%6.5%-4.6%
ROIC10.5%14.6%7.1%7.6%0.5%-7.1%
ROE9.5%16.3%7.5%9.5%-8.2%-17.7%
Net Debt/EBITDA0.7x0.9x1.3x1.7x3.6x2.0x

Revenue and profitability


Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd's Revenue decreased on 2.7% in 2015. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased on 5.9 pp from 12.0% to 6.1% in 2015.

Gross Margin decreased slightly on 0.63 pp from 19.6% to 19.0% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased slightly on 0.66 pp from 17.7% to 17.1% in 2015.

Net Income marign decreased on 9.0 pp from 4.9% to -4.1% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 6.5%. Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue decreased on 2.7 pp from 9.3% in 2012 to 6.5% in 2015. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 8.4%.The company has spent a lot to CAPEX (107% of EBITDA) which didn't stop revenue from falling.

Return on investment


The company operates at low but positive ROIC (0.51%) and negative ROE (-8.21%). ROIC decreased on 7.1 pp from 7.6% to 0.51% in 2015. ROE dropped on 17.7 pp from 9.5% to -8.2% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 3.6x and Debt / EBITDA is 6.4x. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 2.0x from 1.7x to 3.6x in 2015. Debt increased on 9.7% in 2015 while cash increased on 9.9% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Metal Fabricate/Hardware


Below you can find Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Metal Fabricate/Hardware industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Burwill Holdings Ltd ($24)25.4%-35.5%-9.2%39.2%
Chu Kong Petroleum & Natural Gas Steel Pipe Holdings Ltd ($1938)100.8%16.3%-48.4%32.2%
EVA Precision Industrial Holdings Ltd ($838)19.7%12.2%30.1%2.3%
China Zhongwang Holdings Ltd ($1333)31.0%6.0%11.6%1.3%
Lung Kee Bermuda Holdings ($255)-5.2%-7.5%8.2%-5.2%
 
Median (8 companies)63.1%2.8%8.0%9.9%-4.0%
Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd ($822)31.7%15.1%-12.4%-2.7%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Zhongwang Holdings Ltd ($1333)21.6%24.2%26.8%28.0%32.9%
EVA Precision Industrial Holdings Ltd ($838)24.7%21.6%24.1%26.2%26.5%
New Times Energy Corp Ltd ($166)1.0%-2.7%0.8%22.6%4.6%
Chu Kong Petroleum & Natural Gas Steel Pipe Holdings Ltd ($1938)15.1%17.0%15.4%11.6%
Shougang Concord Century Holdings Ltd ($103)9.3%1.0%11.5%7.5%1.3%
 
Median (7 companies)9.3%3.7%11.5%11.6%4.6%
Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd ($822)19.4%22.5%22.1%19.6%19.0%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Zhongwang Holdings Ltd ($1333)22.0%22.3%24.3%24.2%29.1%
EVA Precision Industrial Holdings Ltd ($838)16.8%10.4%9.9%16.7%14.9%
Lung Kee Bermuda Holdings ($255)19.3%15.3%14.8%11.7%15.2%
Shougang Concord Century Holdings Ltd ($103)8.8%-0.2%11.2%5.2%-4.0%
Burwill Holdings Ltd ($24)0.6%-0.8%-0.6%-0.4%
 
Median (8 companies)9.9%8.9%8.0%2.4%5.4%
Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd ($822)12.6%14.3%9.5%12.0%6.1%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Zhongwang Holdings Ltd ($1333)25.1%56.3%41.6%54.8%63.1%
New Times Energy Corp Ltd ($166)9.0%11.4%1.7%52.1%61.1%
Chu Kong Petroleum & Natural Gas Steel Pipe Holdings Ltd ($1938)20.3%25.9%71.7%31.4%
Lung Kee Bermuda Holdings ($255)21.9%11.6%9.6%11.0%4.5%
EVA Precision Industrial Holdings Ltd ($838)15.3%9.2%6.3%6.3%8.0%
 
Median (8 companies)15.3%11.5%7.5%8.6%6.2%
Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd ($822)5.0%9.3%7.4%11.1%6.5%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
EVA Precision Industrial Holdings Ltd ($838)10.5%3.3%1.9%9.1%6.4%
China Zhongwang Holdings Ltd ($1333)7.8%9.5%8.8%7.4%6.9%
Lung Kee Bermuda Holdings ($255)12.3%6.7%4.9%3.2%4.8%
Burwill Holdings Ltd ($24)0.8%-1.8%-1.5%-1.6%
Shougang Concord Century Holdings Ltd ($103)0.6%-4.8%1.6%-1.9%-6.7%
 
Median (8 companies)5.9%2.9%1.8%-1.7%1.3%
Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd ($822)10.5%14.6%7.1%7.6%0.5%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top  FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Zhongwang Holdings Ltd ($1333)-0.8x1.3x2.6x4.1x6.2x
EVA Precision Industrial Holdings Ltd ($838)-0.4x1.1x1.8x1.2x0.7x
Lung Kee Bermuda Holdings ($255)-0.7x-1.5x-1.6x-0.9x-1.4x
 
Median (3 companies)1.9x1.3x4.4x2.7x0.7x
Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd ($822)0.7x0.9x1.3x1.7x3.6x